Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ OTRK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 3, 2007

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $11280.0000 (0.21%) ($11208.0000 - $11568.0000) on Fri. Aug. 3, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.1% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $11280.0000(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.05% (StdDev 2.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $11389.18
5 Day Moving Average   $11184(0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $11268.82(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11389.18(-0.96%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   25.3%
Market Cap   $192.387b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 2.12% (three month std-dev: 2.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 5.8%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 5.54%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 6.32%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2007	9785.25	11389.18	11268.82	11184	11247	11238	11280(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2929	10	3460	1335	0	67%	0.36	-50	2.1%	0	-0.5	49	0
2	Aug_2_2007	9750.23	11402.29	11309.85	11145.6	11175	11136	11256(4.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-2014	-20	-2356	-986	0	67%	0.37	-41.9	2.12%	0	-0.6	52	0
3	Aug_1_2007	9714.48	11431.92	11354.58	11107.2	11141.7	11256	10800(-5.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	886	80	1054	381	0	64%	0.34	-19.6	2.07%	0	-2.4	42	0
4	Jul_31_2007	9681.66	11487.34	11427.69	11236.8	11138.19	11214	11424(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3883	20	4575	1805	0	70%	0.39	26.5	1.95%	0	-0.3	48	0
5	Jul_30_2007	9643.95	11495.65	11438.82	11260.8	11151.69	11027.4	11160(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2694	-110	-3162	-1289	0	69%	0.38	57.8	1.94%	0	-1.4	38	0

6	Jul_27_2007	9606.97	11511.27	11464.67	11371.2	11297.19	11062.38	11088(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-6964	-170	-8189	-3290	0	69%	0.38	101	1.94%	0	-1.9	35	0
7	Jul_26_2007	9570.97	11511.72	11487.83	11500.8	11469.99	11275.98	11064(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-7381	-130	-8683	-3476	0	69%	0.36	132.2	1.94%	0	-1.9	39	0
8	Jul_25_2007	9536.19	11483.38	11516.62	11635.2	11604	11532	11448(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3350	-50	-3942	-1574	0	73%	0.41	112.2	1.88%	0	-0.1	38	0
9	Jul_24_2007	9497.25	11425.69	11522.31	11635.2	11631	11664	11544(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	256	20	303	115	0	73%	0.42	87.9	1.88%	0	0.3	39	0
10	Jul_23_2007	9457.58	11361.92	11528.15	11640	11592	11676	11712(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2773	40	3264	1300	0	73%	0.43	80.8	1.86%	0	0.7	53	0

11	Jul_20_2007	9417.41	11291.23	11519.65	11572.8	11520	11598	11736(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3605	30	4244	1688	0	73%	0.41	77	1.87%	0	0.8	58	0
12	Jul_19_2007	9378.72	11211.93	11497.54	11475.88	11406	11508	11736(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2858	40	3366	1335	0	73%	0.41	70.6	1.87%	0	0.9	67	0
13	Jul_18_2007	9340.76	11116.69	11505.28	11384.68	11306.71	11442	11472(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3483	60	4094	1651	0	72%	0.35	60.9	1.85%	0	0.5	74	0
14	Jul_17_2007	9308.19	11049.03	11542.93	11389.48	11284.21	11304	11544(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	2852	-20	3338	1394	0	72%	0.34	61.1	1.85%	0	0.7	77	0
15	Jul_16_2007	9276.84	10956.17	11547.46	11403.88	11299.21	11171.43	11376(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3418	-110	-4051	-1519	0	72%	0.32	56.4	1.85%	0	0.6	76	0

16	Jul_13_2007	9246.96	10871.61	11555.78	11461.48	11393.71	11264.43	11251.4(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5344	-100	-6330	-2387	0	72%	0.32	54.9	1.87%	0	0.5	73	0
17	Jul_12_2007	9217.62	10796.25	11539.25	11520	11517	11427	11280(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3070	-60	-3665	-1283	0	72%	0.33	56.9	1.88%	0	0.6	75	0
18	Jul_11_2007	9187.01	10721.64	11458.39	11640	11586	11523	11496(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2958	-50	-3547	-1190	0	75%	0.34	61.9	1.86%	0	0.9	83	0
19	Jul_10_2007	9156.15	10636.27	11336.07	11716.8	11665.5	11607	11616(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1542	-50	-1889	-500	0	75%	0.28	68.4	1.85%	0	1.2	76	0
20	Jul_9_2007	9130.8	10546.97	11197.35	11712	11712	11649	11664(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1223	-40	-1522	-327	0	76%	0.4	73.4	1.85%	0	1.4	80	0

21	Jul_6_2007	9094.18	10450.33	11056.51	11664	11681.1	11724	11544(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	254	30	211	384	0	76%	0.39	77.1	1.87%	0	1.4	80	0
22	Jul_5_2007	9058.8	10344.31	10912.98	11553.6	11583.6	11775	11880(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	7001	120	8145	3567	0	80%	0.5	77.8	1.83%	0	2	84	0
23	Jul_3_2007	9013.38	10221.61	10698.3	11241.6	11316.6	11638.2	11880(2.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	10752	220	12573	5290	0	82%	0.41	74.4	1.82%	0	2.3	81	0
24	Jul_2_2007	8976.89	10087.95	10507.04	10896	10965.96	11392.2	11592(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	13427	290	15736	6499	0	78%	0.37	71.5	1.87%	0	2.5	78	0
25	Jun_29_2007	8943.83	9974.3	10302.96	10608	10648.86	10995	11424(3.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	13603	240	15960	6531	0	79%		71.4	1.9%	0	2.9	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.