Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 19, 2007

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $11736.0000 (2.3%) ($11376.0000 - $11760.0000) on Thu. Jul. 19, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.87% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $11736.0000(2.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -0.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.935% (StdDev 1.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $11475.88(2.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $11497.54(2.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11211.93(4.67%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   32.2%
Market Cap   $200.165b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 5.45% (three month std-dev: 1.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -5.13%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.72%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.75%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2007	9378.72	11211.93	11497.54	11475.88	11406	11508	11736(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2858	40	3366	1335	0	73%	0.41	70.6	1.87%	0	0.9	67	0
2	Jul_18_2007	9340.76	11116.69	11505.28	11384.68	11306.71	11442	11472(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3483	60	4094	1651	0	72%	0.35	60.9	1.85%	0	0.5	74	0
3	Jul_17_2007	9308.19	11049.03	11542.93	11389.48	11284.21	11304	11544(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	2852	-20	3338	1394	0	72%	0.34	61.1	1.85%	0	0.7	77	0
4	Jul_16_2007	9276.84	10956.17	11547.46	11403.88	11299.21	11171.43	11376(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3418	-110	-4051	-1519	0	72%	0.32	56.4	1.85%	0	0.6	76	0
5	Jul_13_2007	9246.96	10871.61	11555.78	11461.48	11393.71	11264.43	11251.4(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5344	-100	-6330	-2387	0	72%	0.32	54.9	1.87%	0	0.5	73	0

6	Jul_12_2007	9217.62	10796.25	11539.25	11520	11517	11427	11280(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3070	-60	-3665	-1283	0	72%	0.33	56.9	1.88%	0	0.6	75	0
7	Jul_11_2007	9187.01	10721.64	11458.39	11640	11586	11523	11496(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2958	-50	-3547	-1190	0	75%	0.34	61.9	1.86%	0	0.9	83	0
8	Jul_10_2007	9156.15	10636.27	11336.07	11716.8	11665.5	11607	11616(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1542	-50	-1889	-500	0	75%	0.28	68.4	1.85%	0	1.2	76	0
9	Jul_9_2007	9130.8	10546.97	11197.35	11712	11712	11649	11664(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1223	-40	-1522	-327	0	76%	0.4	73.4	1.85%	0	1.4	80	0
10	Jul_6_2007	9094.18	10450.33	11056.51	11664	11681.1	11724	11544(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	254	30	211	384	0	76%	0.39	77.1	1.87%	0	1.4	80	0

11	Jul_5_2007	9058.8	10344.31	10912.98	11553.6	11583.6	11775	11880(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	7001	120	8145	3567	0	80%	0.5	77.8	1.83%	0	2	84	0
12	Jul_3_2007	9013.38	10221.61	10698.3	11241.6	11316.6	11638.2	11880(2.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	10752	220	12573	5290	0	82%	0.41	74.4	1.82%	0	2.3	81	0
13	Jul_2_2007	8976.89	10087.95	10507.04	10896	10965.96	11392.2	11592(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	13427	290	15736	6499	0	78%	0.37	71.5	1.87%	0	2.5	78	0
14	Jun_29_2007	8943.83	9974.3	10302.96	10608	10648.86	10995	11424(3.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	13603	240	15960	6531	0	79%	0.35	71.4	1.9%	0	2.9	74	0
15	Jun_28_2007	8912.24	9873.14	10113.34	10368	10398.36	10539.73	10992(6.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	7761	100	9100	3744	0	75%	0.31	76.1	1.86%	0	2.7	72	0

16	Jun_27_2007	8884.56	9775.7	9974.61	10185.6	10230.36	10302.73	10320(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2925	60	3416	1452	0	73%	0.22	78.2	1.72%	0	1.6	70	0
17	Jun_26_2007	8865.22	9721.15	9914.8	10070.4	10111.5	10257	10152(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3495	110	4091	1707	0	74%	0.2	70.7	1.75%	0	1.3	66	0
18	Jun_25_2007	8847.58	9672.17	9876.87	10051.2	10038	10158	10152(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	5905	80	6923	2851	0	74%	0.19	71.4	1.78%	0	1.5	69	0
19	Jun_22_2007	8830.44	9628	9845.61	9940.8	9948	9966	10224(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	2005	10	2336	1011	0	71%	0.21	66.2	1.77%	0	2	67	0
20	Jun_21_2007	8811.58	9571.83	9798.22	9816	9891	9918	10080(3.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	994	40	1151	522	0	71%	0.19	56.5	1.8%	0	1.8	62	0

21	Jun_20_2007	8794.93	9523.08	9735.74	9816	9802.5	9930	9744(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	2761	110	3230	1352	0	72%	0.13	50.3	1.76%	0	0.8	66	0
22	Jun_19_2007	8783.22	9496.84	9716.03	9734.4	9723	9864	10056(4.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	5137	100	6023	2479	0	76%	0.18	53.8	1.78%	0	2	68	0
23	Jun_18_2007	8767.8	9452.91	9641.42	9681.6	9681	9675	9600(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2328	-0	2718	1157	0	73%	0.15	58.4	1.69%	0	0.6	63	0
24	Jun_15_2007	8754.33	9431.8	9627.1	9736.56	9682.5	9582	9600(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4034	-90	-4771	-1821	0	75%	0.15	65.2	1.71%	0	0.7	59	0
25	Jun_14_2007	8741.59	9412.61	9621.05	9774.96	9779.18	9687	9672(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2265	-60	-2697	-967	0	76%		73.4	1.71%	0	1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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