Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 4, 2007

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $9432.0000 (-1.01%) ($9288.0000 - $9600.0000) on Mon. Jun. 4, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $9432.0000(-1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $9292.8(1.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $9247.07(2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $9236.79(2.11%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   25.2%
Market Cap   $160.869b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.65%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.16%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.77%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070704

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_4_2007	8655.43	9236.79	9247.07	9292.8	9328.5	9402	9432(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	3649	70	4283	1748	0	72%	0.08	-13.3	1.7%	0	1.1	66	0
2	Jun_1_2007	8648.75	9249.68	9219.11	9264	9276	9288	9528(4.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	1054	10	1231	523	0	69%	0.12	0	1.72%	0	1.3	63	0
3	May_31_2007	8638.61	9249.88	9184.14	9182.4	9261	9255	9096(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	134	20	152	81	0	69%	0.1	3.4	1.62%	0	-0.7	53	0
4	May_30_2007	8629.95	9263.48	9192.58	9187.2	9237.75	9264	9240(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	186	40	214	102	0	66%	0.12	12.6	1.62%	0	-0.1	46	0
5	May_29_2007	8619.81	9262.75	9172.06	9182.4	9221.25	9267	9168(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1846	50	2172	866	0	66%	0.2	18.2	1.65%	0	-0.4	35	0

6	May_25_2007	8602.38	9260.66	9156.98	9192	9194.25	9211.5	9288(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1354	10	1601	614	0	59%	0.12	23.9	1.69%	0	0.1	32	0
7	May_24_2007	8591.85	9249.68	9138.88	9168	9164.25	9175.5	9120(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-100	10	-102	-94	0	58%	0.08	22.8	1.69%	0	-0.6	24	0
8	May_23_2007	8584.99	9242.57	9134.93	9187.2	9167.37	9177	9120(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	537	0	652	192	0	58%	0.06	24.5	1.7%	0	-0.5	33	0
9	May_22_2007	8579.48	9236.43	9152.49	9196.8	9170.37	9153	9216(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	161	-20	210	14	0	58%	0.08	24.8	1.7%	0	-0.1	46	0
10	May_21_2007	8572.85	9223.77	9179.18	9158.4	9150.87	9157.74	9216(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-133	0	-136	-123	0	56%	0.12	20.4	1.7%	0	-0	51	0

11	May_18_2007	8562.85	9208.8	9223.86	9115.2	9108.87	9187.74	9168(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1437	60	1706	628	0	59%	0.12	14.9	1.8%	0	-0.2	54	0
12	May_17_2007	8552.85	9198.47	9279.35	9105.6	9079.5	9144	9216(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2925	40	3451	1346	0	59%	0.14	11.1	1.81%	0	0.1	57	0
13	May_16_2007	8540.85	9185.33	9315.64	9076.8	9061.5	9030	9168(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	69	-30	87	15	0	59%	0.1	3.4	1.82%	0	-0.1	59	0
14	May_15_2007	8532.1	9176.86	9336.53	9105.6	9081	9015	9024(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3406	-60	-4007	-1604	0	59%	0.06	4	1.81%	0	-0.6	55	0
15	May_14_2007	8526.92	9172.02	9361	9206.4	9192	9093	9000(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3101	-80	-3656	-1434	0	59%	0.08	10.9	1.83%	0	-0.6	56	0

16	May_11_2007	8520.31	9170.59	9377.78	9350.4	9324	9147	9120(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5659	-140	-6677	-2604	0	59%	0.1	22.2	1.79%	0	-0.2	61	0
17	May_10_2007	8511.72	9168.86	9376.98	9480	9481.5	9291	9072(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-6882	-140	-8125	-3152	0	59%	0.1	37.6	1.81%	0	-0.3	58	0
18	May_9_2007	8503.38	9176.23	9370.6	9585.6	9620.99	9501	9312(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4115	-80	-4878	-1827	0	61%	0.13	55	1.79%	0	0.5	66	0
19	May_8_2007	8492.27	9166	9339.16	9595.2	9626.99	9672	9528(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-344	40	-443	-46	0	64%	0.17	60.7	1.76%	0	1.3	72	0
20	May_7_2007	8478.12	9141.45	9280.56	9532.8	9538.49	9740.97	9720(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	6165	150	7216	3011	0	66%	0.19	66.9	1.74%	0	2.2	85	0

21	May_4_2007	8462.46	9109.17	9194.8	9408	9385.82	9581.97	9768(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	8559	140	10040	4115	0	66%	0.17	69.4	1.73%	0	2.8	83	0
22	May_3_2007	8448.06	9065.29	9106.13	9264	9217.83	9336	9600(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	5240	70	6145	2523	0	65%	0.15	81	1.73%	0	3	69	0
23	May_2_2007	8435.43	9026.04	9034.44	9129.6	9108.33	9189.66	9360(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	3307	60	3883	1580	0	63%	0.12	89	1.72%	0	2.5	52	0
24	May_1_2007	8425.32	9001.92	8992.51	9048	9036.33	9099.66	9216(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	2601	50	3059	1228	0	63%	0.1	91.8	1.71%	0	2	52	0
25	Apr_30_2007	8416.73	8969.48	8957.22	8990.4	8983.5	9027	9096(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	1758	30	2072	814	0	63%		63	1.71%	0	0.9	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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