Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 8, 2007

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $9528.0000 (-1.98%) ($9480.0000 - $9696.0000) on Tue. May. 8, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $9528.0000(-1.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $9595.2(-0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $9339.16(2.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $9166(3.95%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   26.4%
Market Cap   $162.506b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 3% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.78%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.57%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.78%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070608

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_8_2007	8492.27	9166	9339.16	9595.2	9626.99	9672	9528(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-344	40	-443	-46	0	64%	0.17	60.7	1.76%	0	1.3	72	NAN
2	May_7_2007	8478.12	9141.45	9280.56	9532.8	9538.49	9740.97	9720(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	6165	150	7216	3011	0	66%	0.19	66.9	1.74%	0	2.2	85	NAN
3	May_4_2007	8462.46	9109.17	9194.8	9408	9385.82	9581.97	9768(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	8559	140	10040	4115	0	66%	0.17	69.4	1.73%	0	2.8	83	NAN
4	May_3_2007	8448.06	9065.29	9106.13	9264	9217.83	9336	9600(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	5240	70	6145	2523	0	65%	0.15	81	1.73%	0	3	69	NAN
5	May_2_2007	8435.43	9026.04	9034.44	9129.6	9108.33	9189.66	9360(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	3307	60	3883	1580	0	63%	0.12	89	1.72%	0	2.5	52	NAN

6	May_1_2007	8425.32	9001.92	8992.51	9048	9036.33	9099.66	9216(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	2601	50	3059	1228	0	63%	0.1	91.8	1.71%	0	2	52	NAN
7	Apr_30_2007	8416.73	8969.48	8957.22	8990.4	8983.5	9027	9096(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	1758	30	2072	814	0	63%	0.08	63	1.71%	0	0.9	50	NAN
8	Apr_27_2007	8409.66	8950.87	8938.97	8947.2	8955.72	8973	9048(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	1175	20	1391	525	0	66%	0.1	66	1.74%	0	0.7	44	NAN
9	Apr_26_2007	8401.57	8924	8938.71	8947.2	8930.22	8940	8928(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	8	10	19	-25	0	66%	0.1	58.1	1.75%	0	0	50	NAN
10	Apr_25_2007	8393.24	8909.94	8964.92	8923.2	8931.72	8938.44	8952(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	473	10	562	204	0	63%	0.06	61.1	1.76%	0	0.2	56	NAN

11	Apr_24_2007	8388.18	8901.89	8980.43	8928	8928.72	8920.44	8928(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-294	-10	-342	-150	0	63%	0.06	70.4	1.78%	0	0.1	52	NAN
12	Apr_23_2007	8383.13	8883.28	8994.67	8918.4	8941.5	8925	8880(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-481	-10	-566	-224	0	64%	0.14	73.3	1.78%	0	-0	65	NAN
13	Apr_20_2007	8371.51	8856.37	9021.1	8928	8955	8937	8928(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-775	-0	-917	-348	0	64%	0.15	68.4	1.79%	0	0.3	59	NAN
14	Apr_19_2007	8359.13	8822.16	9025.42	8956.8	8974.5	8958	8928(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1003	-10	-1192	-435	0	62%	0.16	68.4	1.81%	0	0.4	65	NAN
15	Apr_18_2007	8345.49	8796.34	9021.15	9014.4	9021	8973	8976(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-870	-40	-1042	-354	0	59%	0.17	81.8	1.82%	0	0.6	61	NAN

16	Apr_17_2007	8331.09	8770.55	9015.67	9043.2	9054	8991	8880(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2179	-50	-2585	-961	0	59%	0.15	98	1.86%	0	0.4	53	NAN
17	Apr_16_2007	8318.96	8734.79	8988.34	9081.6	9084	9069	8928(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1013	-10	-1216	-403	0	59%	0.15	99.5	1.87%	0	0.6	61	NAN
18	Apr_13_2007	8306.58	8692.71	8970.04	9124.8	9079.5	9117	9072(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	544	10	608	353	0	59%	0.1	103.4	1.86%	0	1.1	69	NAN
19	Apr_12_2007	8298.44	8633.5	8913.49	9100.8	9072	9099	9216(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2347	10	2726	1208	0	61%	0.18	98.4	1.86%	0	1.5	74	NAN
20	Apr_11_2007	8283.12	8561.3	8852.47	9028.8	8998.5	9042	9120(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	815	20	926	483	0	63%	0.19	91.1	1.89%	0	1.4	65	NAN

21	Apr_10_2007	8267.8	8486.12	8816.02	8985.6	8935.5	9045	9072(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2760	70	3213	1400	0	63%	0.16	82.8	1.94%	0	1.4	63	NAN
22	Apr_9_2007	8254.78	8419.21	8760.42	8880	8878.5	8955	9144(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4522	60	5287	2225	0	64%	0.26	76.4	1.93%	0	1.7	70	NAN
23	Apr_5_2007	8233.32	8338.95	8673.92	8793.6	8754	8826	8952(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1133	40	1303	624	0	61%	0.17	65.6	1.94%	0	1.3	69	NAN
24	Apr_4_2007	8219.43	8269.59	8598.38	8697.6	8710.5	8802	8856(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	3158	80	3687	1571	0	59%	0.15	56.9	1.96%	0	1.3	71	NAN
25	Apr_3_2007	8206.79	8209.12	8549.63	8649.6	8670	8682	8904(4.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1614	20	1866	856	0	61%		51.6	1.98%	0	1.6	73	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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