Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 23, 2007

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $8448.0000 (0.86%) ($8376.0000 - $8448.0000) on Fri. Feb. 23, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $8448.0000(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $8337.6(1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $8296.83(1.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $8352.43(1.14%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $144.086b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.24%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.51%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.84%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070323

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2007	8105.44	8352.43	8296.83	8337.6	8331	8373	8448(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	2415	30	2843	1132	0	58%	0.07	-22.7	2%	0	0.8	47	0
2	Feb_22_2007	8099.89	8347.12	8282.64	8270.4	8247	8310	8376(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	1051	40	1242	476	0	58%	0.07	-43.2	2.01%	0	0.2	50	0
3	Feb_21_2007	8094.33	8354.36	8271.93	8241.6	8199	8289	8280(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	2479	60	2926	1138	0	56%	0.04	-55.1	2.01%	0	-0.6	43	0
4	Feb_20_2007	8091.3	8370.27	8284.75	8236.8	8178	8184	8472(4.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	1694	-20	2004	762	0	58%	0.07	-61.1	2.01%	0	0.7	42	0
5	Feb_16_2007	8086.01	8368.14	8276.36	8203.2	8169	8109	8112(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-1961	-60	-2291	-969	0	54%	-0.02	-80.4	1.93%	0	-1.9	26	0

6	Feb_15_2007	8087.26	8380.72	8312.55	8251.2	8211	8172	8112(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-1966	-50	-2302	-959	0	54%	0.02	-85.3	1.93%	0	-2.1	46	0
7	Feb_14_2007	8085.51	8400.93	8340.87	8294.4	8263.77	8229	8232(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-653	-40	-759	-333	0	54%	0.06	-65.2	1.92%	0	-1.3	46	0
8	Feb_13_2007	8080.76	8426.47	8362.81	8304	8277.27	8250	8256(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-587	-30	-682	-303	0	54%	0.06	-39.6	1.92%	0	-1.1	39	0
9	Feb_12_2007	8075.76	8456.33	8395.95	8337.6	8239.77	8298.54	8304(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-702	10	-818	-352	0	54%	0.06	-10.3	1.92%	0	-1	38	0
10	Feb_9_2007	8071.01	8479.56	8419.7	8361.6	8281.95	8304.54	8352(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2452	-10	2890	1139	0	54%	0.05	13.8	1.92%	0	-0.8	48	0

11	Feb_8_2007	8067.01	8489.64	8414.8	8385.6	8302.68	8181	8328(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2078	-130	-2440	-990	0	54%	0.04	26.6	1.92%	0	-1	52	0
12	Feb_7_2007	8063.51	8488.28	8418.93	8395.2	8328.18	8259.36	8280(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4712	-80	-5538	-2233	0	54%	0.01	22.8	1.93%	0	-1.2	44	0
13	Feb_6_2007	8062.76	8489.56	8445.78	8428.8	8409.18	8424.36	8424(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	341	10	406	145	0	54%	0.01	28.1	1.92%	0	-0.4	40	0
14	Feb_5_2007	8062.26	8472.04	8463.57	8463.36	8428.5	8397	8424(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-582	-40	-679	-292	0	54%	0.06	25.2	1.92%	0	-0.2	37	0
15	Feb_2_2007	8057.51	8456.45	8466.64	8487.36	8476.8	8394	8472(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1444	-70	-1691	-703	0	52%	0.03	26.1	1.92%	0	0.1	42	0

16	Feb_1_2007	8054.76	8446.58	8453.57	8448.96	8475.3	8460	8376(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1892	-0	-2214	-927	0	52%	0.06	19.8	1.94%	0	-0.3	47	0
17	Jan_31_2007	8050.26	8450.53	8466.08	8444.16	8452.5	8559.6	8448(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	1816	90	2147	823	0	52%	0.08	21.1	1.94%	0	-0	56	0
18	Jan_30_2007	8043.76	8441.91	8494.58	8463.36	8428.5	8490.6	8596.8(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3633	40	4279	1695	0	52%	0.08	22	1.93%	0	0.7	59	0
19	Jan_29_2007	8037.21	8422.74	8517.89	8467.2	8395.2	8345.4	8544(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-953	-70	-1125	-438	0	52%	0.1	20.9	1.93%	0	0.5	64	0
20	Jan_26_2007	8029.46	8399.85	8539.09	8448	8432.7	8366.4	8280(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2077	-60	-2453	-948	0	49%	0.04	14.9	1.9%	0	-0.5	58	0

21	Jan_25_2007	8026.46	8403.25	8568.79	8457.6	8457	8445	8352(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1159	-10	-1377	-505	0	49%	0.03	19	1.9%	0	-0.2	54	0
22	Jan_24_2007	8024.21	8404.64	8565.05	8486.4	8454	8499	8544(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	421	30	481	240	0	51%	-0.04	24.1	1.88%	0	0.6	52	0
23	Jan_23_2007	8027.71	8392.27	8539.57	8529.6	8473.5	8469	8616(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	348	-20	392	215	0	51%	0.08	27.6	1.88%	0	0.9	58	0
24	Jan_22_2007	8021.52	8374.67	8483.76	8582.4	8548.5	8409	8448(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2760	-130	-3266	-1241	0	49%	-0.03	31.5	1.86%	0	0.3	57	0
25	Jan_19_2007	8024.04	8365.19	8449.79	8649.6	8635.5	8478	8328(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-5596	-130	-6607	-2561	0	49%		37.1	1.87%	0	-0.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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