Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 5, 2006

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $8472.0000 (0.28%) ($8448.0000 - $8688.0000) on Tue. Dec. 5, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.2% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $8472.0000(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $8016(5.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $7875.64(7.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $7781.32(8.88%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $144.495b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 3.05% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.44%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.64%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.34%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.85%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2006	7953.68	7781.32	7875.64	8016	8032.5	8346	8472(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	9772	280	11479	4652	0	53%	0.04	43.6	2.2%	0	2.9	75	0
2	Dec_4_2006	7950.78	7738.14	7806.01	7843.2	7807.2	7977	8448(8.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.4	6339	140	7449	3010	0	53%	0.03	31.3	2.22%	0	4	70	0
3	Dec_1_2006	7948.59	7690.5	7724.73	7699.2	7687.2	7719	7776(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	1957	20	2301	925	0	40%	-0.07	12.4	1.95%	0	1.2	55	0
4	Nov_30_2006	7954.17	7677.72	7712.81	7694.4	7673.7	7637.4	7752(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-863	-40	-1016	-402	0	40%	-0.11	-7.1	1.95%	0	1	57	0
5	Nov_29_2006	7962.65	7673.65	7701.15	7699.2	7709.7	7655.4	7632(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-1380	-50	-1624	-646	0	40%	-0.15	-8.3	1.94%	0	-0.6	48	0

6	Nov_28_2006	7974.78	7679.46	7704.84	7708.8	7723.62	7710	7608(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-1403	-10	-1653	-653	0	40%	-0.15	-9.3	1.94%	0	-1	52	0
7	Nov_27_2006	7986.41	7683.45	7717.77	7756.8	7740.12	7764	7728(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	553	20	644	278	0	40%	-0.14	-2.1	1.94%	0	0.6	53	0
8	Nov_24_2006	7997.81	7681.86	7713.18	7752	7743.12	7737.24	7752(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	626	-10	729	316	0	40%	-0.28	-9.6	1.94%	0	1	60	0
9	Nov_22_2006	8020.55	7683.21	7701.47	7732.8	7731.12	7716.24	7776(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-470	-10	-560	-199	0	47%	-0.03	-23.7	1.94%	0	1.2	64	0
10	Nov_21_2006	8023.02	7680.03	7691.13	7704	7713	7749	7680(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	146	40	166	85	0	47%	-0.13	-52.5	1.99%	0	-0	50	0

11	Nov_20_2006	8033.68	7686.47	7684.85	7699.2	7707	7746	7848(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	1826	40	2144	871	0	50%	-0.11	-64.5	1.99%	0	1.9	53	0
12	Nov_17_2006	8042.41	7684.69	7666.07	7675.2	7707	7677	7704(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	197	-0	229	100	0	50%	-0.14	-79.2	1.97%	0	0.2	51	0
13	Nov_16_2006	8053.81	7688.8	7652.25	7670.4	7680	7668	7656(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-634	-10	-746	-297	0	50%	-0.11	-82.1	1.97%	0	-0.3	47	0
14	Nov_15_2006	8063.02	7701.02	7639.17	7665.6	7704	7683	7632(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-158	-0	-183	-83	0	50%	-0.11	-64.3	1.98%	0	-0.6	41	0
15	Nov_14_2006	8072.23	7721.16	7643.6	7675.2	7701	7692	7656(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-671	0	-787	-324	0	50%	-0.12	-44.6	1.98%	0	-0.5	47	0

16	Nov_13_2006	8081.68	7741.27	7651.94	7665.6	7698	7725	7728(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	435	40	516	192	0	50%	-0.11	-33.5	1.98%	0	-0.1	44	0
17	Nov_10_2006	8090.65	7750.09	7645.93	7656	7689	7710	7680(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1138	30	1345	516	0	50%	-0.1	-29.1	1.99%	0	-0.4	41	0
18	Nov_9_2006	8099.14	7767.06	7647.35	7632	7665	7671	7632(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	600	20	715	254	0	50%	-0.14	-26.2	1.98%	0	-0.9	42	0
19	Nov_8_2006	8110.53	7779.39	7662.86	7632	7623	7668	7680(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	647	50	773	268	0	50%	-0.12	-32.3	1.98%	0	-0.6	38	0
20	Nov_7_2006	8120.47	7784.88	7666.87	7608	7587	7659	7608(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	1780	60	2110	790	0	50%	-0.15	-35	1.98%	0	-1.2	30	0

21	Nov_6_2006	8132.84	7790.15	7687.7	7608	7582.5	7578	7680(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1086	-30	1295	460	0	50%	-0.21	-40.3	1.98%	0	-0.7	31	0
22	Nov_3_2006	8149.56	7795.73	7703.1	7636.8	7602	7515	7560(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2221	-90	-2595	-1100	0	50%	-0.14	-46.3	1.98%	0	-1.6	36	0
23	Nov_2_2006	8160.96	7808.06	7728	7665.6	7653	7587	7512(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-3059	-70	-3579	-1497	0	50%	-0.31	-54.8	1.97%	0	-2.1	30	0
24	Nov_1_2006	8186.17	7829.64	7769.62	7723.2	7717.5	7689	7680(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1075	-30	-1249	-552	0	53%	-0.29	-62.1	1.96%	0	-1.2	44	0
25	Oct_31_2006	8210.17	7838.84	7806.28	7732.8	7749	7719	7752(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-739	-20	-857	-385	0	48%		-64.5	1.95%	0	-0.7	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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