Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 27, 2006

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $7704.0000 (-1.23%) ($7680.0000 - $7896.0000) on Fri. Oct. 27, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.99% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $7704.0000(-1.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -0.995% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.995% (StdDev 1.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

Resistance Level   $7864.27
5 Day Moving Average   $7780.8(-0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $7863.14(-2.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $7864.27(-2.04%)
To recent high   -13.2%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $131.396b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 1.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.6%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.69%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_27_2006	8259.14	7864.27	7863.14	7780.8	7788.11	7779	7704(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-190	-10	-219	-101	0	48%	-0.32	-38.6	1.99%	0	-1.3	49	NAN
2	Oct_26_2006	8286.05	7884.32	7897.05	7800	7812.11	7773.21	7800(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-785	-30	-923	-370	0	48%	-0.31	-22.7	1.99%	0	-0.6	52	NAN
3	Oct_25_2006	8311.5	7904.61	7905.81	7824	7833.11	7797.21	7728(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1932	-30	-2274	-906	0	48%	-0.31	-9.8	2%	0	-1.3	44	NAN
4	Oct_24_2006	8337.68	7916.26	7914.15	7891.2	7894.5	7851	7824(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1242	-40	-1465	-571	0	48%	-0.35	2.4	1.99%	0	-0.7	50	NAN
5	Oct_23_2006	8367.02	7915.16	7903.17	7944	7961.25	7869	7848(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2000	-70	-2357	-927	0	48%	-0.35	-1.2	2%	0	-0.5	45	NAN

6	Oct_20_2006	8396.35	7912.7	7897.85	7958.4	8003.25	7938	7800(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-2540	-40	-2992	-1184	0	45%	-0.34	-18	2.22%	0	-0.8	46	NAN
7	Oct_19_2006	8424.96	7916.09	7897.74	8006.4	8031.75	8053.5	7920(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	26	30	27	22	0	45%	-0.29	-12.4	2.29%	0	0	43	NAN
8	Oct_18_2006	8449.44	7918.19	7897.11	7996.8	8004.75	8068.5	8064(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	1751	60	2060	824	0	45%	-0.29	-22.2	2.29%	0	1.1	42	NAN
9	Oct_17_2006	8473.68	7913.35	7873.85	7939.2	7945.5	8010	8088(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	1895	60	2233	880	0	45%	-0.05	-30.4	2.3%	0	1.2	54	NAN
10	Oct_16_2006	8477.62	7916.79	7860.4	7857.6	7890	7941	7920(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	1695	60	2001	778	0	45%	-0.31	-29.5	2.29%	0	0	55	NAN

11	Oct_13_2006	8503.58	7937.2	7861.22	7828.8	7837.5	7881	8040(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	929	40	1100	417	0	42%	-0.29	-24.1	2.29%	0	0.6	59	NAN
12	Oct_12_2006	8528.07	7932.9	7863.8	7776	7824	7839	7872(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	874	30	1036	389	0	40%	-0.31	-27	2.3%	0	-0.3	52	NAN
13	Oct_11_2006	8554.27	7948.68	7896.19	7785.6	7819.5	7794	7776(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-626	-10	-732	-309	0	40%	-0.33	-20.4	2.32%	0	-1	45	NAN
14	Oct_10_2006	8582.44	7958.19	7914.17	7800	7851	7809	7680(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-921	-20	-1079	-447	0	40%	-0.34	-23.9	2.31%	0	-1.6	41	NAN
15	Oct_9_2006	8611.33	7967.78	7928.15	7862.4	7873.52	7845	7776(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-1372	-20	-1609	-660	0	40%	-0.3	-43.5	2.31%	0	-1.2	36	NAN

16	Oct_6_2006	8637.18	7978.53	7931.58	7895.95	7917.11	7893	7776(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-651	-10	-758	-331	0	38%	-0.31	-57.8	2.34%	0	-1.2	33	NAN
17	Oct_5_2006	8663.88	7981.87	7941.5	7963.15	7960.59	7902.03	7920(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1420	-50	-1664	-686	0	38%	-0.33	-69.7	2.35%	0	-0.4	50	NAN
18	Oct_4_2006	8692.77	7985.78	7946.24	8025.55	8025.09	7941.21	7848(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-2171	-70	-2549	-1036	0	38%	-0.35	-73.6	2.36%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
19	Oct_3_2006	8723.63	8000.19	7961.33	8044.75	8095.58	8019.15	7992(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1302	-50	-1528	-623	0	38%	-0.35	-55.9	2.37%	0	-0	52	NAN
20	Oct_2_2006	8754.24	8040.03	7980.05	8001.55	8066.99	8108.97	7943.76(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-513	60	-601	-250	0	38%	-0.39	-54	2.37%	0	-0.4	54	NAN

21	Sep_29_2006	8788.53	8074.45	8019.8	7968	8009.7	8172	8112(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	3770	160	4436	1771	0	41%	-0.36	-48	2.36%	0	0.1	53	NAN
22	Sep_28_2006	8820.61	8093.45	8004.87	7915.2	7906.2	8025	8232(3.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	3817	100	4493	1789	0	41%	-0.39	-48.9	2.39%	0	0.5	59	NAN
23	Sep_27_2006	8855.39	8105.99	7997.8	7862.4	7844.7	7847.4	7944(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	874	-0	1031	401	0	37%	-0.43	-51.4	2.34%	0	-0.5	50	NAN
24	Sep_26_2006	8893.84	8139.08	7999.17	7872	7864.2	7787.4	7776(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1685	-70	-1977	-807	0	37%	-0.45	-45.6	2.33%	0	-1.1	43	NAN
25	Sep_25_2006	8934.25	8177.62	8008.56	7958.4	7926	7842	7776(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3056	-90	-3586	-1465	0	37%		-33.3	2.33%	0	-1.2	32	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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