Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 13, 2006

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $7944.0000 (1.53%) ($7752.0000 - $8352.0000) on Wed. Sep. 13, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.94% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $7944.0000(1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.47% (StdDev 2.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

Resistance Level   $8259.58
5 Day Moving Average   $7905.6(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $8212.85(-3.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $8259.58(-3.82%)
To recent high   -21%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $135.49b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 3.96% (three month std-dev: 2.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2006	9241.59	8259.58	8212.85	7905.6	7897.5	7911.03	7944(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	221	10	283	34	0	28%	-0.4	-12.1	2.94%	0	-1	38	0
2	Sep_12_2006	9279.06	8267.39	8281.9	7944	7909.5	7887	7824(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-746	-30	-857	-413	0	28%	-0.4	-7.7	2.93%	0	-1.4	39	0
3	Sep_11_2006	9316.53	8281.95	8357.27	8155.2	7996.49	7883.97	7968(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2465	-160	-2890	-1190	0	28%	-0.37	12.2	2.93%	0	-1	51	0
4	Sep_8_2006	9351.06	8287.52	8413.77	8299.2	8197.5	7932	7800(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-4265	-260	-5017	-2010	0	27%	-0.38	27	2.91%	0	-1.6	51	0
5	Sep_7_2006	9387.06	8298.19	8483.76	8448	8388	8109	7992(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-6144	-250	-7236	-2867	0	27%	-0.4	44.1	2.91%	0	-1	56	0

6	Sep_6_2006	9424.9	8299.29	8542.26	8558.4	8499	8463	8136(-8.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-3787	-50	-4472	-1730	0	26%	-0.34	57.4	2.9%	0	-0.5	61	0
7	Sep_5_2006	9457.47	8292.65	8574.96	8659.2	8590.5	8667	8880(2.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	2511	40	2929	1258	0	29%	-0.27	68.8	2.75%	0	1.9	77	0
8	Sep_1_2006	9482.7	8244.07	8496.74	8592	8542.5	8535	8688(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	675	-20	770	389	0	32%	-0.29	71.2	2.72%	0	1.5	74	0
9	Aug_31_2006	9509.88	8204.62	8427.48	8553.6	8508	8514	8544(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-590	-10	-716	-210	0	32%	-0.32	67.4	2.74%	0	1.2	72	0
10	Aug_30_2006	9540	8167.4	8370.62	8529.6	8513.58	8550	8544(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1224	20	1418	643	0	32%	-0.29	62.4	2.74%	0	1.4	75	0

11	Aug_29_2006	9568.17	8128.7	8308.11	8524.8	8464.08	8502	8640(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	659	10	753	377	0	32%	-0.28	61.7	2.74%	0	1.9	78	0
12	Aug_28_2006	9595.1	8084.22	8246.4	8476.8	8437.08	8477.16	8544(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1147	20	1328	603	0	32%	-0.33	61.8	2.75%	0	1.8	75	0
13	Aug_25_2006	9626.94	8045.69	8194.13	8385.6	8401.08	8426.16	8496(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1570	30	1828	794	0	32%	-0.32	58.6	2.75%	0	2	75	0
14	Aug_24_2006	9657.97	8021.24	8143.96	8280	8283	8397	8424(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	1220	100	1421	618	0	32%	-0.36	55.4	2.75%	0	2	74	0
15	Aug_23_2006	9692.99	7998.06	8092.17	8184	8188.5	8376	8520(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	4303	160	5051	2059	0	32%	-0.33	33.2	2.75%	0	2.9	83	0

16	Aug_22_2006	9724.82	7964.29	8030.66	8059.2	8071.5	8169	8400(3.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	3452	90	4054	1647	0	34%	-0.35	8.1	2.74%	0	3.2	82	0
17	Aug_21_2006	9758.87	7932.57	7981.99	7987.2	7981.86	8001	8088(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	473	10	551	240	0	30%	-0.38	-18.9	2.7%	0	1.5	75	0
18	Aug_18_2006	9796.34	7915.78	7966.66	7977.6	7977.36	7974	7968(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	240	-0	276	132	0	29%	-0.39	-44.1	2.69%	0	0.6	67	0
19	Aug_17_2006	9834.78	7911.95	7962.3	7987.2	7971.36	7962.72	7944(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-220	-10	-264	-86	0	29%	-0.38	-31.9	2.72%	0	0.2	41	0
20	Aug_16_2006	9872.25	7939.49	7949.71	7982.4	7965.36	7980.72	7896(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	158	10	182	87	0	29%	-0.37	-25.7	2.72%	0	-0.2	43	0

21	Aug_15_2006	9909.23	7952.87	7940.02	7992	7950	7980	8040(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	644	10	754	315	0	28%	-0.37	-34.7	2.71%	0	0.5	58	0
22	Aug_14_2006	9945.97	7951.93	7913.92	7974.24	7932	7950	8040(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	579	-0	678	281	0	28%	-0.36	-55.9	2.73%	0	0.5	63	0
23	Aug_11_2006	9981.97	7957.43	7889.41	7955.04	7920.44	7920	8016(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-15	-10	-20	1	0	26%	-0.37	-70.3	2.73%	0	0.3	65	0
24	Aug_10_2006	10018.95	7966.5	7890.85	7935.84	7932.44	7914	7920(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	-20	57	33	0	26%	-0.37	-81.7	2.74%	0	-0.2	51	0
25	Aug_9_2006	10056.17	7985.34	7898.1	7911.84	7915.94	7920.87	7944(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-130	10	-150	-68	0	26%		-87	2.74%	0	-0.2	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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