Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 1, 2006

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $8688.0000 (1.69%) ($8328.0000 - $8760.0000) on Fri. Sep. 1, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.72% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $8688.0000(1.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.36% (StdDev 2.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $8592(1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $8496.74(2.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $8244.07(5.38%)
To recent high   -19.2%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $148.179b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 3.47% (three month std-dev: 2.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2006	9482.7	8244.07	8496.74	8592	8542.5	8535	8688(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	675	-20	770	389	0	32%	-0.29	71.2	2.72%	0	1.5	74	0
2	Aug_31_2006	9509.88	8204.62	8427.48	8553.6	8508	8514	8544(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-590	-10	-716	-210	0	32%	-0.32	67.4	2.74%	0	1.2	72	0
3	Aug_30_2006	9540	8167.4	8370.62	8529.6	8513.58	8550	8544(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1224	20	1418	643	0	32%	-0.29	62.4	2.74%	0	1.4	75	0
4	Aug_29_2006	9568.17	8128.7	8308.11	8524.8	8464.08	8502	8640(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	659	10	753	377	0	32%	-0.28	61.7	2.74%	0	1.9	78	0
5	Aug_28_2006	9595.1	8084.22	8246.4	8476.8	8437.08	8477.16	8544(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1147	20	1328	603	0	32%	-0.33	61.8	2.75%	0	1.8	75	0

6	Aug_25_2006	9626.94	8045.69	8194.13	8385.6	8401.08	8426.16	8496(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1570	30	1828	794	0	32%	-0.32	58.6	2.75%	0	2	75	0
7	Aug_24_2006	9657.97	8021.24	8143.96	8280	8283	8397	8424(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	1220	100	1421	618	0	32%	-0.36	55.4	2.75%	0	2	74	0
8	Aug_23_2006	9692.99	7998.06	8092.17	8184	8188.5	8376	8520(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	4303	160	5051	2059	0	32%	-0.33	33.2	2.75%	0	2.9	83	0
9	Aug_22_2006	9724.82	7964.29	8030.66	8059.2	8071.5	8169	8400(3.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	3452	90	4054	1647	0	34%	-0.35	8.1	2.74%	0	3.2	82	0
10	Aug_21_2006	9758.87	7932.57	7981.99	7987.2	7981.86	8001	8088(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	473	10	551	240	0	30%	-0.38	-18.9	2.7%	0	1.5	75	0

11	Aug_18_2006	9796.34	7915.78	7966.66	7977.6	7977.36	7974	7968(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	240	-0	276	132	0	29%	-0.39	-44.1	2.69%	0	0.6	67	0
12	Aug_17_2006	9834.78	7911.95	7962.3	7987.2	7971.36	7962.72	7944(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-220	-10	-264	-86	0	29%	-0.38	-31.9	2.72%	0	0.2	41	0
13	Aug_16_2006	9872.25	7939.49	7949.71	7982.4	7965.36	7980.72	7896(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	158	10	182	87	0	29%	-0.37	-25.7	2.72%	0	-0.2	43	0
14	Aug_15_2006	9909.23	7952.87	7940.02	7992	7950	7980	8040(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	644	10	754	315	0	28%	-0.37	-34.7	2.71%	0	0.5	58	0
15	Aug_14_2006	9945.97	7951.93	7913.92	7974.24	7932	7950	8040(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	579	-0	678	281	0	28%	-0.36	-55.9	2.73%	0	0.5	63	0

16	Aug_11_2006	9981.97	7957.43	7889.41	7955.04	7920.44	7920	8016(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-15	-10	-20	1	0	26%	-0.37	-70.3	2.73%	0	0.3	65	0
17	Aug_10_2006	10018.95	7966.5	7890.85	7935.84	7932.44	7914	7920(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	-20	57	33	0	26%	-0.37	-81.7	2.74%	0	-0.2	51	0
18	Aug_9_2006	10056.17	7985.34	7898.1	7911.84	7915.94	7920.87	7944(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-130	10	-150	-68	0	26%	-0.37	-87	2.74%	0	-0.2	30	0
19	Aug_8_2006	10093.15	8014.88	7892.77	7878.24	7879.94	7950.87	7951.2(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1137	60	1343	517	0	26%	-0.37	-79.1	2.74%	0	-0.2	45	0
20	Aug_7_2006	10130.79	8055.12	7877.88	7843.2	7824	7911	7944(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1946	70	2299	888	0	26%	-0.37	-73.5	2.75%	0	-0.3	49	0

21	Aug_4_2006	10168.02	8093.03	7859.13	7814.4	7783.5	7809	7920(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	890	10	1061	377	0	26%	-0.4	-68.6	2.75%	0	-0.5	45	0
22	Aug_3_2006	10208.42	8137.02	7855.63	7843.2	7806	7737	7800(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-901	-80	-1044	-470	0	26%	-0.39	-58.9	2.74%	0	-0.8	41	0
23	Aug_2_2006	10248.1	8200.04	7926.08	7884.77	7866	7758	7776(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2344	-100	-2746	-1139	0	26%	-0.4	-49.4	2.75%	0	-1	38	0
24	Aug_1_2006	10289.49	8255.46	7966.31	7908.77	7922.49	7875	7776(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1528	-40	-1784	-761	0	28%	-0.41	-45.3	2.75%	0	-1.1	34	0
25	Jul_31_2006	10331.61	8303.98	7994.46	7913.57	7920.99	7974	7800(-3.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	377	50	463	119	0	28%		-44.6	2.77%	0	-1.2	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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