Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 4, 2006

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $11976.0000 (1.01%) ($11760.0000 - $12000.0000) on Thu. May. 4, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.56% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $11976.0000(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -0.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.78% (StdDev 1.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $11779.24(1.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $11699.89(2.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11571.32(3.5%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $204.258b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 1.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.74%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.74%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.03%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2006	11751.06	11571.32	11699.89	11779.24	11769.01	11853	11976(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3051	50	3571	1490	0	48%	0.01	9.4	1.56%	0	1.9	65	NAN
2	May_3_2006	11749.31	11561.38	11635.22	11736.04	11683.51	11793.03	11856(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3547	50	4158	1713	0	45%	-0.03	9.4	1.57%	0	1.5	58	NAN
3	May_2_2006	11752.31	11548.4	11616.1	11721.64	11646.01	11685.03	11760.2(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3417	0	4002	1660	0	42%	0	11.2	1.6%	0	1.1	61	NAN
4	May_1_2006	11751.81	11544.94	11573.85	11692.8	11617.8	11574	11784(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-440	-50	-534	-158	0	42%	0	9.4	1.64%	0	1.3	62	NAN
5	Apr_28_2006	11751.56	11541.22	11530.15	11635.2	11592.3	11607	11520(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-864	-0	-1028	-373	0	39%	-0.02	5	1.6%	0	-0.1	47	NAN

6	Apr_27_2006	11753.56	11551.14	11515.09	11601.6	11556.3	11661.6	11760(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	3199	50	3755	1529	0	41%	-0.03	2.5	1.59%	0	1.1	54	NAN
7	Apr_26_2006	11757.06	11542.42	11485.74	11515.2	11497.8	11577.6	11784(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	3992	40	4696	1880	0	41%	-0.04	-9.5	1.59%	0	1.3	47	NAN
8	Apr_25_2006	11761.81	11527.98	11435.82	11498.4	11460	11451	11616(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	757	-20	894	345	0	41%	-0.02	-13.8	1.58%	0	0.5	49	NAN
9	Apr_24_2006	11764.06	11528.14	11401.5	11440.8	11468.25	11418	11496(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1209	-20	-1411	-601	0	41%	-0.06	-23	1.58%	0	-0.2	45	NAN
10	Apr_21_2006	11771.56	11531.79	11414.51	11440.8	11457.75	11469	11352(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1531	20	-1788	-761	0	41%	-0.03	-28.9	1.56%	0	-1	41	NAN

11	Apr_20_2006	11775.31	11546.74	11432.54	11412	11468.25	11518.5	11328(-3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	1616	50	1917	714	0	41%	-0.01	-35.8	1.57%	0	-1.3	42	NAN
12	Apr_19_2006	11776.06	11559.96	11482.45	11445.6	11487.75	11446.5	11700(3.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	955	-10	1136	413	0	44%	0.05	-35.5	1.54%	0	0.9	52	NAN
13	Apr_18_2006	11770.18	11552.56	11472.36	11366.4	11477.4	11418	11328(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3149	-10	-3688	-1531	0	39%	0.01	-57.6	1.48%	0	-1.4	46	NAN
14	Apr_17_2006	11769.18	11569.06	11512.48	11356.8	11474.4	11529	11352(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-425	60	-484	-249	0	42%	0.01	-71	1.48%	0	-1.4	43	NAN
15	Apr_13_2006	11767.43	11582.25	11552.97	11419.2	11484.9	11536.8	11352(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3226	50	3806	1484	0	42%	0	-57.6	1.5%	0	-1.5	46	NAN

16	Apr_12_2006	11766.93	11608.46	11592.2	11456.12	11489.4	11419.8	11496(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-977	-30	-1141	-485	0	42%	0.03	-43.5	1.5%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
17	Apr_11_2006	11763.68	11618.33	11605.32	11528.12	11524.04	11433	11304(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-5467	-60	-6428	-2585	0	40%	0.02	-36.7	1.5%	0	-2.1	44	NAN
18	Apr_10_2006	11760.93	11645.47	11631.57	11595.32	11635.04	11559	11280(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-2262	-40	-2660	-1066	0	40%	0.01	-22.5	1.5%	0	-2.6	44	NAN
19	Apr_7_2006	11759.43	11677.46	11671.8	11686.52	11674.04	11615.08	11664(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3363	-40	-3961	-1569	0	44%	0.06	13.1	1.44%	0	-0.1	51	NAN
20	Apr_6_2006	11752.93	11671.19	11663.29	11705.72	11704.04	11711.08	11536.6(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-840	0	-994	-378	0	44%	0.06	15.5	1.44%	0	-1.1	49	NAN

21	Apr_5_2006	11745.51	11671.94	11675.34	11745.6	11715	11733	11856(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	1840	0	2159	884	0	48%	0.09	1.8	1.4%	0	1.4	47	NAN
22	Apr_4_2006	11734.51	11672.69	11645.33	11697.6	11674.5	11733	11640(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	150	10	174	77	0	44%	0.05	-11.3	1.38%	0	-0.3	48	NAN
23	Apr_3_2006	11729.01	11677.37	11638.89	11673.6	11666.64	11697	11736(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	1981	20	2333	926	0	48%	0.05	-28.7	1.39%	0	0.4	45	NAN
24	Mar_31_2006	11723.51	11662.78	11628.03	11654.4	11633.64	11652	11760(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	934	10	1105	422	0	48%	0.02	-53.4	1.41%	0	0.7	43	NAN
25	Mar_30_2006	11720.76	11653.12	11609.93	11616	11608.14	11636.28	11736(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	920	10	1090	411	0	48%		-63.4	1.42%	0	0.5	57	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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