Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 5, 2005

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $11832.0000 (-3.14%) ($11760.0000 - $12360.0000) on Mon. Dec. 5, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $11832.0000(-3.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $11659.2(1.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $11442.62(3.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11311.23(4.6%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $201.802b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 2.92% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2005	11307.41	11311.23	11442.62	11659.2	11706.08	11991	11832(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	8361	180	9809	4018	0	57%	0.04	18.5	2%	0	1.6	63	0
2	Dec_2_2005	11303.28	11290.34	11370.94	11539.2	11482.58	11733.15	12216(4.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	8761	140	10284	4191	0	57%	0.09	10.5	1.98%	0	3	67	0
3	Dec_1_2005	11292.86	11243.55	11246.03	11332.8	11325.08	11421.15	11712(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	5218	60	6128	2488	0	53%	0.04	-14.3	1.95%	0	2.1	52	0
4	Nov_30_2005	11288.25	11221.21	11155.57	11251.2	11242.5	11232	11400(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	163	-10	187	89	0	57%	0.01	-36.5	2.05%	0	0.9	53	0
5	Nov_29_2005	11287.53	11228.95	11095.96	11208	11235	11229	11136(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-294	0	-344	-144	0	54%	-0.03	-42	2.04%	0	-0.4	43	0

6	Nov_28_2005	11290.68	11250.47	11092.75	11188.8	11218.5	11253	11232(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	865	30	1024	389	0	54%	-0.02	-48	2.04%	0	-0.1	41	0
7	Nov_25_2005	11293.1	11257.22	11087.37	11169.6	11169	11241	11184(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1970	40	2326	900	0	54%	-0.02	-56.1	2.04%	0	-0.3	43	0
8	Nov_23_2005	11294.89	11276.39	11113.27	11140.8	11106	11184	11304(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2761	40	3258	1270	0	54%	0.01	-54.9	2.03%	0	0.1	47	0
9	Nov_22_2005	11293.45	11295.54	11100.45	11044.8	11031.15	11097	11184(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1965	40	2327	880	0	54%	-0.01	-59.5	2.03%	0	-0.4	47	0
10	Nov_21_2005	11294.56	11320.55	11120.33	10968	10989.15	11028	11040(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1751	30	2080	765	0	54%	0.03	-59	2.02%	0	-1	37	0

11	Nov_18_2005	11291.41	11361.4	11169.86	10982.4	10953.53	10965.3	11136(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-401	-0	-452	-248	0	54%	0.05	-50.2	2.03%	0	-0.8	40	0
12	Nov_17_2005	11285.35	11387.7	11203.31	10996.8	11009.03	10950.3	11040(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-859	-30	-992	-460	0	57%	0.03	-47.2	2.03%	0	-1.2	44	0
13	Nov_16_2005	11281.71	11416.42	11239.65	11088	11089.88	10941.75	10824(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-3845	-90	-4507	-1858	0	53%	0.01	-36.7	2.05%	0	-2.2	35	0
14	Nov_15_2005	11280.25	11457.49	11294.51	11164.8	11187.38	11067.75	10800(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-4702	-70	-5516	-2260	0	53%	0.03	-31.4	2.1%	0	-2.8	32	0
15	Nov_14_2005	11277.1	11494.38	11379.11	11289.6	11289	11238	11112(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-2597	-30	-3044	-1257	0	56%	0.01	-26.8	2.07%	0	-2	37	0

16	Nov_11_2005	11275.41	11507.28	11428.38	11380.8	11383.5	11307	11208(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1698	-50	-1988	-829	0	56%	0.02	-28.1	2.08%	0	-1.8	35	0
17	Nov_10_2005	11273.47	11523.53	11448.47	11438.4	11466	11340	11496(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-3040	-70	-3566	-1460	0	59%	0.04	-27.7	2.06%	0	-0.2	46	0
18	Nov_9_2005	11269.35	11517.43	11456.12	11419.2	11511	11460	11208(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-2911	-10	-3414	-1403	0	57%	0	-43.1	2.04%	0	-2	42	0
19	Nov_8_2005	11269.1	11532.68	11509.24	11443.2	11523	11592	11424(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	904	60	1073	398	0	57%	-0.01	-55.1	2.02%	0	-0.7	46	0
20	Nov_7_2005	11270.56	11545.69	11537.14	11481.6	11500.5	11562	11568(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1945	40	2294	897	0	57%	-0.01	-49.2	2.02%	0	0.1	54	0

21	Nov_4_2005	11272.01	11555.11	11564.68	11486.4	11526	11454	11496(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	220	-30	261	97	0	57%	-0.04	-51.1	2.03%	0	-0.4	57	0
22	Nov_3_2005	11276.62	11567.6	11581.5	11462.4	11533.5	11439	11400(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3598	-40	-4231	-1699	0	57%	-0.04	-61	2.04%	0	-1	49	0
23	Nov_2_2005	11281.22	11585.58	11602.97	11500.8	11556	11598	11328(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1286	40	-1514	-602	0	57%	-0.04	-52.7	2.04%	0	-1.5	52	0
24	Nov_1_2005	11285.59	11614.23	11632.93	11582.4	11608.5	11628	11616(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2383	20	2798	1138	0	60%	0	-38.3	2.02%	0	0	54	0
25	Oct_31_2005	11285.59	11620.68	11619.19	11601.6	11610	11514	11592(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2127	-60	-2507	-986	0	60%		-38.6	2.02%	0	-0.2	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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