Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 4, 2005

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $10608.0000 (1.61%) ($10464.0000 - $10728.0000) on Mon. Apr. 4, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $10608.0000(1.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $11334.33
5 Day Moving Average   $10382.4(2.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $10874.8(-2.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11334.33(-6.41%)
To recent high   -17.4%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $180.926b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 5.42% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2005	12447.33	11334.33	10874.8	10382.4	10370.1	10506	10608(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4561	90	5434	1940	0	39%	-0.22	-57.4	1.67%	0	-1.2	31	0
2	Apr_1_2005	12474.33	11386.76	11002.44	10464	10400.1	10306.2	10440(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1340	-80	-1513	-820	0	39%	-0.22	-55.4	1.66%	0	-1.6	32	0
3	Mar_31_2005	12502.33	11457.7	11123.76	10656	10602.6	10234.2	10248(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11644	-260	-13643	-5647	0	36%	-0.22	-52.6	1.65%	0	-2.2	27	0
4	Mar_30_2005	12530.05	11537.94	11295.19	10891.2	10918.5	10494	10200(-2.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-17347	-260	-20363	-8299	0	36%	-0.3	-52.1	1.64%	0	-2.8	24	0
5	Mar_29_2005	12567.55	11624.91	11482.18	11174.4	11235	10971	10416(-5.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-13327	-150	-15649	-6361	0	38%	-0.31	-52.8	1.64%	0	-3.4	30	0

6	Mar_28_2005	12606.3	11698.57	11629.45	11428.8	11469	11343	11016(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-6731	-70	-7899	-3227	0	44%	-0.41	-61.5	1.51%	0	-3	35	0
7	Mar_24_2005	12658.19	11723.38	11697.34	11616	11605.5	11499	11400(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4447	-70	-5222	-2122	0	48%	-0.24	-71.8	1.48%	0	-1.8	48	0
8	Mar_23_2005	12688.63	11754.89	11736.26	11664	11702.85	11595	11424(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-4609	-50	-5415	-2191	0	48%	-0.23	-75	1.49%	0	-1.8	45	0
9	Mar_22_2005	12717.82	11789.71	11790.79	11764.8	11776.2	11712	11616(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3669	-40	-4316	-1726	0	51%	-0.21	-65.8	1.48%	0	-0.9	49	0
10	Mar_21_2005	12744.79	11817.42	11809.83	11841.6	11824.2	11810.7	11688(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-1462	-10	-1724	-676	0	51%	-0.21	-61.8	1.49%	0	-0.7	48	0

11	Mar_18_2005	12771.76	11838.21	11829.82	11860.8	11860.2	11840.4	11952(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	743	-10	868	369	0	55%	-0.19	-62.8	1.46%	0	0.6	54	0
12	Mar_17_2005	12796.5	11856.32	11794.68	11793.6	11822.85	11837.7	11640(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1044	20	-1233	-477	0	50%	-0.18	-60.2	1.43%	0	-1	58	0
13	Mar_16_2005	12819.27	11894.23	11811.03	11817.12	11811	11880	11928(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	2526	40	2968	1200	0	55%	-0.14	-53.8	1.41%	0	0.1	48	0
14	Mar_15_2005	12837.08	11913.39	11791.08	11821.92	11791.5	11808	12000(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	2455	0	2888	1157	0	55%	-0.13	-57	1.41%	0	0.3	47	0
15	Mar_14_2005	12853.91	11932.96	11769.14	11778.72	11766	11742	11784(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-1379	-20	-1617	-666	0	51%	-0.13	-62.8	1.39%	0	-0.5	42	0

16	Mar_11_2005	12871.22	11961.62	11766.65	11797.92	11766	11775	11616(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-469	-10	-543	-245	0	48%	-0.15	-63.8	1.38%	0	-1.1	40	0
17	Mar_10_2005	12891.02	11994.61	11750.51	11793.12	11785.8	11790	11757.6(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	0	-44	-79	0	48%	-0.16	-68.1	1.38%	0	-0.8	38	0
18	Mar_9_2005	12912.07	12031.87	11774.24	11798.4	11776.8	11796.6	11952(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	312	10	389	80	0	52%	-0.13	-63.4	1.37%	0	-0.3	39	0
19	Mar_8_2005	12928.4	12070.52	11785.42	11755.2	11784.3	11781.6	11784(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1706	10	2035	719	0	39%	-0.15	-55.6	1.36%	0	-0.8	38	0
20	Mar_7_2005	12947.21	12121.16	11822.29	11760	11733	11757	11880(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-744	10	-846	-436	0	39%	-0.15	-46	1.45%	0	-0.6	37	0

21	Mar_4_2005	12966.51	12161.66	11842.81	11736	11724	11787	11592(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3135	30	3720	1381	0	43%	-0.2	-41.7	1.51%	0	-1.4	32	0
22	Mar_3_2005	12991.99	12203.65	11919.93	11697.6	11667	11709	11784(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3269	20	3879	1439	0	30%	-0.2	-48.4	1.51%	0	-1.1	39	0
23	Mar_2_2005	13017.48	12235.37	11981.59	11745.6	11551.5	11661	11736(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-687	20	-785	-393	0	30%	-0.17	-46.4	2.08%	0	-1.4	33	0
24	Mar_1_2005	13039.99	12270.1	12043.79	11822.4	11665.5	11625	11808(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	2305	-60	2735	1015	0	30%	-0.17	-43.7	2.09%	0	-1.4	30	0
25	Feb_28_2005	13062.26	12300.1	12107.72	11899.2	11779.5	11442	11760(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7514	-230	-8817	-3606	0	30%		-41.4	2.07%	0	-1.7	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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