Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 24, 2005

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $12024.0000 (-0.79%) ($12000.0000 - $12144.0000) on Thu. Feb. 24, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $12024.0000(-0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)    EWG(4%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $12386.43
5 Day Moving Average   $12168(-1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12267.13(-1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12386.43(-2.93%)
To recent high   -18.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $205.077b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.82%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.22%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.92%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.08%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_24_2005	13119.91	12386.43	12267.13	12168	12156.6	12117	12024(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2540	-30	-2970	-1248	0	35%	-0.21	-36.1	1.95%	0	-1.8	43	NAN
2	Feb_23_2005	13146.88	12405.54	12318.04	12249.6	12229.2	12189	12120(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-745	-30	-863	-391	0	40%	-0.2	-30.3	1.99%	0	-1.5	45	NAN
3	Feb_22_2005	13173.85	12421.63	12383.08	12298.08	12274.2	12196.2	12192(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2361	-50	-2768	-1138	0	50%	-0.26	-22.5	2.01%	0	-1.3	46	NAN
4	Feb_18_2005	13208.16	12436	12445.86	12350.88	12337.35	12269.4	12120(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-2255	-40	-2649	-1073	0	50%	-0.17	-9.8	2.12%	0	-1.9	45	NAN
5	Feb_17_2005	13230.2	12458.83	12507.31	12403.68	12386.25	12352.2	12384(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1097	-20	-1291	-515	0	53%	-0.12	4.2	2.11%	0	-0.5	55	NAN

6	Feb_16_2005	13246.36	12461.81	12510.22	12379.68	12388.65	12405.3	12432(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-576	10	-677	-273	0	53%	-0.11	-1.7	2.11%	0	-0.2	51	NAN
7	Feb_15_2005	13261.05	12462.34	12507.75	12398.88	12411.15	12420.3	12362.4(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	607	10	714	286	0	53%	-0.1	4.1	2.11%	0	-0.7	52	NAN
8	Feb_14_2005	13273.76	12461.18	12512.97	12484.8	12441	12372	12456(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2111	-50	-2487	-983	0	53%	-0.12	11.4	2.11%	0	-0	52	NAN
9	Feb_11_2005	13289.93	12452.61	12505.58	12561.6	12565.5	12402	12384(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-3535	-90	-4164	-1646	0	53%	-0.15	21.1	2.11%	0	-0.4	48	NAN
10	Feb_10_2005	13310.25	12452.26	12499.57	12628.8	12678	12510	12264(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-4765	-80	-5613	-2222	0	44%	-0.16	28.7	2.12%	0	-1.2	41	NAN

11	Feb_9_2005	13332.05	12463.96	12519.77	12652.8	12709.5	12729	12528(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-1862	20	-2198	-854	0	44%	-0.13	26.6	2.25%	0	0.4	54	NAN
12	Feb_8_2005	13349.19	12455.67	12504.26	12624	12679.5	12846	12792(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	4316	110	5072	2049	0	44%	-0.1	10.4	2.25%	0	2.2	64	NAN
13	Feb_7_2005	13362.17	12443.3	12463.12	12542.4	12559.5	12690	12840(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	4303	80	5058	2036	0	44%	-0.09	-17.9	2.26%	0	2.9	70	NAN
14	Feb_4_2005	13374.17	12418.48	12420.08	12446.4	12474	12513	12720(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	2314	30	2721	1094	0	44%	-0.05	-84.5	2.26%	0	2.9	69	NAN
15	Feb_3_2005	13381.27	12406.55	12398.29	12360	12409.5	12429	12384(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	228	20	268	106	0	40%	-0.06	-171.6	2.23%	0	-0.3	52	NAN

16	Feb_2_2005	13389.36	12422.93	12402.99	12369.6	12379.5	12435	12384(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1149	30	1352	540	0	40%	-0.08	-141.6	2.23%	0	-0.4	45	NAN
17	Feb_1_2005	13400.38	12439.51	12408.22	12364.8	12354	12390	12384(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1601	20	1883	753	0	40%	-0.11	-132.7	2.23%	0	-0.4	52	NAN
18	Jan_31_2005	13415.8	12468.1	12402.32	12369.6	12324	12324	12360(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-266	-10	-311	-130	0	40%	-0.05	-93	2.23%	0	-0.6	41	NAN
19	Jan_28_2005	13423.15	12506.96	12394.63	12388.8	12357	12318	12288(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-599	-30	-703	-286	0	46%	-0.07	-57.4	2.23%	0	-0.9	48	NAN
20	Jan_27_2005	13432.46	12551.39	12403.45	12388.8	12399	12324	12432(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1930	-50	-2270	-910	0	46%	-0.02	-32.9	2.28%	0	-0.4	47	NAN

21	Jan_26_2005	13434.91	12581.85	12407.1	12441.6	12451.5	12396	12360(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1851	-30	-2176	-877	0	46%	-0.01	-20.1	2.29%	0	-0.8	38	NAN
22	Jan_25_2005	13436.13	12613.46	12408.12	12456.96	12487.5	12474	12408(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-701	-0	-821	-341	0	46%	-0.08	-7.1	2.29%	0	-0.7	39	NAN
23	Jan_24_2005	13446.73	12635.24	12425.37	12437.76	12495.3	12507	12456(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	576	20	684	251	0	46%	0.01	-2.1	2.29%	0	-0.6	34	NAN
24	Jan_21_2005	13445.74	12643.83	12418.21	12399.36	12453.3	12501	12552(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	715	40	854	299	0	46%	-0	-4.5	2.29%	0	-0.3	31	NAN
25	Jan_20_2005	13446.24	12641.78	12413.11	12360.96	12417.3	12483.6	12432(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1542	50	1832	672	0	46%		-8.7	2.3%	0	-0.7	27	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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