Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 12, 2004

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $10872.0000 (-4.63%) ($10464.0000 - $11400.0000) on Thu. Aug. 12, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.88% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $10872.0000(-4.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -8.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWG(4%)    EWP(4%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)    REMX(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.44% (StdDev 2.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.6%

Resistance Level   $13243.68
5 Day Moving Average   $11496(-5.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12372.34(-12.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13243.68(-17.91%)
To recent high   -44.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $185.429b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 9.2% (three month std-dev: 2.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.62%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 5.35%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.62%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2004	17189.2	13243.68	12372.34	11496	11394	11187	10872(-4.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-7316	-150	-8554	-3603	0	34%	-0.43	-67.8	2.88%	0	-1.9	22	0
2	Aug_11_2004	17262.68	13432.85	12633.86	11798.4	11638.5	11532	11400(-3.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-3905	-100	-4543	-1990	0	40%	-0.38	-71.3	2.84%	0	-1.9	23	0
3	Aug_10_2004	17328.49	13579.53	12880.67	12091.2	11952	11601	11760(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5446	-240	-6360	-2703	0	41%	-0.35	-76.6	2.91%	0	-1.8	23	0
4	Aug_9_2004	17388.87	13742.02	13077.31	12451.2	12327	11745	11400(-5.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-13270	-360	-15567	-6380	0	39%	-0.43	-76.1	2.87%	0	-2.4	16	0
5	Aug_6_2004	17463.84	13937.08	13329.28	12988.8	12883.5	12303	12048(-2.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12342	-340	-14484	-5915	0	41%	-0.38	-72.3	2.82%	0	-2.1	31	0

6	Aug_5_2004	17531.13	14124.91	13552.77	13382.4	13233	12909	12384(-3.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-10945	-200	-12849	-5232	0	41%	-0.37	-70.8	2.81%	0	-2.2	34	0
7	Aug_4_2004	17595.71	14259.54	13760.65	13584	13510.5	13464	12864(-5.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-2510	-40	-2929	-1251	0	46%	-0.31	-75.5	2.78%	0	-1.9	35	0
8	Aug_3_2004	17651.13	14409.61	13958.08	13776	13626	13464	13560(-3.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	41	-70	64	-29	0	49%	-0.26	-72.6	2.79%	0	-1.2	45	0
9	Aug_2_2004	17697.9	14521.43	14109.94	13795.2	13620	13557	14088(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-3152	-70	-3693	-1529	0	52%	-0.23	-76.3	2.78%	0	-0.6	42	0
10	Jul_30_2004	17738.97	14608.27	14136.9	13732.8	13732.5	13695	14016(4.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-424	-20	-479	-259	0	48%	-0.24	-78.3	2.8%	0	-0.8	39	0

11	Jul_29_2004	17781.53	14699.06	14166.07	13771.2	13797	13683	13392(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2714	-50	-3169	-1350	0	41%	-0.27	-78.7	2.83%	0	-1.7	27	0
12	Jul_28_2004	17829.28	14845.03	14283.11	13972.8	13950	13770	13824(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4392	-100	-5145	-2131	0	43%	-0.24	-74.5	2.88%	0	-1.3	41	0
13	Jul_27_2004	17872.33	14956.71	14323.89	14174.4	14208	13911	13656(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5954	-140	-6981	-2872	0	40%	-0.26	-71.7	2.87%	0	-1.6	33	0
14	Jul_26_2004	17919.59	15085.43	14453.43	14472	14509.5	14130	13776(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6926	-180	-8128	-3319	0	42%	-0.26	-67.1	2.94%	0	-1.7	34	0
15	Jul_23_2004	17966.85	15229.27	14593.95	14592	14680.5	14505	14208(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5932	-70	-6959	-2852	0	44%	-0.27	-63	2.96%	0	-1.3	36	0

16	Jul_22_2004	18014.85	15349.52	14743.17	14611.2	14727	14889	14400(-2.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	1124	100	1343	468	0	44%	-0.27	-56.4	2.97%	0	-1.2	37	0
17	Jul_21_2004	18063.09	15464.7	14800.77	14630.4	14649	14856	14832(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5700	100	6731	2608	0	44%	-0.28	-51.1	2.96%	0	-0.8	37	0
18	Jul_20_2004	18113.07	15550.61	14893.35	14496	14470.5	14565	15144(5.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	2152	40	2560	926	0	44%	-0.31	-51.3	2.95%	0	-0.5	42	0
19	Jul_19_2004	18169.48	15624.37	14951.05	14452.8	14424	14442	14376(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-614	0	-690	-385	0	40%	-0.35	-48.3	2.88%	0	-1.5	32	0
20	Jul_16_2004	18233.81	15735.39	15102.86	14611.2	14599.5	14376	14304(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2142	-110	-2488	-1103	0	37%	-0.34	-48.2	2.88%	0	-1.8	28	0

21	Jul_15_2004	18296.91	15809.74	15263.95	14904	14787	14406	14496(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8713	-200	-10223	-4184	0	37%	-0.32	-51.8	2.93%	0	-1.8	30	0
22	Jul_14_2004	18355.3	15889.13	15445.93	14995.2	15090	14823	14160(-5.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-7088	-100	-8311	-3419	0	37%	-0.28	-63.2	2.92%	0	-2.6	24	0
23	Jul_13_2004	18407.51	15985.91	15645.78	15336	15322.5	15168	14928(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5115	-70	-5994	-2477	0	40%	-0.25	-72.5	2.88%	0	-2	31	0
24	Jul_12_2004	18454.27	16046.16	15776.7	15518.4	15582.15	15357	15168(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3641	-90	-4262	-1778	0	40%	-0.28	-84.9	2.88%	0	-1.8	32	0
25	Jul_9_2004	18506.47	16136.58	15924.61	15667.2	15790.65	15477	15768(5.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5962	-120	-6996	-2861	0	42%		-93.5	2.85%	0	-0.8	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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