Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 21, 2004

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $14832.0000 (-2.06%) ($14592.0000 - $15480.0000) on Wed. Jul. 21, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.96% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $14832.0000(-2.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWG(4%)    EWP(4%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)    REMX(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.48% (StdDev 2.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.7%

Resistance Level   $15464.7
5 Day Moving Average   $14630.4(1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14800.77(0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15464.7(-4.09%)
To recent high   -30.2%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $252.969b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 5.22% (three month std-dev: 2.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2004	18063.09	15464.7	14800.77	14630.4	14649	14856	14832(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5700	100	6731	2608	0	44%	-0.28	-51.1	2.96%	0	-0.8	37	0
2	Jul_20_2004	18113.07	15550.61	14893.35	14496	14470.5	14565	15144(5.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	2152	40	2560	926	0	44%	-0.31	-51.3	2.95%	0	-0.5	42	0
3	Jul_19_2004	18169.48	15624.37	14951.05	14452.8	14424	14442	14376(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-614	0	-690	-385	0	40%	-0.35	-48.3	2.88%	0	-1.5	32	0
4	Jul_16_2004	18233.81	15735.39	15102.86	14611.2	14599.5	14376	14304(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2142	-110	-2488	-1103	0	37%	-0.34	-48.2	2.88%	0	-1.8	28	0
5	Jul_15_2004	18296.91	15809.74	15263.95	14904	14787	14406	14496(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8713	-200	-10223	-4184	0	37%	-0.32	-51.8	2.93%	0	-1.8	30	0

6	Jul_14_2004	18355.3	15889.13	15445.93	14995.2	15090	14823	14160(-5.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-7088	-100	-8311	-3419	0	37%	-0.28	-63.2	2.92%	0	-2.6	24	0
7	Jul_13_2004	18407.51	15985.91	15645.78	15336	15322.5	15168	14928(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5115	-70	-5994	-2477	0	40%	-0.25	-72.5	2.88%	0	-2	31	0
8	Jul_12_2004	18454.27	16046.16	15776.7	15518.4	15582.15	15357	15168(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3641	-90	-4262	-1778	0	40%	-0.28	-84.9	2.88%	0	-1.8	32	0
9	Jul_9_2004	18506.47	16136.58	15924.61	15667.2	15790.65	15477	15768(5.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5962	-120	-6996	-2861	0	42%	-0.29	-93.5	2.85%	0	-0.8	40	0
10	Jul_8_2004	18560.41	16203.1	16006.36	15691.2	15904.65	15807.3	14952(-5.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-5975	-0	-7014	-2858	0	37%	-0.38	-96.6	2.77%	0	-2.6	46	0

11	Jul_7_2004	18631.42	16326.67	16190.14	15964.8	16056.15	16104.3	15864(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1880	40	2219	864	0	41%	-0.27	-97.7	2.69%	0	-1.1	51	0
12	Jul_6_2004	18681.9	16387.81	16262.61	16003.2	16027.5	16002	15840(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-471	-10	-550	-233	0	41%	-0.28	-104.4	2.69%	0	-1.1	52	0
13	Jul_2_2004	18735.09	16464.94	16348.01	16075.2	16066.5	16008	15912(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1629	-30	-1916	-766	0	41%	-0.3	-109.6	2.71%	0	-1	51	0
14	Jul_1_2004	18791.01	16564.71	16414.21	16224	16164	16053	15888(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2307	-60	-2716	-1080	0	46%	-0.32	-91.3	2.74%	0	-1.1	38	0
15	Jun_30_2004	18851.88	16676.63	16400.12	16372.8	16291.5	16125	16320(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3514	-90	-4134	-1654	0	46%	-0.3	-77.7	2.84%	0	-0.5	39	0

16	Jun_29_2004	18908.54	16761.33	16367.26	16454.4	16432.5	16275	16056(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3917	-70	-4605	-1854	0	46%	-0.28	-72.1	2.84%	0	-1	33	0
17	Jun_28_2004	18961.51	16912.35	16358.82	16560	16563	16458	16200(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2509	-40	-2946	-1197	0	46%	-0.28	-65.6	2.84%	0	-1	39	0
18	Jun_25_2004	19014.95	17066.75	16344.69	16656	16621.5	16590	16656(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-968	-20	-1130	-480	0	51%	-0.16	-48.1	2.93%	0	-0.5	40	0
19	Jun_24_2004	19045.39	17137.37	16365.52	16632	16602	16668	16632(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	1782	20	2108	802	0	51%	-0.11	-43.4	2.93%	0	-0.5	34	0
20	Jun_23_2004	19066.91	17223.03	16407.03	16425.6	16422	16653	16728(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3775	100	4461	1717	0	51%	-0.13	-47.2	2.93%	0	-0.5	33	0

21	Jun_22_2004	19091.16	17311.83	16460.57	16267.2	16182	16536	16584(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6502	140	7675	2984	0	47%	-0.14	-50	2.93%	0	-0.7	33	0
22	Jun_21_2004	19118.13	17409.68	16505.78	16128	16008	16191	16680(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6130	60	7246	2783	0	47%	-0.12	-52.2	3.01%	0	-0.7	26	0
23	Jun_18_2004	19140.4	17509.73	16569.49	15993.6	15886.5	15828	16536(6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-936	-50	-1059	-568	0	47%	-0.12	-52.4	3.01%	0	-0.9	24	0
24	Jun_17_2004	19163.9	17603.9	16702.89	16080	15997.35	15825	15600(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5100	-90	-5956	-2530	0	43%	-0.2	-50.1	2.91%	0	-1.8	31	0
25	Jun_16_2004	19202.5	17738.43	16963.89	16392	16373.85	15945	15936(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6322	-190	-7399	-3091	0	43%		-49.7	2.91%	0	-1.7	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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