Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Mar. 13, 2004

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $18072.0000 (-0.4%) ($17616.0000 - $18816.0000) on Sat. Mar. 13, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.9% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $18072.0000(-0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.95% (StdDev 3.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

Resistance Level   $19524.16
5 Day Moving Average   $18096(-0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18662.24(-3.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19524.16(-7.44%)
To recent high   -17.3%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 6.02% (three month std-dev: 3.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.13%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.19%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.32%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040413

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_12_2004	18425.63	19524.16	18662.24	18096	18088.35	18174	18072(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	946	30	1135	378	0	82%	0.07	-70.4	3.9%	0	-1.2	37	0
2	Mar_11_2004	18412.38	19687	18905.46	18153.6	18120.6	18066	18144(0.67%)	RB	SmallLong	20	-0	51	-30	81	-39	0	82%	0.07	-63.6	3.9%	0	-1.3	31	0
3	Mar_10_2004	18400.13	19868.04	19128.9	18297.6	18215.1	18002.7	18024(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3844	-100	-4502	-1870	0	82%	0.08	-49.4	3.9%	0	-1.5	26	0
4	Mar_9_2004	18384.88	20058.86	19347.01	18508.8	18512.1	18175.2	18000(-1.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-4866	-130	-5703	-2354	0	82%	0.06	-36.2	3.9%	0	-1.7	22	0
5	Mar_8_2004	18373.63	20225.29	19488.16	18844.8	18831.75	18427.5	18240(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7628	-150	-8953	-3651	0	82%	0.06	-23.1	3.94%	0	-1.8	35	0

6	Mar_5_2004	18362.38	20388.59	19626.73	19320	19303.5	18849	18360(-2.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7937	-170	-9319	-3789	0	82%	0.06	-1.2	3.95%	0	-2	34	0
7	Mar_4_2004	18351.88	20467.44	19823.74	19771.2	19884	19236	18864(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9470	-210	-11126	-4502	0	82%	0.04	16.3	3.93%	0	-1.7	35	0
8	Mar_3_2004	18344.13	20479.13	20037.57	20083.2	20470.5	19758	19080(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9531	-190	-11200	-4523	0	82%	0.14	22.9	4.04%	0	-1.5	33	0
9	Mar_2_2004	18317.88	20494.79	20307.59	20299.2	20688	20532	19680(-4.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6256	0	-7350	-2975	0	82%	0.24	27.1	4.06%	0	-0.9	36	0
10	Mar_1_2004	18274.13	20482.34	20419.09	20208	20598	21183	20616(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	5862	260	6909	2722	0	90%	0.31	19.1	4.02%	0	0.1	46	0

11	Feb_27_2004	18216.88	20401.28	20449.69	19977.6	20238	20844	20616(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11294	250	13303	5267	0	90%	0.34	5.4	4%	0	0.2	45	0
12	Feb_26_2004	18155.88	20318.17	20511.4	19900.8	19849.5	20013	20424(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	3719	50	4389	1708	0	90%	0.29	-2.7	4.03%	0	0.1	58	0
13	Feb_25_2004	18103.13	20268.41	20637.31	20016	19894.5	19632	20160(4.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3461	-110	-4064	-1650	0	90%	0.39	-0.6	4.05%	0	-0.1	62	0
14	Feb_24_2004	18032.38	20246.74	20797.98	20352	20352	19686	19224(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7916	-230	-9314	-3720	0	89%	0.34	4.2	4.01%	0	-0.9	55	0
15	Feb_23_2004	17970.63	20300.77	21011.19	20659.2	20811	20157	19464(-3.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-10469	-200	-12326	-4899	0	89%	0.37	26	4.05%	0	-0.8	55	0

16	Feb_20_2004	17904.63	20346.12	21218.91	20966.4	21039	21018	20232(-3.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5881	0	-6937	-2714	0	89%	0.39	50.3	4.12%	0	-0.1	62	0
17	Feb_19_2004	17835.13	20345.84	21184.74	21187.2	21246	21465	21000(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4497	80	5267	2185	0	89%	0.45	72.2	4.09%	0	0.6	68	0
18	Feb_18_2004	17755.38	20273.7	20983.09	21345.6	21202.5	21060	21840(5.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-499	-70	-612	-161	0	89%	0.91	90.1	4.07%	0	1.5	68	0
19	Feb_17_2004	17595.15	20201.14	20714.72	21340.8	21340.5	21027	20760(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4466	-100	-5278	-2028	0	87%	1.51	113.6	4.02%	0	0.6	60	0
20	Feb_13_2004	17333.38	20024.93	20572.15	21427.68	21517.5	21345	21000(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3400	-40	-4024	-1527	0	87%	0.86	96.5	4.01%	0	0.8	56	0

21	Feb_12_2004	17186.42	19825.7	20366.81	21504.48	21540.15	21654	21336(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1228	40	1422	647	0	87%	0.88	86.1	4.01%	0	1.1	57	0
22	Feb_11_2004	17036.74	19608.63	20116.89	21158.88	21291.15	21690	21792(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6720	150	7890	3211	0	87%	0.93	72.9	4%	0	1.5	61	0
23	Feb_10_2004	16880.28	19361.5	19857.91	20544.48	20680.65	21426.3	21816(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10053	270	11819	4756	0	87%	0.94	58.7	4%	0	1.7	66	0
24	Feb_9_2004	16723.43	19128.54	19618.97	19997.28	19996.65	20892.3	21194.4(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	13465	310	15841	6335	0	87%	0.91	50.4	4.03%	0	1.5	52	0
25	Feb_6_2004	16572.87	18923.44	19492.75	19598.4	19465.5	19935	21384(9.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11256	150	13241	5300	0	87%		43.4	4.02%	0	1.8	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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