Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 5, 2004

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $19608.0000 (4.74%) ($18840.0000 - $20160.0000) on Thu. Feb. 5, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.87% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $19608.0000(4.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWG(4%)    EWP(4%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)    REMX(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.935% (StdDev 3.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $19089.6(2.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19351.5(1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18715.19(4.77%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   22.7%
Market Cap   $334.426b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 6.95% (three month std-dev: 3.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2004	16421.08	18715.19	19351.5	19089.6	19083	19101	19608(4.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2305	10	2710	1090	0	84%	0.82	37	3.87%	0	0.7	70	0
2	Feb_4_2004	16286.75	18603.81	19400.4	18931.2	18909	18996	18720(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1466	30	-1731	-669	0	81%	0.76	35.5	3.82%	0	0.1	67	0
3	Feb_3_2004	16163.54	18533.22	19491.77	19056	19014	19065	19080(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	1942	10	2270	959	0	81%	0.8	38.3	3.82%	0	0.4	69	0
4	Feb_2_2004	16036.01	18438.46	19639.78	19171.2	19129.5	18822	19200(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3117	-120	-3691	-1393	0	81%	0.81	39.9	3.83%	0	0.6	66	0
5	Jan_30_2004	15907.73	18338.08	19449	19368.48	19365	18963	18840(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8100	-150	-9557	-3727	0	81%	0.78	45.6	3.83%	0	0.4	65	0

6	Jan_29_2004	15784.02	18245.91	19278.52	19656.48	19794.15	19437	18816(-2.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5345	-110	-6320	-2419	0	81%	0.8	49.5	3.84%	0	0.4	63	0
7	Jan_28_2004	15658.22	18149.73	19112.75	19934.88	20052.18	19767	19344(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4524	-80	-5359	-2020	0	81%	0.82	53.4	3.83%	0	0.8	67	0
8	Jan_27_2004	15531.05	18032.64	18879.19	19978.08	20095.68	20151.3	19656(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2356	40	-2809	-998	0	81%	0.85	55.2	3.88%	0	1.1	70	0
9	Jan_26_2004	15400.91	17907.62	18641.88	20170.08	20148.18	20337.36	20186.4(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5368	60	6273	2651	0	81%	0.88	61.3	3.88%	0	1.6	74	0
10	Jan_23_2004	15266.03	17730.21	18331.15	19526.4	19834.53	20040.06	20280(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6224	120	7289	3027	0	81%	0.91	54.9	3.9%	0	2	74	0

11	Jan_22_2004	15129.09	17574.7	18022.68	18830.4	19024.5	19959	20208(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8478	370	9950	4062	0	81%	0.91	48.9	3.9%	0	2.3	75	0
12	Jan_21_2004	14992.27	17416.27	17715.85	18163.2	18283.5	19629	19560(-5.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	22211	540	26114	10500	0	81%	0.87	41.5	3.89%	0	2.2	74	0
13	Jan_20_2004	14862.86	17275.23	17460.24	17616	17464.5	18090	20616(21.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.6	16282	220	19146	7688	0	100%	0.96	30.4	3.84%	0	4	81	0
14	Jan_16_2004	14721.84	17094.22	17074.55	16939.2	16936.5	16938	16968(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1446	0	1703	673	0	0%	0.72	42.1	2.72%	0	-0.6	42	0
15	Jan_15_2004	14617.06	17051.63	17094.38	16972.8	16947	16839	16800(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-2610	-50	-3070	-1230	0	0%	0.71	27.6	2.77%	0	-1.2	52	0

16	Jan_14_2004	14513.4	17023.24	17111.84	17083.2	17070	16935	16872(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2829	-60	-3328	-1331	0	0%	0.74	15.6	3.01%	0	-0.5	41	0
17	Jan_13_2004	14406.66	17016.23	17112.84	17179.2	17203.5	17055	16824(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-2626	-60	-3089	-1235	0	0%	0.75	7.4	3.13%	0	-0.5	43	0
18	Jan_12_2004	14298.93	17024.67	17138.58	17251.2	17275.5	17205	17232(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1896	-20	-2232	-886	0	0%	0.77	8.2	3.13%	0	0.5	55	0
19	Jan_9_2004	14189.22	17008.28	17140.69	17227.2	17263.5	17352	17136(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	301	40	353	145	0	0%	0.69	0.9	3.14%	0	0.3	46	0
20	Jan_8_2004	14091.47	16992.78	17110.42	17232	17236.5	17346	17352(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3049	50	3583	1445	0	100%	0.71	-20	3.18%	0	0.9	67	0

21	Jan_7_2004	13992.72	16972.57	17113.58	17145.6	17142	17175	17352(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1137	10	1332	551	0	100%	0.76	-56.9	3.67%	0	1	65	0
22	Jan_6_2004	13887.81	16987.61	17106.15	17040	17059.5	17127	17184(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	443	30	516	225	0	100%	0.77	-92.2	3.67%	0	0.5	56	0
23	Jan_5_2004	13781.42	16992.93	17082.88	17011.2	17026.5	17109	17112(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1701	40	1996	815	0	100%	0.8	-107.8	3.67%	0	0.3	52	0
24	Jan_2_2004	13671.59	17004.5	17108.25	17044.8	16977.15	16992	17160(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	187	-10	213	108	0	100%	1.32	-122.6	3.7%	0	0.4	53	0
25	Dec_31_2003	13493.17	17071.88	17001.28	16972.8	17031.15	16944	16920(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-199	-30	-238	-83	0	100%		-105.2	3.7%	0	-0.3	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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