Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 3, 2003

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $17880.0000 (3.04%) ($17352.0000 - $18600.0000) on Mon. Nov. 3, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   13.76% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $17880.0000(3.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWG(4%)    EWP(4%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -6.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    XLU(0%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -6.88% (StdDev 13.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $17342.4(3.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16957.71(5.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16527(8.19%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   197.2%
Market Cap   $304.954b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 7.86% (three month std-dev: 13.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2003	8791.91	16527	16957.71	17342.4	17457	17712	17880(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1153	120	1356	545	0	84%	1.52	106.5	13.76%	0	1	60	NAN
2	Oct_31_2003	8659.99	16306.36	16850.43	16958.4	17206.5	17490	17352(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	1610	160	1894	758	0	84%	1.48	116.2	13.77%	0	0.7	65	NAN
3	Oct_30_2003	8534	16105.13	16821.84	16756.8	16818	17202	17520(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1360	170	1599	642	0	81%	1.52	131.9	13.77%	0	1	68	NAN
4	Oct_29_2003	8406.56	15911.52	16791.3	16612.8	16549.5	16923	17040(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1748	150	2054	828	0	81%	1.5	151.7	13.81%	0	0.7	68	NAN
5	Oct_28_2003	8282.52	15732.85	16883.39	16598.4	16419	16434	16920(6.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	847	-30	993	410	0	82%	1.52	111.5	13.81%	0	0.5	62	NAN

6	Oct_27_2003	8158.6	15250.67	16850.74	16526.4	16392	16176	15960(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1004	-120	-1187	-454	0	82%	1.4	90	13.87%	0	0.2	70	NAN
7	Oct_24_2003	8046.07	14810.39	16827.59	16718.4	16560	16404	16344(-2.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-942	-90	-1117	-417	0	82%	1.44	82.2	13.86%	0	0.4	72	NAN
8	Oct_23_2003	7931.72	14357.28	16727.89	16881.6	16735.5	16608	16800(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-529	-80	-634	-215	0	82%	1.49	78.8	13.87%	0	0.6	76	NAN
9	Oct_22_2003	7815.05	13878.18	16541.96	16992	16848	16716	16968(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-772	-80	-922	-323	0	82%	1.57	77.5	13.86%	0	0.8	72	NAN
10	Oct_21_2003	7694.03	13387.35	16386.78	16992	17028	16863	16560(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-679	-100	-816	-269	0	82%	1.54	79.1	13.86%	0	0.8	72	NAN

11	Oct_20_2003	7577.13	12904.7	16094.29	17222.4	17210.1	16980	16920(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-164	-100	-217	-4	0	82%	1.65	78.6	13.86%	0	0.9	92	NAN
12	Oct_17_2003	7454.18	12395.82	15747.96	16934.4	16956.6	17193	17160(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	100	24	116	0	78%	1.86	76.6	13.85%	0	1.1	93	NAN
13	Oct_16_2003	7318.31	11867.31	15351.61	16526.4	16535.1	17440.2	17352(-4.24%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	3343	380	3895	1687	0	78%	1.9	74.5	13.94%	0	1.3	91	NAN
14	Oct_15_2003	7181.57	11325.46	14963.82	16008	15927.6	16720.2	18120(9.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	4442	330	5180	2226	0	78%	2.05	72.5	13.92%	0	1.6	92	NAN
15	Oct_14_2003	7037.07	10731.1	14462.14	15456	15343.5	15630	16560(6.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	2304	110	2657	1246	0	79%	1.4	72.8	13.92%	0	1.5	90	NAN

16	Oct_13_2003	6939.9	10225.98	13504.32	14817.6	14938.5	15135	15480(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	1227	120	1389	739	0	79%	1.78	70.3	13.93%	0	1.4	90	NAN
17	Oct_10_2003	6818.55	9773.03	12633.5	14380.8	14425.5	15057	15120(2.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	1820	320	2085	1023	0	77%	1.76	69.4	13.97%	0	1.5	90	NAN
18	Oct_9_2003	6700.88	9337.47	11810.93	13982.4	13981.5	14742	14760(-3.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3664	380	4253	1898	0	78%	1.76	69.3	14.03%	0	1.6	90	NAN
19	Oct_8_2003	6584.92	8921.13	11019.77	13742.4	13573.5	13794	15360(14.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	2207	80	2533	1227	0	79%	1.88	72.1	14.05%	0	2	91	NAN
20	Oct_7_2003	6463.33	8456.76	10150.21	13339.2	13344	13221	13368(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-376	-60	-510	27	0	79%	1.6	76.3	13.99%	0	1.7	91	NAN

21	Oct_6_2003	6361.7	8116.37	9467.05	11957.19	13369.5	13353	13296(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	2794	350	3234	1475	0	79%	1.61	62.5	14.13%	0	2	88	NAN
22	Oct_3_2003	6261.05	7777.56	8775.82	10563.28	11665.3	13467	13128(-3.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	3449	1390	4019	1740	0	79%	1.61	48.6	14.24%	0	2.3	88	NAN
23	Oct_2_2003	6161.87	7447.87	8087.63	9265.15	9901.8	13386	13560(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	13581	2670	15951	6469	0	79%	1.7	35.9	14.24%	0	3.1	90	NAN
24	Oct_1_2003	6058.9	7085.93	7343.12	7902.15	8212.35	9863.59	13344(106.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.8	13224	1530	15545	6259	0	79%	1.71	21	14.24%	0	4.4	88	NAN
25	Sep_30_2003	5957.27	6729.75	6600.11	6596.7	6590.27	6417.61	6457.97(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1514	-190	-1778	-723	0	64%		-27.9	5.49%	0	-1.4	47	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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