Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 20, 2003

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $16920.0000 (-1.4%) ($16608.0000 - $17280.0000) on Mon. Oct. 20, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   13.86% (three month average)
RSI   92
Latest Price   $16920.0000(-1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 19.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWG(4%)    EWP(4%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -6.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    XLU(0%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -6.93% (StdDev 13.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $17222.4(-1.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16094.29(5.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12904.7(31.12%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   181.3%
Market Cap   $288.581b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 33.35% (three month std-dev: 13.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2003	7577.13	12904.7	16094.29	17222.4	17210.1	16980	16920(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-164	-100	-217	-4	0	82%	1.65	78.6	13.86%	0	0.9	92	0
2	Oct_17_2003	7454.18	12395.82	15747.96	16934.4	16956.6	17193	17160(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	100	24	116	0	78%	1.86	76.6	13.85%	0	1.1	93	0
3	Oct_16_2003	7318.31	11867.31	15351.61	16526.4	16535.1	17440.2	17352(-4.24%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	3343	380	3895	1687	0	78%	1.9	74.5	13.94%	0	1.3	91	0
4	Oct_15_2003	7181.57	11325.46	14963.82	16008	15927.6	16720.2	18120(9.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	4442	330	5180	2226	0	78%	2.05	72.5	13.92%	0	1.6	92	0
5	Oct_14_2003	7037.07	10731.1	14462.14	15456	15343.5	15630	16560(6.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	2304	110	2657	1246	0	79%	1.4	72.8	13.92%	0	1.5	90	0

6	Oct_13_2003	6939.9	10225.98	13504.32	14817.6	14938.5	15135	15480(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	1227	120	1389	739	0	79%	1.78	70.3	13.93%	0	1.4	90	0
7	Oct_10_2003	6818.55	9773.03	12633.5	14380.8	14425.5	15057	15120(2.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	1820	320	2085	1023	0	77%	1.76	69.4	13.97%	0	1.5	90	0
8	Oct_9_2003	6700.88	9337.47	11810.93	13982.4	13981.5	14742	14760(-3.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3664	380	4253	1898	0	78%	1.76	69.3	14.03%	0	1.6	90	0
9	Oct_8_2003	6584.92	8921.13	11019.77	13742.4	13573.5	13794	15360(14.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	2207	80	2533	1227	0	79%	1.88	72.1	14.05%	0	2	91	0
10	Oct_7_2003	6463.33	8456.76	10150.21	13339.2	13344	13221	13368(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-376	-60	-510	27	0	79%	1.6	76.3	13.99%	0	1.7	91	0

11	Oct_6_2003	6361.7	8116.37	9467.05	11957.19	13369.5	13353	13296(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	2794	350	3234	1475	0	79%	1.61	62.5	14.13%	0	2	88	0
12	Oct_3_2003	6261.05	7777.56	8775.82	10563.28	11665.3	13467	13128(-3.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	3449	1390	4019	1740	0	79%	1.61	48.6	14.24%	0	2.3	88	0
13	Oct_2_2003	6161.87	7447.87	8087.63	9265.15	9901.8	13386	13560(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	13581	2670	15951	6469	0	79%	1.7	35.9	14.24%	0	3.1	90	0
14	Oct_1_2003	6058.9	7085.93	7343.12	7902.15	8212.35	9863.59	13344(106.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.8	13224	1530	15545	6259	0	79%	1.71	21	14.24%	0	4.4	88	0
15	Sep_30_2003	5957.27	6729.75	6600.11	6596.7	6590.27	6417.61	6457.97(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1514	-190	-1778	-723	0	64%	0.55	-27.9	5.49%	0	-1.4	47	0

16	Sep_29_2003	5924.93	6757.48	6631.32	6628.27	6676.22	6561.12	6326.42(-4.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-1732	-100	-2034	-826	0	64%	0.54	-10.1	5.49%	0	-2.2	33	0
17	Sep_26_2003	5892.96	6789.64	6672.56	6683.28	6711.5	6762.93	6637.36(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	70	-66	-39	0	66%	0.6	6.4	5.49%	0	-0.9	38	0
18	Sep_25_2003	5858.06	6798.91	6684.1	6673.71	6676.37	6791.33	6744.99(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	1194	120	1410	546	0	66%	0.6	-17.7	5.58%	0	-0.3	38	0
19	Sep_24_2003	5823.15	6799.58	6691.39	6656.97	6633.02	6660.08	6816.74(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	853	20	1010	382	0	66%	0.59	-48.1	5.61%	0	0.1	44	0
20	Sep_23_2003	5789.23	6786.09	6670.37	6609.13	6609.1	6561.42	6615.83(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-504	-50	-584	-265	0	66%	0.58	-69.2	5.63%	0	-1	40	0

21	Sep_22_2003	5756.13	6777.21	6706.98	6639.75	6644.08	6605.97	6601.48(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-545	-40	-632	-282	0	66%	0.54	-69.8	5.63%	0	-0.9	37	0
22	Sep_19_2003	5725.26	6778.69	6748.22	6661.27	6677.72	6656.79	6589.52(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-302	-10	-347	-165	0	66%	0.6	-64.4	5.63%	0	-1	40	0
23	Sep_18_2003	5691.33	6828.41	6798.21	6694.76	6700.14	6682.2	6661.27(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-226	-20	-260	-124	0	66%	0.61	-28.2	5.63%	0	-0.6	47	0
24	Sep_17_2003	5656.92	6880.07	6831.59	6730.64	6721.07	6698.65	6577.56(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-130	-30	-149	-73	0	66%	0.61	-5.6	5.63%	0	-0.9	47	0
25	Sep_16_2003	5622.75	6910.25	6869.71	6737.81	6716.59	6718.08	6768.91(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-267	-10	-312	-132	0	66%		3.1	5.63%	0	-0.4	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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