Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 4, 2003

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $6996.1300 (0.86%) ($6589.5200 - $7067.8900) on Thu. Sep. 4, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.66% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $6996.1300(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWG(4%)    EWP(4%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -2.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    XLU(0%)    LQD(-0%)    REMX(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.83% (StdDev 5.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $6936.34(0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $6857.41(2.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $6792.81(2.99%)
To recent high   -18.2%
To recent low   56%
Market Cap   $119.323b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 6.02% (three month std-dev: 5.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2003	5339.57	6792.81	6857.41	6936.34	6925.87	6951.29	6996.13(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	20	50	17	0	70%	0.78	-24.4	5.66%	0	0.5	56	0
2	Sep_3_2003	5298.39	6791.52	6924.38	6886.11	6872.06	6978.19	6936.34(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1069	100	1255	509	0	70%	0.77	-38.3	5.69%	0	0.4	56	0
3	Sep_2_2003	5257.71	6808.57	6945.89	6802.39	6764.42	6900.46	7008.09(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1616	120	1898	768	0	70%	1.23	-54.1	5.68%	0	0.5	58	0
4	Aug_29_2003	5193.93	6821.84	6931.85	6675.62	6630.63	6765.92	6936.34(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1189	120	1396	567	0	74%	0.78	-65.1	6.58%	0	0.2	65	0
5	Aug_28_2003	5153.9	6850.02	6888.91	6606.5	6554.39	6628.39	6804.78(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	620	60	728	296	0	74%	0.78	-61.3	6.6%	0	-0.1	58	0

6	Aug_27_2003	5114.12	6893.92	6879.06	6776.32	6614.26	6495.34	6744.99(3.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-917	-200	-1085	-414	0	75%	0.77	-42.9	6.6%	0	-0.3	54	0
7	Aug_26_2003	5075.19	6951.87	6875.61	6982.02	6875.87	6480.39	6517.76(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2597	-450	-3065	-1194	0	75%	0.73	-24.1	6.63%	0	-0.7	46	0
8	Aug_25_2003	5038.58	7047.81	6888.86	7113.57	7130.75	6733.18	6374.25(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-4041	-380	-4764	-1873	0	75%	0.7	-8.2	6.68%	0	-1	42	0
9	Aug_22_2003	5003.8	7135.75	6867.68	7211.64	7293.69	7271.34	6590.72(-13.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-1346	10	-1591	-612	0	76%	0.73	4.7	6.66%	0	-0.8	43	0
10	Aug_21_2003	4967.3	7171.13	6849.47	7185.09	7218.87	7528.32	7653.89(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	2554	310	3002	1209	0	82%	0.96	8.5	6.4%	0	0.7	49	0

11	Aug_20_2003	4919.95	7139.25	6731.98	6988.96	6934.17	7316.04	7773.48(8.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8457	360	9956	3960	0	82%	1.01	4.6	6.4%	0	1	48	0
12	Aug_19_2003	4870.53	7111.06	6640.69	6768.91	5490.1	6909.43	7175.52(4.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3006	1240	3551	1369	0	81%	0.49	-4.6	6.34%	0	0.1	38	0
13	Aug_18_2003	4846.77	7103.67	6644.95	6649.31	5336.12	6552.3	6864.58(6.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17201	1000	20258	8029	0	81%	0.44	-10.9	6.34%	0	-0.4	28	0
14	Aug_15_2003	4825.75	7105.52	6684.46	6479.49	5192.61	4070.76	6457.97(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-46	-2110	-26	-106	0	81%	0.36	-23	6.3%	0	-1	29	0
15	Aug_14_2003	4808.57	7117.2	6792.17	6453.18	5116.3	4119.94	6673.23(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19720	-1980	-23172	-9363	0	81%	0.41	-26.8	6.29%	0	-0.7	46	0

16	Aug_13_2003	4788.73	7109.96	6894.41	6429.27	6317.45	6314.46	6673.23(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1196	-60	1433	484	0	81%	0.42	-27.7	6.29%	0	-0.7	49	0
17	Aug_12_2003	4768.47	7139.5	7019.55	6498.63	6352.58	6112.65	6577.56(9.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2469	-330	-2882	-1230	0	81%	0.41	-23.1	6.29%	0	-0.9	45	0
18	Aug_11_2003	4748.8	7172.54	7207.9	6654.1	6608.95	6320.44	6015.48(-4.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-3054	-330	-3577	-1483	0	80%	0.29	-9.8	6.22%	0	-1.9	42	0
19	Aug_8_2003	4734.88	7254.4	7429.11	6921.99	6894.48	6592.51	6326.42(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-2993	-320	-3515	-1425	0	79%	0.37	17.9	6.17%	0	-1.7	48	0
20	Aug_7_2003	4717.2	7292.47	7536.67	7175.52	7106.75	6897.47	6553.64(-6.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-2996	-230	-3527	-1404	0	77%	0.44	49.5	6.17%	0	-1.3	55	0

21	Aug_6_2003	4696.57	7289.3	7604.08	7419.49	7331.74	7196.45	7020.05(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1739	-160	-2056	-789	0	80%	0.57	78.1	6.14%	0	-0.5	63	0
22	Aug_5_2003	4670.16	7285.65	7641.86	7615.62	7551.49	7316.04	7354.91(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-2042	-240	-2417	-916	0	77%	0.67	101.7	6.1%	0	0.1	53	0
23	Aug_4_2003	4639.3	7233.27	7617.93	7854.8	7789.18	7467.03	7354.91(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3365	-310	-3979	-1523	0	77%	0.69	114.7	6.16%	0	0.2	54	0
24	Aug_1_2003	4607.73	7155.64	7577.1	8017.45	8071.71	7786.93	7594.09(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2453	-230	-2908	-1089	0	79%	0.77	130	6.22%	0	0.6	51	0
25	Jul_31_2003	4572.59	7024.65	7482.46	7946.89	8134.5	8111.33	7773.48(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-842	50	-1010	-338	0	79%		103.7	6.25%	0	0.9	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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