Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Aug. 2, 2003

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $7594.0900 (-2.31%) ($7187.4800 - $8000.7000) on Sat. Aug. 2, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.22% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $7594.0900(-2.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 7.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -3.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.11% (StdDev 6.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $8017.45(-5.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $7577.1(0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $7155.64(6.13%)
To recent high   -11.2%
To recent low   137.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 9.63% (three month std-dev: 6.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.15%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -7.56%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -16.69%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20030902

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_1_2003	4607.73	7155.64	7577.1	8017.45	8071.71	7786.93	7594.09(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2453	-230	-2908	-1089	0	79%	0.77	130	6.22%	0	0.6	51	0
2	Jul_31_2003	4572.59	7024.65	7482.46	7946.89	8134.5	8111.33	7773.48(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-842	50	-1010	-338	0	79%	0.84	103.7	6.25%	0	0.9	59	0
3	Jul_30_2003	4534.49	6886.39	7351.42	7803.38	7937.55	8356.49	8000.7(-6.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2431	420	2843	1195	0	79%	0.93	91.7	6.23%	0	1.2	67	0
4	Jul_29_2003	4492.73	6732.24	7266.25	7662.26	7679.68	8157.67	8550.83(4.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5892	440	6916	2820	0	81%	1.11	84	6.14%	0	1.8	64	0
5	Jul_28_2003	4443.24	6534.99	7113.4	7356.1	7332.11	7518.6	8168.13(12.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3130	170	3669	1511	0	82%	1.05	73.2	6.13%	0	1.6	67	0

6	Jul_25_2003	4397.25	6359.55	7034.9	7090.61	7113.11	7201.68	7241.3(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	822	100	953	430	0	80%	0.82	64.2	5.98%	0	0.9	67	0
7	Jul_24_2003	4361.7	6244.05	7003.99	6953.08	7017.81	7145.62	7055.93(-3.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1712	160	1994	867	0	80%	0.79	59.4	5.98%	0	0.8	73	0
8	Jul_23_2003	4327.6	6119.41	6935.02	6821.53	6823.47	7024.53	7295.11(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1284	210	1486	676	0	79%	0.89	52.1	5.95%	0	1.1	74	0
9	Jul_22_2003	4289.55	5988.02	6889.31	6807.18	6753.21	6889.99	7020.05(2.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1584	120	1830	847	0	79%	0.83	51.8	5.97%	0	1	73	0
10	Jul_21_2003	4254.09	5879.09	6813.17	6838.27	6834.68	6622.41	6840.66(4.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-577	-220	-723	-139	0	79%	0.81	53.6	5.97%	0	0.9	74	0

11	Jul_18_2003	4220.06	5780.59	6705.77	6981.78	6987.16	6616.43	6553.64(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3991	-370	-4752	-1708	0	79%	0.74	59.9	5.96%	0	0.7	72	0
12	Jul_17_2003	4188.94	5694.88	6549.28	7060.71	7212.89	7046.96	6398.17(-11.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2038	-100	-2459	-774	0	80%	0.72	63.1	6.01%	0	0.7	67	0
13	Jul_16_2003	4159.09	5614.22	6414.94	7041.58	7187.48	7357.9	7223.36(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	639	230	682	508	0	85%	1.02	62.7	5.79%	0	1.5	78	0
14	Jul_15_2003	4117.11	5485.56	6181.54	6972.21	7021.54	7378.83	7175.52(-5.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3552	380	4106	1889	0	85%	1.04	65	5.79%	0	1.7	74	0
15	Jul_14_2003	4074.63	5364.09	5926.82	6778.47	6833.94	7017.06	7558.21(8.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	4139	210	4801	2154	0	85%	1.22	65.8	5.74%	0	2.4	74	0

16	Jul_11_2003	4025.57	5216.8	5628.85	6398.17	6507.3	6664.26	6948.29(10.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	1845	220	2113	1040	0	84%	1.05	63.3	5.66%	0	2.3	71	0
17	Jul_10_2003	3983.81	5104.7	5413.35	5965.25	6135.82	6650.81	6302.5(-8.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	4423	670	5160	2212	0	84%	0.85	52.6	5.56%	0	1.9	68	0
18	Jul_9_2003	3950.21	5028.56	5229.07	5680.62	5683.61	6350.33	6876.54(10.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	7907	820	9269	3819	0	89%	1.1	40.7	5.43%	0	3.3	75	0
19	Jul_8_2003	3907.18	4913.2	4992.62	5274.01	5226.92	5620.82	6206.82(9.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	6512	500	7643	3117	0	88%	0.89	27.1	5.3%	0	3.5	72	0
20	Jul_7_2003	3872.85	4829.22	4843.62	4953.74	4887.57	5016.88	5656.7(18.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.2	2166	150	2543	1035	0	87%	0.7	-2.4	5.19%	0	3.7	63	0

21	Jul_3_2003	3845.83	4782.57	4756.55	4755.22	4756.85	4833.01	4783.68(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	800	110	943	369	0	84%	0.38	-47.2	4.69%	0	0	50	0
22	Jul_2_2003	3831.4	4793.28	4761.33	4776.74	4733.68	4758.27	4879.35(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	901	10	1061	419	0	85%	0.43	4.3	4.68%	0	0.6	50	0
23	Jul_1_2003	3815.02	4808.95	4750.14	4697.81	4698.55	4680.68	4843.48(5.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-81	-30	-89	-56	0	85%	0.43	31.3	4.69%	0	0.2	48	0
24	Jun_30_2003	3798.7	4815.05	4740.6	4661.94	4665.66	4709.08	4605.49(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-186	70	-211	-110	0	84%	0.34	57.9	4.69%	0	-1.3	47	0
25	Jun_27_2003	3785.68	4834.5	4769.41	4711.93	4685.76	4716.41	4664.09(-4.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	745	30	880	339	0	84%		113.4	4.72%	0	-1.1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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