Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 8, 2003

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $6206.8200 (9.73%) ($5764.3300 - $6302.5000) on Tue. Jul. 8, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.3% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $6206.8200(9.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 6.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWG(4%)    EWP(4%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -2.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    XLU(0%)    LQD(-0%)    REMX(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.65% (StdDev 5.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $5274.01(17.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $4992.62(24.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4913.2(26.33%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   113.6%
Market Cap   $105.861b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 7.52% (three month std-dev: 5.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20030808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2003	3907.18	4913.2	4992.62	5274.01	5226.92	5620.82	6206.82(9.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	6512	500	7643	3117	0	88%	0.89	27.1	5.3%	0	3.5	72	0
2	Jul_7_2003	3872.85	4829.22	4843.62	4953.74	4887.57	5016.88	5656.7(18.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.2	2166	150	2543	1035	0	87%	0.7	-2.4	5.19%	0	3.7	63	0
3	Jul_3_2003	3845.83	4782.57	4756.55	4755.22	4756.85	4833.01	4783.68(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	800	110	943	369	0	84%	0.38	-47.2	4.69%	0	0	50	0
4	Jul_2_2003	3831.4	4793.28	4761.33	4776.74	4733.68	4758.27	4879.35(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	901	10	1061	419	0	85%	0.43	4.3	4.68%	0	0.6	50	0
5	Jul_1_2003	3815.02	4808.95	4750.14	4697.81	4698.55	4680.68	4843.48(5.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-81	-30	-89	-56	0	85%	0.43	31.3	4.69%	0	0.2	48	0

6	Jun_30_2003	3798.7	4815.05	4740.6	4661.94	4665.66	4709.08	4605.49(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-186	70	-211	-110	0	84%	0.34	57.9	4.69%	0	-1.3	47	0
7	Jun_27_2003	3785.68	4834.5	4769.41	4711.93	4685.76	4716.41	4664.09(-4.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	745	30	880	339	0	84%	0.38	113.4	4.72%	0	-1.1	53	0
8	Jun_26_2003	3771.28	4840.2	4785.81	4757.37	4703.63	4622.23	4891.31(9.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-569	-160	-667	-274	0	84%	0.5	87.3	4.71%	0	0.2	52	0
9	Jun_25_2003	3752.62	4786.75	4782.47	4747.8	4753.71	4655.12	4484.7(-3.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1575	-140	-1849	-752	0	82%	0.33	75.3	4.63%	0	-0.9	33	0
10	Jun_24_2003	3740.21	4760.11	4826.84	4807.6	4821.73	4785.03	4664.09(-3.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-635	-40	-743	-309	0	82%	0.43	76.4	4.63%	0	-0.2	31	0

11	Jun_23_2003	3724.28	4723.08	4839.09	4826.73	4823.97	4852.3	4855.44(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	40	-9	-18	0	82%	0.54	82	4.62%	0	0.3	46	0
12	Jun_20_2003	3704.44	4664.74	4820.4	4833.91	4815.07	4858.43	4891.31(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	580	50	689	254	0	82%	0.58	73.9	4.66%	0	0.5	47	0
13	Jun_19_2003	3683.24	4603.69	4812.33	4819.56	4812.83	4795.64	4843.48(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	186	-30	225	68	0	82%	0.58	68.9	4.7%	0	0.5	54	0
14	Jun_18_2003	3662.15	4536.04	4827.78	4826.73	4817.32	4771.72	4783.68(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-708	-70	-835	-325	0	82%	0.57	62.8	4.74%	0	0.4	76	0
15	Jun_17_2003	3641.38	4473.06	4870.81	4826.73	4851.7	4830.02	4759.76(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-388	-30	-470	-140	0	82%	0.58	61.3	4.79%	0	0.5	72	0

16	Jun_16_2003	3620.28	4409.06	4893.84	4850.65	4871.88	4862.91	4891.31(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	161	0	166	145	0	82%	0.68	59.8	4.8%	0	0.7	75	0
17	Jun_13_2003	3595.83	4338.06	4902.62	4850.65	4828.53	4873.37	4819.56(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	139	80	131	161	0	82%	0.67	58.5	4.85%	0	0.7	77	0
18	Jun_12_2003	3571.84	4269.18	4898.09	4802.81	4794.89	4880.85	4879.35(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	773	120	867	489	0	82%	0.74	59.4	4.89%	0	0.9	78	0
19	Jun_11_2003	3545.69	4198.86	4793.07	4831.52	4815.07	4783.68	4903.27(3.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	367	-60	384	316	0	82%	0.79	62.5	4.93%	0	1	81	0
20	Jun_10_2003	3517.98	4122.67	4692.37	4900.88	4875.62	4708.94	4759.76(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1630	-250	-1974	-596	0	82%	0.74	66.2	4.98%	0	0.9	78	0

21	Jun_9_2003	3492.11	4049.38	4605.38	4946.33	4973.53	4846.47	4652.13(-3.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	2792	-160	3219	1511	0	82%	0.71	68.6	5.03%	0	0.9	78	0
22	Jun_6_2003	3467.43	3977	4507.89	5013.3	4106.49	5042.3	4819.56(-4.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-568	1050	-743	-42	0	82%	0.85	69.3	5.03%	0	1.2	80	0
23	Jun_5_2003	3438.04	3895.54	4389.3	4998.95	4134.15	5100.6	5022.86(-4.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17342	1120	20321	8403	0	82%	1.04	70.6	5.03%	0	1.7	85	0
24	Jun_4_2003	3402.82	3806.66	4227.97	4736.08	3947.28	3170.68	5250.09(5.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	1764	-1880	2007	1034	0	82%	1.25	62.7	5.01%	0	2.3	88	0
25	Jun_3_2003	3360.83	3711.66	4041.91	4449.06	3621.47	3167.69	4986.99(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-16324	-1440	-19259	-7519	0	81%		59.6	5.03%	0	2.4	87	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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