Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $52.9600 (8.44%) ($48.9100 - $53.2100) on Thu. Nov. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.4% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $52.9600(8.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 10% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(11%)    KWEB(10%)    MCHI(10%)    ARKK(8%)    IBB(8%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -3.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
BNDX(-7%)    VCSH(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    PCY(-6%)    EMHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.2% (StdDev 6.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.54(2.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.33(11.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.39(19.31%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   193.2%
Market Cap   $2.136b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 13.25% (three month std-dev: 6.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.01%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.75%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.45%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 7.38%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.49%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2017	25.94	44.39	47.33	51.54	51.32	50.26	52.96(8.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	23	-160	-1	93	3.23	72%	1.45	95	6.4%	0	1.5	67	0
2	Nov_15_2017	25.57	43.45	46.27	51.18	51.42	50.58	48.84(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-100	0	88	3.43	71%	1.35	98.5	6.37%	0	0.9	58	0
3	Nov_14_2017	25.23	42.68	45.87	49.24	50.95	52.38	49.06(-10.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	43	300	28	86	3.49	71%	1.33	90.2	6.37%	0	1	64	0
4	Nov_13_2017	24.9	41.89	45.41	47.33	47.95	52.25	54.96(5.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	69	670	61	93	3.83	75%	1.59	81.4	6.2%	0	2	74	0
5	Nov_10_2017	24.51	40.6	44.11	44.26	44.59	49.52	51.89(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	75	800	73	79	6.77	75%	1.49	68.7	6.18%	0	1.8	76	0

6	Nov_9_2017	24.15	39.43	43.04	42.58	42.05	43.64	51.16(30.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	53	230	51	60	6.82	76%	1.51	62.2	6.19%	0	2	69	0
7	Nov_8_2017	23.79	38.32	42.3	40.88	40.97	39.65	39.15(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-220	-26	41	2.57	72%	0.98	57.7	5.04%	0	0.1	63	0
8	Nov_7_2017	23.56	37.81	42.48	42.06	42.09	40.45	39.49(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-270	-37	80	1.75	72%	1.03	60.6	5.04%	0	0.3	65	0
9	Nov_6_2017	23.32	37.25	42.38	43.12	43.54	42.28	39.59(-8.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-170	-25	121	2.05	72%	1.04	63.3	5.04%	0	0.4	65	0
10	Nov_3_2017	23.08	36.79	41.97	43.79	44.25	43.73	43.49(1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	36	-50	-8	166	2.14	77%	1.27	66.5	4.91%	0	1.1	77	0

11	Nov_2_2017	22.79	36.07	41.36	43.46	44.33	44.79	42.66(-5.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	48	130	-3	199	3.3	75%	1.24	66	4.91%	0	1	78	0
12	Nov_1_2017	22.51	35.34	40.55	43.92	44.12	44.78	45.06(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	80	120	23	249	3.21	78%	1.4	70.1	4.89%	0	1.6	79	0
13	Oct_31_2017	22.2	34.5	39.36	42.99	43.4	43.87	44.81(4.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	84	100	25	261	3.28	76%	1.37	70.7	4.9%	0	1.8	80	0
14	Oct_30_2017	21.9	33.73	38.17	41.56	42.34	43.47	42.91(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	92	240	34	265	3.53	76%	1.34	76.3	4.94%	0	1.7	80	0
15	Oct_27_2017	21.61	33.03	36.86	39.84	40.56	42.94	41.88(-6.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	90	460	40	238	4.73	76%	1.27	78.9	4.94%	0	1.8	70	0

16	Oct_26_2017	21.34	32.35	35.54	38.89	38.56	41.21	44.96(11.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	109	460	66	239	4.55	80%	1.47	85.9	4.85%	0	2.8	76	0
17	Oct_25_2017	21.03	31.47	33.91	36.71	36.88	38.17	40.37(7.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	90	260	52	202	5.59	78%	1.3	97.5	4.7%	0	2.5	75	0
18	Oct_24_2017	20.76	30.83	32.66	35.23	35.26	35.92	37.68(9.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	130	21	159	3.24	77%	1.12	97.6	4.65%	0	2	69	0
19	Oct_23_2017	20.53	30.09	31.62	34.3	34.43	35.58	34.32(-7.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	56	250	29	136	2.95	75%	1.03	90.2	4.53%	0	1.3	60	0
20	Oct_20_2017	20.32	29.54	31.16	33.35	33.55	34.6	37.1(8.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	69	240	50	127	3.37	78%	1.14	78.8	4.41%	0	2.3	67	0

21	Oct_19_2017	20.09	28.85	30.33	31.63	31.96	33.29	34.07(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	320	31	78	1.52	76%	1.06	69	4.34%	0	1.7	64	0
22	Oct_18_2017	19.88	28.33	29.69	30.68	30.86	32.5	33(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	47	390	44	57	2.03	77%	0.96	61.7	4.34%	0	1.6	64	0
23	Oct_17_2017	19.69	27.87	29.24	29.7	29.77	30.63	33(11.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	38	210	40	33	3.76	77%	0.72	52.6	4.36%	0	1.8	65	0
24	Oct_16_2017	19.55	27.4	28.91	28.59	29.77	29.22	29.58(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	120	3	21	1.18	75%	0.83	44.6	4.17%	0	0.8	74	0
25	Oct_13_2017	19.39	27.13	28.9	28.65	28.83	28.92	28.51(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	40	2	54	1.03	76%		46.2	4.16%	0	0.5	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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