Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $28.8500 (-4.53%) ($28.6100 - $30.6600) on Wed. Oct. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.98% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $28.8500(-4.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 11.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(11%)    KWEB(9%)    MCHI(9%)    ARKK(8%)    IBB(8%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
BNDX(-7%)    BND(-7%)    VCSH(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    PCY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.99% (StdDev 3.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.22(-1.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.93(7.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.45(13.36%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   91.9%
Market Cap   $1.164b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 9.67% (three month std-dev: 3.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.82%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.64%(25%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 4.25%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -1.57%(42%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 8.07%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.02%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2017	18.35	25.45	26.93	29.22	29.45	29.69	28.85(-4.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	48	80	6	173	0.82	78%	0.82	73.9	3.98%	0	1.4	76	INF
2	Oct_3_2017	18.2	25.18	26.43	29.1	29.16	29.52	30.22(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	74	90	37	185	0.88	81%	0.89	82.6	3.95%	0	2.1	79	INF
3	Oct_2_2017	18.04	24.81	25.78	27.64	28.3	29.21	29.63(2.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	67	300	42	140	1.2	81%	0.78	78.3	3.95%	0	2.3	81	INF
4	Sep_29_2017	17.9	24.51	25.19	26.33	26.76	28.8	29(2.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	63	580	50	100	2.34	81%	0.85	82.1	3.95%	0	2.5	78	INF
5	Sep_28_2017	17.75	24.12	24.67	25.26	25.29	27.39	28.41(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	66	580	63	74	2.06	81%	0.74	80.7	3.95%	0	2.8	78	INF

6	Sep_27_2017	17.62	23.75	24.19	24.32	24.1	24.71	28.26(23.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	41	150	43	36	2.91	81%	0.8	83.5	3.95%	0	3.4	74	INF
7	Sep_26_2017	17.48	23.37	23.76	23.43	23.46	23.19	22.89(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-80	-14	-17	0.33	76%	0.46	96.9	2.77%	0	-0.5	42	INF
8	Sep_25_2017	17.4	23.27	23.85	23.65	23.67	23.49	23.09(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-50	-12	-2	0.43	76%	0.46	94.9	2.77%	0	-0.2	51	INF
9	Sep_22_2017	17.32	23.14	23.93	23.84	23.85	23.73	23.63(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-30	-7	8	0.56	76%	0.52	89.7	2.75%	0	0.4	46	INF
10	Sep_21_2017	17.23	22.93	23.93	23.95	23.97	23.84	23.72(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-40	-5	30	0.15	76%	0.41	80.7	2.75%	0	0.5	70	INF

11	Sep_20_2017	17.16	22.71	23.9	24.02	24.03	23.96	23.82(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-20	-7	54	0.22	76%	0.41	76.8	2.75%	0	0.6	72	INF
12	Sep_19_2017	17.09	22.47	23.89	24.15	24.11	24.09	23.97(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10	1	90	0.3	77%	0.41	74.7	2.75%	0	0.8	75	INF
13	Sep_18_2017	17.02	22.23	23.82	24.09	24.13	24.1	24.07(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-0	3	113	0.31	77%	0.41	71.7	2.77%	0	0.9	77	INF
14	Sep_15_2017	16.95	21.99	23.81	24.03	24.01	24.12	24.16(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	42	30	6	150	0.39	78%	0.47	70.1	2.79%	0	1	80	INF
15	Sep_14_2017	16.87	21.71	23.56	23.85	23.87	24.17	24.07(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	90	9	168	0.28	78%	0.42	66.5	2.79%	0	1.1	83	INF

16	Sep_13_2017	16.8	21.42	23.3	23.77	23.68	23.89	24.5(3.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	58	50	12	194	0.73	78%	0.42	65.3	2.78%	0	1.4	86	INF
17	Sep_12_2017	16.73	21.12	22.95	23.6	23.68	23.58	23.63(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	56	0	4	210	0.32	78%	0.42	68.4	2.76%	0	1.2	85	INF
18	Sep_11_2017	16.66	20.86	22.65	23.53	23.54	23.48	23.77(2.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	56	-20	-1	227	0.22	78%	0.42	72.5	2.76%	0	1.4	84	INF
19	Sep_8_2017	16.59	20.62	22.29	23.58	23.5	23.5	23.28(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	72	-10	11	254	0.33	78%	0.36	82.9	2.77%	0	1.3	82	INF
20	Sep_7_2017	16.53	20.39	21.89	23.21	23.35	23.61	23.67(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	80	100	23	250	0.58	78%	0.43	88.2	2.77%	0	1.7	87	INF

21	Sep_6_2017	16.46	20.09	21.43	22.74	22.81	23.51	23.67(1.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	86	220	33	244	0.48	78%	0.43	92.4	2.77%	0	2	88	INF
22	Sep_5_2017	16.39	19.76	20.94	22.18	22.15	23.09	23.24(-3.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	88	290	43	223	0.83	78%	0.37	91.7	2.77%	0	2	80	INF
23	Sep_1_2017	16.33	19.45	20.5	21.63	21.49	22.11	24.02(12.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	91	180	52	207	1.54	82%	0.43	92.9	2.7%	0	2.8	85	INF
24	Aug_31_2017	16.26	19.09	19.98	20.83	20.83	21.22	21.43(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	67	130	32	173	0.31	79%	0.25	94.8	2.33%	0	1.7	71	INF
25	Aug_30_2017	16.22	18.83	19.7	20.37	20.39	20.88	21.33(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	61	170	35	140	0.32	77%		82.8	2.33%	0	1.8	72	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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