Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $18.0600 (-2.64%) ($17.9600 - $18.6000) on Wed. Aug. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.4% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $18.0600(-2.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(11%)    KWEB(9%)    MCHI(9%)    ARKK(8%)    IBB(8%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
BNDX(-7%)    BND(-7%)    VCSH(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    PCY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.2% (StdDev 2.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.63(-3.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.9(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.01(6.17%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   31.6%
Market Cap   $728m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 6.47% (three month std-dev: 2.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.83%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.92%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.75%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -4.22%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 5.97%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.44%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_16_2017	15.95	17.01	17.9	18.63	18.7	18.42	18.06(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	47	-90	-4	199	0.23	66%	0.13	63.2	2.4%	0	1	65	INF
2	Aug_15_2017	15.93	16.94	17.68	18.58	18.72	18.73	18.55(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	57	30	11	196	0.37	66%	0.06	70.3	2.39%	0	1.5	65	INF
3	Aug_14_2017	15.92	16.83	17.45	18.31	18.46	18.97	18.65(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	220	24	185	0.41	66%	0.19	72.9	2.41%	0	1.8	68	INF
4	Aug_11_2017	15.89	16.68	17.15	18.03	17.98	18.71	19.04(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	72	280	40	168	0.97	66%	0.13	71.6	2.39%	0	2.5	71	INF
5	Aug_10_2017	15.87	16.51	16.86	17.65	17.47	17.96	18.84(5.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	76	170	51	150	0.71	68%	0.13	72	2.4%	0	2.9	72	INF

6	Aug_9_2017	15.85	16.34	16.58	17.09	16.77	17.26	17.82(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	52	150	36	100	0.46	66%	0.06	68.6	2.33%	0	2.4	63	INF
7	Aug_8_2017	15.84	16.22	16.42	16.64	16.24	16.97	17.18(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	240	29	56	0.38	62%	0	49.3	2.29%	0	1.7	54	INF
8	Aug_7_2017	15.84	16.11	16.31	16.46	15.9	16.29	17.26(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	38	70	38	37	0.29	62%	-0.06	36.2	2.31%	0	2.2	55	INF
9	Aug_4_2017	15.85	16.02	16.17	16.14	15.62	16.29	17.13(6.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	6	-150	8	0	0.74	56%	0	19.2	2.31%	0	2.4	61	INF
10	Aug_3_2017	15.85	15.96	16.03	15.97	15.68	15.5	16.06(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-130	-8	-20	0.27	52%	-0.06	11.2	2.48%	0	0.2	54	INF

11	Aug_2_2017	15.86	15.93	16.04	15.99	15.85	15.75	15.57(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-70	-13	-15	0.28	51%	-0.06	7.2	2.45%	0	-0.9	50	INF
12	Aug_1_2017	15.87	15.94	16.15	16.17	15.97	15.86	16.3(4.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-90	0	23	0.19	54%	-0.06	19.9	2.39%	0	0.9	62	INF
13	Jul_31_2017	15.88	15.92	16.17	16.12	16.02	15.94	15.62(-4.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	4	-50	-8	38	0.2	51%	-0.06	17.1	2.35%	0	-0.8	61	INF
14	Jul_28_2017	15.89	15.94	16.19	16.2	16.06	16.08	16.3(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-20	6	55	0.13	54%	-0.06	20.8	2.29%	0	0.9	58	INF
15	Jul_27_2017	15.9	15.91	16.14	16.2	16.01	16.1	16.16(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	20	2	44	0.13	54%	-0.06	12.1	2.29%	0	0.7	53	INF

16	Jul_26_2017	15.91	15.9	16.11	16.1	15.94	16.03	16.45(2.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	12	10	-1	49	0.12	54%	-0.06	11.2	2.28%	0	1.5	61	INF
17	Jul_25_2017	15.92	15.86	16	16.14	16.04	15.92	16.06(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-70	-6	47	0.12	52%	-0.06	9.5	2.26%	0	0.6	54	INF
18	Jul_24_2017	15.93	15.85	15.91	16.24	16.17	15.85	16.01(1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-150	-4	45	0.12	52%	-0.13	16.3	2.26%	0	0.5	51	INF
19	Jul_21_2017	15.95	15.86	15.87	16.24	16.23	16.15	15.82(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	3	-30	-7	34	0.12	52%	-0.13	21.3	2.26%	0	-0.1	50	INF
20	Jul_20_2017	15.97	15.87	15.88	16.18	16.18	16.49	16.16(-2.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	130	11	43	0.17	52%	-0.13	36.2	2.25%	0	0.8	54	INF

21	Jul_19_2017	15.99	15.86	15.81	16.1	16	16.31	16.65(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	30	120	28	36	0.09	55%	-0.06	45.7	2.22%	0	2.3	58	INF
22	Jul_18_2017	16	15.83	15.71	15.85	15.74	15.87	16.55(5.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	22	40	25	12	0.25	55%	-0.06	45.4	2.22%	0	2.3	60	INF
23	Jul_17_2017	16.01	15.8	15.64	15.54	15.54	15.69	15.72(-0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	70	4	-27	0.14	50%	-0.12	43.3	2.11%	0	-0.3	47	INF
24	Jul_14_2017	16.03	15.78	15.64	15.52	15.54	15.62	15.82(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	70	4	-33	0.05	50%	-0.12	54.8	2.11%	0	0.1	45	INF
25	Jul_13_2017	16.05	15.74	15.65	15.54	15.44	15.38	15.77(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-50	6	-34	0.07	50%		49.5	2.13%	0	0.1	45	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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