Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $19.2400 (-1.23%) ($18.8700 - $19.5300) on Fri. Sep. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.93% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $19.2400(-1.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(11%)    KWEB(11%)    MCHI(11%)    XBI(11%)    DIA(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -0.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    VCSH(-6%)    BND(-6%)    PCY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.965% (StdDev 1.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $19.78
5 Day Moving Average   $19.33(-0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.25(-0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.78(-2.73%)
To recent high   -15.2%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $776m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 3.99% (three month std-dev: 1.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 3.84%(29%) Average negative next day return: -2.18%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 4.9%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -3.23%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 7.95%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.5%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151011

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_11_2015	21.12	19.78	19.25	19.33	19.41	19.35	19.24(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10	-1	-29	0.14	40%	-0.28	-58.1	1.93%	0	-0.7	36	0
2	Sep_10_2015	21.18	19.85	19.25	19.3	19.34	19.51	19.48(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	70	6	-41	0.08	40%	-0.19	-62.3	1.93%	0	-0.5	33	0
3	Sep_9_2015	21.22	19.91	19.31	19.23	19.26	19.46	19.43(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	80	17	-69	0.07	39%	-0.24	-68.2	1.93%	0	-0.6	29	0
4	Sep_8_2015	21.27	19.98	19.3	19.09	19.12	19.18	19.46(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	30	8	-111	0.09	41%	-0.33	-72.8	1.95%	0	-0.6	29	0
5	Sep_4_2015	21.34	20.08	19.31	19.04	19	19.18	19.06(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-42	20	-8	-145	0.08	39%	-0.23	-58.4	1.96%	0	-1	27	0

6	Sep_3_2015	21.39	20.25	19.43	19.16	19.11	19.06	19.07(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-30	-8	-143	0.06	39%	-0.23	-48	1.97%	0	-1.2	33	0
7	Sep_2_2015	21.44	20.37	19.59	19.33	19.25	18.94	19.15(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-130	-12	-131	0.09	39%	-0.23	-40.3	1.98%	0	-1.2	34	0
8	Sep_1_2015	21.49	20.49	19.79	19.4	19.43	19.15	18.73(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-46	-100	-20	-124	0.09	37%	-0.23	-35.1	1.96%	0	-1.9	28	0
9	Aug_31_2015	21.54	20.61	20.05	19.53	19.62	19.56	19.18(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-10	-9	-105	0.13	38%	-0.23	-33.5	1.95%	0	-1.7	30	0
10	Aug_28_2015	21.59	20.69	20.24	19.6	19.69	19.72	19.66(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	20	-6	-105	0.2	40%	-0.23	-35.6	1.92%	0	-1.3	29	0

11	Aug_27_2015	21.64	20.74	20.36	19.73	19.67	19.69	19.94(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-39	-0	-11	-122	0.13	40%	-0.23	-37.4	1.92%	0	-1.1	22	0
12	Aug_26_2015	21.69	20.77	20.44	19.9	19.84	19.69	19.51(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-70	-24	-124	0.1	37%	-0.23	-43.3	1.91%	0	-1.7	37	0
13	Aug_25_2015	21.74	20.83	20.57	20.26	20.17	19.66	19.38(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-56	-190	-36	-114	0.15	37%	-0.14	-46	1.9%	0	-2.1	34	0
14	Aug_24_2015	21.77	20.89	20.73	20.65	20.56	20.02	19.51(-4.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-50	-200	-39	-84	0.2	37%	-0.14	-49.1	1.92%	0	-2.3	43	0
15	Aug_21_2015	21.8	20.97	20.93	20.97	20.95	20.69	20.33(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24	-90	-18	-42	0.17	41%	-0.14	-50.2	1.86%	0	-1.2	50	0

16	Aug_20_2015	21.83	21.03	21.15	21.06	21.07	21.1	20.78(-2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	10	-1	0	0.11	43%	-0.14	-51.3	1.85%	0	-0.4	53	0
17	Aug_19_2015	21.86	21.1	21.21	21.05	20.99	21.2	21.29(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	60	12	18	0.08	45%	-0.09	-49.8	1.82%	0	0.3	60	0
18	Aug_18_2015	21.88	21.15	21.24	20.94	20.88	21.03	21.34(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	40	14	25	0.14	45%	-0.09	-47.2	1.85%	0	0.3	59	0
19	Aug_17_2015	21.9	21.19	21.19	20.84	20.73	20.78	21.1(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	0	-2	16	0.09	45%	-0.14	-46.6	1.86%	0	-0.1	58	0
20	Aug_14_2015	21.93	21.24	21.19	20.9	20.79	20.72	20.79(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-16	-40	-24	9	0.07	49%	-0.09	-40.5	1.89%	0	-0.6	50	0

21	Aug_13_2015	21.95	21.33	21.15	21.28	21.15	20.68	20.73(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-170	-15	33	0.09	49%	-0.05	-22.9	1.9%	0	-0.7	44	0
22	Aug_12_2015	21.96	21.42	21.13	21.4	21.47	20.85	20.73(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-22	-190	-33	13	0.15	49%	-0.14	-14.1	1.9%	0	-0.9	39	0
23	Aug_11_2015	21.99	21.47	21.12	21.4	21.7	21.63	20.84(-2.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-10	-14	9	0.14	49%	-0.09	-4.7	1.9%	0	-0.8	38	0
24	Aug_10_2015	22.01	21.53	21.09	21.58	21.79	22.09	21.41(-5.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	16	130	22	-3	0.25	52%	-0.05	-0.6	1.88%	0	-0.2	41	0
25	Aug_7_2015	22.02	21.56	21.03	21.42	21.46	21.77	22.69(6.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	19	110	36	-31	0.4	61%		-1.4	1.74%	0	1.5	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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