Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $20.7300 (0%) ($20.5500 - $20.9900) on Thu. Aug. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $20.7300(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(11%)    XBI(11%)    DIA(9%)    EEM(9%)    FXI(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    BND(-6%)    PCY(-5%)    LQD(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $21.33
5 Day Moving Average   $21.28(-2.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.15(-1.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.33(-2.81%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $836m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 3.75% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.01%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.97%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.88%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.15%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150913

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_13_2015	21.95	21.33	21.15	21.28	21.15	20.68	20.73(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-170	-15	33	0.09	49%	-0.05	-22.9	1.9%	0	-0.7	44	0
2	Aug_12_2015	21.96	21.42	21.13	21.4	21.47	20.85	20.73(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-22	-190	-33	13	0.15	49%	-0.14	-14.1	1.9%	0	-0.9	39	0
3	Aug_11_2015	21.99	21.47	21.12	21.4	21.7	21.63	20.84(-2.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-10	-14	9	0.14	49%	-0.09	-4.7	1.9%	0	-0.8	38	0
4	Aug_10_2015	22.01	21.53	21.09	21.58	21.79	22.09	21.41(-5.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	16	130	22	-3	0.25	52%	-0.05	-0.6	1.88%	0	-0.2	41	0
5	Aug_7_2015	22.02	21.56	21.03	21.42	21.46	21.77	22.69(6.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	19	110	36	-31	0.4	61%	-0.05	-1.4	1.74%	0	1.5	52	0

6	Aug_6_2015	22.03	21.51	20.89	21.02	21.1	21.49	21.33(-1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	140	28	-100	0.15	59%	-0.05	-13.3	1.55%	0	-0.2	34	0
7	Aug_5_2015	22.04	21.53	20.96	20.83	20.85	21.15	21.61(3.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-6	100	31	-116	0.15	59%	-0.09	-22.7	1.64%	0	0.1	37	0
8	Aug_4_2015	22.06	21.51	21.02	20.6	20.61	20.71	20.85(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	40	12	-143	0.1	54%	-0.14	-36	1.58%	0	-0.9	40	0
9	Aug_3_2015	22.09	21.53	21.16	20.52	20.5	20.56	20.63(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-39	20	-2	-150	0.1	54%	-0.09	-41.6	1.6%	0	-1.2	35	0
10	Jul_31_2015	22.11	21.57	21.31	20.58	20.52	20.51	20.66(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-45	-10	-11	-148	0.07	54%	-0.14	-43.7	1.61%	0	-1.3	35	0

11	Jul_30_2015	22.14	21.61	21.51	20.75	20.67	20.44	20.4(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-57	-90	-31	-133	0.09	54%	-0.14	-41.4	1.6%	0	-1.8	33	0
12	Jul_29_2015	22.17	21.7	21.72	21.11	21.03	20.54	20.48(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-54	-170	-42	-91	0.08	49%	-0.14	-26.2	1.62%	0	-1.9	39	0
13	Jul_28_2015	22.2	21.78	21.87	21.5	21.5	20.91	20.45(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-48	-190	-48	-48	0.12	37%	-0.09	-3.8	1.66%	0	-2.3	46	0
14	Jul_27_2015	22.22	21.84	22.04	21.89	21.91	21.53	20.9(-2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-21	-120	-29	2	0.09	37%	-0.09	22.8	2.07%	0	-1.9	50	0
15	Jul_24_2015	22.24	21.89	22.16	22.14	22.22	22.09	21.51(-3.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-4	-30	-17	36	0.14	43%	-0.04	50.7	2.07%	0	-0.9	58	0

16	Jul_23_2015	22.25	21.9	22.22	22.37	22.33	22.3	22.2(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10	-6	66	0.09	51%	0	79.6	2.06%	0	0.7	65	0
17	Jul_22_2015	22.25	21.87	22.17	22.43	22.45	22.35	22.43(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-30	5	69	0.06	49%	0	96	2.14%	0	1.3	54	0
18	Jul_21_2015	22.25	21.8	22.05	22.31	22.43	22.37	22.41(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-0	2	51	0.11	49%	-0.04	94.6	2.15%	0	1.4	54	0
19	Jul_20_2015	22.26	21.73	21.93	22.21	22.31	22.55	22.16(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	90	4	43	0.11	49%	0	88.4	2.15%	0	1	59	0
20	Jul_17_2015	22.26	21.67	21.84	22.19	22.21	22.49	22.63(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	90	18	42	0.08	49%	0	80.6	2.15%	0	2	62	0

21	Jul_16_2015	22.26	21.56	21.71	22.05	22.05	22.08	22.53(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	10	12	26	0.11	49%	0	64.2	2.15%	0	2.1	61	0
22	Jul_15_2015	22.26	21.45	21.65	21.87	21.97	21.93	21.81(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	0	4	17	0.06	45%	-0.04	38.6	2.12%	0	0.7	56	0
23	Jul_14_2015	22.27	21.39	21.66	21.75	21.88	22.03	21.94(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	70	10	20	0.08	45%	0	22.6	2.12%	0	1.1	63	0
24	Jul_13_2015	22.27	21.34	21.62	21.61	21.64	22.01	22.03(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	120	17	19	0.08	45%	0.04	5.4	2.12%	0	1.4	67	0
25	Jul_10_2015	22.26	21.3	21.58	21.44	21.4	21.73	21.95(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	100	18	17	0.05	45%		-6.7	2.12%	0	1.4	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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