Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $20.9000 (-2.84%) ($20.7300 - $21.4500) on Mon. Jul. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.07% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $20.9000(-2.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(11%)    XBI(11%)    DIA(9%)    EEM(9%)    FXI(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    BND(-6%)    PCY(-5%)    LQD(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.035% (StdDev 2.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

Resistance Level   $21.84
5 Day Moving Average   $21.89(-4.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.04(-5.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.84(-4.3%)
To recent high   -14.6%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $843m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 2.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.88%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.02%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.58%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.55%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150827

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2015	22.22	21.84	22.04	21.89	21.91	21.53	20.9(-2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-21	-120	-29	2	0.09	37%	-0.09	22.8	2.07%	0	-1.9	50	0
2	Jul_24_2015	22.24	21.89	22.16	22.14	22.22	22.09	21.51(-3.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-4	-30	-17	36	0.14	43%	-0.04	50.7	2.07%	0	-0.9	58	0
3	Jul_23_2015	22.25	21.9	22.22	22.37	22.33	22.3	22.2(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10	-6	66	0.09	51%	0	79.6	2.06%	0	0.7	65	0
4	Jul_22_2015	22.25	21.87	22.17	22.43	22.45	22.35	22.43(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-30	5	69	0.06	49%	0	96	2.14%	0	1.3	54	0
5	Jul_21_2015	22.25	21.8	22.05	22.31	22.43	22.37	22.41(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-0	2	51	0.11	49%	-0.04	94.6	2.15%	0	1.4	54	0

6	Jul_20_2015	22.26	21.73	21.93	22.21	22.31	22.55	22.16(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	90	4	43	0.11	49%	0	88.4	2.15%	0	1	59	0
7	Jul_17_2015	22.26	21.67	21.84	22.19	22.21	22.49	22.63(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	90	18	42	0.08	49%	0	80.6	2.15%	0	2	62	0
8	Jul_16_2015	22.26	21.56	21.71	22.05	22.05	22.08	22.53(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	10	12	26	0.11	49%	0	64.2	2.15%	0	2.1	61	0
9	Jul_15_2015	22.26	21.45	21.65	21.87	21.97	21.93	21.81(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	0	4	17	0.06	45%	-0.04	38.6	2.12%	0	0.7	56	0
10	Jul_14_2015	22.27	21.39	21.66	21.75	21.88	22.03	21.94(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	70	10	20	0.08	45%	0	22.6	2.12%	0	1.1	63	0

11	Jul_13_2015	22.27	21.34	21.62	21.61	21.64	22.01	22.03(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	120	17	19	0.08	45%	0.04	5.4	2.12%	0	1.4	67	0
12	Jul_10_2015	22.26	21.3	21.58	21.44	21.4	21.73	21.95(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	100	18	17	0.05	45%	0.04	-6.7	2.12%	0	1.4	68	0
13	Jul_9_2015	22.25	21.3	21.54	21.32	21.23	21.28	21.63(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	0	1	16	0.08	45%	0	-11.6	2.12%	0	0.8	69	0
14	Jul_8_2015	22.25	21.26	21.53	21.4	21.26	21.07	21.2(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-80	-14	32	0.05	45%	-0.04	-6	2.1%	0	-0.1	69	0
15	Jul_7_2015	22.26	21.28	21.54	21.57	21.51	21.18	21.22(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-120	-11	53	0.09	50%	-0.04	4.6	2.11%	0	-0.1	60	0

16	Jul_6_2015	22.27	21.31	21.52	21.62	21.68	21.46	21.18(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-60	-14	56	0.1	50%	0	16.1	2.19%	0	-0.3	55	0
17	Jul_2_2015	22.27	21.33	21.5	21.72	21.78	21.83	21.36(-3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	20	-5	65	0.1	50%	-0.09	25.8	2.2%	0	0.1	52	0
18	Jul_1_2015	22.29	21.32	21.43	21.79	21.79	21.9	22.06(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	40	10	67	0.08	54%	0	29.8	2.17%	0	1.5	57	0
19	Jun_30_2015	22.29	21.29	21.25	21.68	21.7	21.72	22.01(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	10	10	44	0.1	54%	0	27.8	2.16%	0	1.6	52	0
20	Jun_29_2015	22.29	21.26	21.11	21.51	21.59	21.68	21.5(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	40	7	21	0.12	51%	-0.04	22.8	2.13%	0	0.6	48	0

21	Jun_26_2015	22.3	21.23	21.05	21.41	21.41	21.67	21.69(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	11	90	14	3	0.13	55%	0	16.7	2.18%	0	1.1	43	0
22	Jun_25_2015	22.3	21.2	20.99	21.24	21.25	21.49	21.69(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	13	80	21	-11	0.13	55%	-0.04	3.6	2.18%	0	1.2	51	0
23	Jun_24_2015	22.31	21.18	20.99	21.01	21.01	21.15	21.51(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	6	50	17	-26	0.12	55%	-0.04	-17.5	2.19%	0	0.8	54	0
24	Jun_23_2015	22.32	21.18	20.95	20.76	20.78	21.01	21.16(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	80	10	-47	0.13	55%	-0.04	-39.7	2.19%	0	0	44	0
25	Jun_22_2015	22.33	21.16	20.98	20.65	20.65	20.88	20.99(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	80	9	-54	0.06	55%		-59.8	2.19%	0	-0.4	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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