Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ OSTK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $21.8100 (-0.59%) ($21.7500 - $22.0200) on Wed. Jul. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.12% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $21.8100(-0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(11%)    XBI(11%)    DIA(9%)    EEM(9%)    FXI(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    BND(-6%)    PCY(-5%)    LQD(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.06% (StdDev 2.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.87(-0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.65(0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.45(1.68%)
To recent high   -13.4%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $880m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 2.28% (three month std-dev: 2.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.46%(40%) Average negative next day return: -2.72%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.8%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -6.91%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.52%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.69%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2015	22.26	21.45	21.65	21.87	21.97	21.93	21.81(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	0	4	17	0.06	45%	-0.04	38.6	2.12%	0	0.7	56	INF
2	Jul_14_2015	22.27	21.39	21.66	21.75	21.88	22.03	21.94(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	70	10	20	0.08	45%	0	22.6	2.12%	0	1.1	63	INF
3	Jul_13_2015	22.27	21.34	21.62	21.61	21.64	22.01	22.03(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	120	17	19	0.08	45%	0.04	5.4	2.12%	0	1.4	67	INF
4	Jul_10_2015	22.26	21.3	21.58	21.44	21.4	21.73	21.95(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	100	18	17	0.05	45%	0.04	-6.7	2.12%	0	1.4	68	INF
5	Jul_9_2015	22.25	21.3	21.54	21.32	21.23	21.28	21.63(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	0	1	16	0.08	45%	0	-11.6	2.12%	0	0.8	69	INF

6	Jul_8_2015	22.25	21.26	21.53	21.4	21.26	21.07	21.2(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-80	-14	32	0.05	45%	-0.04	-6	2.1%	0	-0.1	69	INF
7	Jul_7_2015	22.26	21.28	21.54	21.57	21.51	21.18	21.22(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-120	-11	53	0.09	50%	-0.04	4.6	2.11%	0	-0.1	60	INF
8	Jul_6_2015	22.27	21.31	21.52	21.62	21.68	21.46	21.18(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-60	-14	56	0.1	50%	0	16.1	2.19%	0	-0.3	55	INF
9	Jul_2_2015	22.27	21.33	21.5	21.72	21.78	21.83	21.36(-3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	20	-5	65	0.1	50%	-0.09	25.8	2.2%	0	0.1	52	INF
10	Jul_1_2015	22.29	21.32	21.43	21.79	21.79	21.9	22.06(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	40	10	67	0.08	54%	0	29.8	2.17%	0	1.5	57	INF

11	Jun_30_2015	22.29	21.29	21.25	21.68	21.7	21.72	22.01(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	10	10	44	0.1	54%	0	27.8	2.16%	0	1.6	52	INF
12	Jun_29_2015	22.29	21.26	21.11	21.51	21.59	21.68	21.5(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	40	7	21	0.12	51%	-0.04	22.8	2.13%	0	0.6	48	INF
13	Jun_26_2015	22.3	21.23	21.05	21.41	21.41	21.67	21.69(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	11	90	14	3	0.13	55%	0	16.7	2.18%	0	1.1	43	INF
14	Jun_25_2015	22.3	21.2	20.99	21.24	21.25	21.49	21.69(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	13	80	21	-11	0.13	55%	-0.04	3.6	2.18%	0	1.2	51	INF
15	Jun_24_2015	22.31	21.18	20.99	21.01	21.01	21.15	21.51(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	6	50	17	-26	0.12	55%	-0.04	-17.5	2.19%	0	0.8	54	INF

16	Jun_23_2015	22.32	21.18	20.95	20.76	20.78	21.01	21.16(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	80	10	-47	0.13	55%	-0.04	-39.7	2.19%	0	0	44	INF
17	Jun_22_2015	22.33	21.18	20.98	20.65	20.65	20.88	20.99(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	80	9	-54	0.06	55%	-0.04	-59.8	2.19%	0	-0.4	46	INF
18	Jun_19_2015	22.34	21.16	21.07	20.63	20.58	20.55	20.84(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-13	-20	-1	-50	0.12	55%	-0.09	-71.4	2.19%	0	-0.8	48	INF
19	Jun_18_2015	22.36	21.19	21.13	20.71	20.63	20.42	20.55(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-80	-15	-48	0.13	52%	-0.09	-65.6	2.19%	0	-1.6	45	INF
20	Jun_17_2015	22.38	21.25	21.2	20.88	20.86	20.6	20.25(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-26	-90	-21	-39	0.12	52%	-0.09	-55.3	2.19%	0	-2.6	41	INF

21	Jun_16_2015	22.4	21.32	21.35	21.17	21.12	20.83	20.64(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-16	-100	-17	-14	0.12	52%	-0.09	-40.7	2.18%	0	-2.1	43	INF
22	Jun_15_2015	22.42	21.41	21.43	21.34	21.36	21.11	20.89(-1.46%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-15	-80	-20	2	0.16	52%	-0.04	-15.7	2.2%	0	-1.5	51	INF
23	Jun_12_2015	22.43	21.45	21.43	21.57	21.57	21.42	21.2(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	0	-50	-8	24	0.11	52%	-0.04	9.1	2.2%	0	-0.8	53	INF
24	Jun_11_2015	22.44	21.45	21.46	21.62	21.69	21.61	21.43(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	7	-20	0	28	0.11	52%	0	13.6	2.22%	0	-0.1	51	INF
25	Jun_10_2015	22.44	21.46	21.44	21.57	21.64	21.73	21.67(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	40	1	20	0.14	52%		14.3	2.21%	0	0.6	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.