Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $20.5500 (1.48%) ($20.1400 - $20.6100) on Thu. Jun. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.19% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $20.5500(1.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(11%)    XBI(11%)    DIA(9%)    EEM(9%)    FXI(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    BND(-6%)    PCY(-5%)    LQD(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.095% (StdDev 2.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $17.24(-16.11%)
Resistance Level   $21.19
5 Day Moving Average   $20.71(-0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.13(-2.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.19(-3.02%)
To recent high   -18.4%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $829m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 2.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 1.5%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.73%(56%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 2.57%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -2.65%(44%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 2.92%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.95%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2015	22.36	21.19	21.13	20.71	20.63	20.42	20.55(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-80	-15	-48	0.13	52%	-0.09	-65.6	2.19%	0	-1.6	45	0
2	Jun_17_2015	22.38	21.25	21.2	20.88	20.86	20.6	20.25(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-26	-90	-21	-39	0.12	52%	-0.09	-55.3	2.19%	0	-2.6	41	0
3	Jun_16_2015	22.4	21.32	21.35	21.17	21.12	20.83	20.64(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-16	-100	-17	-14	0.12	52%	-0.09	-40.7	2.18%	0	-2.1	43	0
4	Jun_15_2015	22.42	21.41	21.43	21.34	21.36	21.11	20.89(-1.46%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-15	-80	-20	2	0.16	52%	-0.04	-15.7	2.2%	0	-1.5	51	0
5	Jun_12_2015	22.43	21.45	21.43	21.57	21.57	21.42	21.2(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	0	-50	-8	24	0.11	52%	-0.04	9.1	2.2%	0	-0.8	53	0

6	Jun_11_2015	22.44	21.45	21.46	21.62	21.69	21.61	21.43(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	7	-20	0	28	0.11	52%	0	13.6	2.22%	0	-0.1	51	0
7	Jun_10_2015	22.44	21.46	21.44	21.57	21.64	21.73	21.67(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	40	1	20	0.14	52%	0	14.3	2.21%	0	0.6	49	0
8	Jun_9_2015	22.44	21.45	21.4	21.56	21.53	21.77	21.5(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	70	6	17	0.17	52%	-0.04	33.1	2.21%	0	0.2	46	0
9	Jun_8_2015	22.45	21.46	21.35	21.54	21.48	21.55	22.03(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	13	10	16	5	0.11	55%	0	48.7	2.2%	0	1.7	43	0
10	Jun_5_2015	22.45	21.42	21.25	21.35	21.34	21.3	21.47(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10	1	-23	0.1	52%	-0.04	43.4	2.18%	0	0.2	44	0

11	Jun_4_2015	22.46	21.42	21.24	21.28	21.31	21.41	21.17(-2.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	40	1	-27	0.08	52%	-0.04	41.4	2.18%	0	-0.8	51	0
12	Jun_3_2015	22.47	21.41	21.24	21.29	21.27	21.38	21.62(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	30	8	-23	0.07	48%	-0.09	38.6	2.16%	0	0.7	52	0
13	Jun_2_2015	22.49	21.35	21.28	21.22	21.19	21.2	21.39(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-0	5	-27	0.1	53%	-0.09	5.7	2.22%	0	0.1	47	0
14	Jun_1_2015	22.51	21.3	21.36	21.22	21.17	21.15	21.1(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-0	0	-26	0.09	53%	-0.09	-38.9	2.3%	0	-0.4	43	0
15	May_29_2015	22.53	21.29	21.44	21.14	21.12	21.17	21.12(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	10	-3	-23	0.11	53%	-0.09	-79.2	2.32%	0	-0.4	48	0

16	May_28_2015	22.55	21.28	21.45	21.19	21.15	21.19	21.2(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	10	-2	-20	0.07	53%	-0.04	-110.4	2.34%	0	-0.2	51	0
17	May_27_2015	22.56	21.29	21.48	21.28	21.21	21.08	21.3(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-50	-5	-12	0.1	50%	-0.09	-126.2	2.36%	0	0	55	0
18	May_26_2015	22.58	21.32	21.52	21.36	21.33	21.1	21(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-13	-80	-18	4	0.1	50%	-0.09	-133.6	2.38%	0	-0.6	64	0
19	May_22_2015	22.6	21.48	21.58	21.62	21.58	21.35	21.09(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-80	-12	35	0.11	58%	-0.09	-51.2	2.53%	0	-0.3	61	0
20	May_21_2015	22.62	21.67	21.58	21.77	21.77	21.55	21.35(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-70	-4	54	0.11	58%	-0.09	-37.5	2.54%	0	-0.2	57	0

21	May_20_2015	22.64	21.82	21.62	21.74	21.79	21.81	21.65(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	10	-1	57	0.12	58%	-0.09	-35.2	2.56%	0	-0.1	58	0
22	May_19_2015	22.66	21.9	21.56	21.71	21.71	21.99	21.73(-2.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	90	6	56	0.11	58%	-0.09	-36.8	2.57%	0	-0.1	54	0
23	May_18_2015	22.68	22.01	21.42	21.69	21.61	21.76	22.3(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	40	13	41	0.18	54%	-0.04	-36.5	2.55%	0	0.2	51	0
24	May_15_2015	22.69	22.08	21.23	21.55	21.5	21.43	21.84(3.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-30	2	-12	0.14	54%	-0.04	-39	2.59%	0	-0.2	30	0
25	May_14_2015	22.7	22.16	21.12	21.46	21.53	21.46	21.2(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-17	-10	-2	-61	0.16	52%		-41.7	2.59%	0	-0.6	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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