Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $23.3800 (-0.97%) ($23.1900 - $23.4400) on Tue. Mar. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.38% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $23.3800(-0.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(11%)    XBI(11%)    DIA(9%)    EEM(9%)    FXI(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    BND(-6%)    PCY(-5%)    LQD(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.19% (StdDev 2.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.35(0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.05(1.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.6(3.45%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $943m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 3.27% (three month std-dev: 2.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.7%(83%) Average negative next day return: -1.31%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.28%(83%) Average negative next three day return: -0.71%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.95%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.29%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2015	23.21	22.6	23.05	23.35	23.36	23.4	23.38(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	10	4	43	0.13	46%	0.09	43.7	2.38%	0	1.1	57	0
2	Mar_16_2015	23.19	22.55	22.94	23.29	23.26	23.35	23.61(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	20	7	43	0.12	46%	0.13	44.1	2.43%	0	1.5	64	0
3	Mar_13_2015	23.16	22.46	22.9	23.17	23.14	23.31	23.12(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	50	8	48	0.07	46%	0.22	37.5	2.39%	0	0.9	57	0
4	Mar_12_2015	23.11	22.4	22.81	23.07	23.03	23.17	23.56(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	40	14	58	0.13	46%	0.26	33.2	2.4%	0	1.7	71	0
5	Mar_11_2015	23.05	22.34	22.73	22.86	22.84	22.96	23.09(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	30	9	62	0.1	46%	0.26	24.5	2.39%	0	1.2	65	0

6	Mar_10_2015	22.99	22.28	22.67	22.7	22.69	22.88	23.06(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	60	11	66	0.12	43%	0.22	15.6	2.39%	0	1.3	63	0
7	Mar_9_2015	22.94	22.23	22.57	22.55	22.51	22.71	23.04(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	60	3	50	0.18	47%	0.31	7.4	2.44%	0	1.4	54	0
8	Mar_6_2015	22.87	22.2	22.5	22.6	22.48	22.5	22.6(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10	7	60	0.15	47%	0.26	16.1	2.47%	0	0.7	55	0
9	Mar_5_2015	22.81	22.2	22.34	22.51	22.51	22.32	22.53(1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	-60	-5	39	0.13	47%	0.26	8.2	2.49%	0	0.6	54	0
10	Mar_4_2015	22.75	22.18	22.21	22.57	22.52	22.46	22.25(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-30	-9	30	0.11	44%	0.26	13.7	2.49%	0	0.1	50	0

11	Mar_3_2015	22.69	22.18	22.21	22.64	22.64	22.69	22.31(-4.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	20	5	33	0.16	48%	0.27	19	2.53%	0	0.2	52	0
12	Mar_2_2015	22.63	22.19	22.13	22.58	22.54	22.58	23.29(5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	10	7	34	0.18	54%	0.35	13.3	2.56%	0	2	58	0
13	Feb_27_2015	22.55	22.11	21.98	22.4	22.42	22.59	22.18(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	60	14	20	0.12	50%	0.36	2.7	2.5%	0	0.1	47	0
14	Feb_26_2015	22.47	22.14	21.97	22.13	22.21	22.51	22.84(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	19	110	23	5	0.12	52%	0.31	-3.9	2.49%	0	1.4	54	0
15	Feb_25_2015	22.4	22.11	21.91	21.8	21.75	22.25	22.58(2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	9	150	19	-20	0.21	52%	0.31	-11.3	2.49%	0	1	48	0

16	Feb_24_2015	22.33	22.09	21.91	21.55	21.53	21.92	22.03(-1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	120	12	-42	0.2	50%	0.31	-22.1	2.48%	0	-0.1	47	0
17	Feb_23_2015	22.26	22.12	21.91	21.62	21.44	21.26	22.36(7.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-8	-80	4	-44	0.31	50%	0.27	-15.8	2.48%	0	0.5	51	0
18	Feb_20_2015	22.2	22.1	21.85	21.54	21.59	21.13	20.82(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-33	-140	-24	-58	0.35	50%	0.23	-20.7	2.29%	0	-2.6	42	0
19	Feb_19_2015	22.15	22.1	22.01	21.78	21.88	21.63	21.2(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-25	-70	-19	-43	0.21	48%	0.27	-21	2.46%	0	-2.4	36	0
20	Feb_18_2015	22.09	22.16	22.16	22.01	22.09	22.04	21.36(-4.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-12	-0	-8	-22	0.22	48%	0.23	-25.4	2.48%	0	-2	43	0

21	Feb_17_2015	22.04	22.16	22.27	22.16	22.09	22.13	22.38(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10	2	-8	0.31	51%	0.46	-34.7	2.41%	0	0.5	52	0
22	Feb_13_2015	21.94	22.19	22.27	22.1	22.18	22.14	21.92(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-0	-7	-19	0.12	51%	0.23	-45.5	2.39%	0	-0.7	43	0
23	Feb_12_2015	21.89	22.2	22.26	22.23	22.23	22.23	22.04(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4	0	-1	-11	0.11	51%	0.23	-48.5	2.4%	0	-0.4	52	0
24	Feb_11_2015	21.84	22.24	22.26	22.27	22.26	22.21	22.37(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-2	-20	-3	1	0.17	51%	0.23	-40.2	2.4%	0	0.3	57	0
25	Feb_10_2015	21.79	22.27	22.33	22.33	22.33	22.22	22.08(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-30	-6	16	0.16	51%		-29.3	2.39%	0	-0.4	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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