Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $22.0100 (0.87%) ($21.6700 - $22.4300) on Fri. Jan. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.67% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $22.0100(0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(12%)    IBB(11%)    DIA(9%)    EEM(9%)    FXI(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    BND(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    PCY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.335% (StdDev 2.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $16.44(-25.31%)
Resistance Level   $22.74
5 Day Moving Average   $21.84(0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.29(-1.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.74(-3.21%)
To recent high   -16.7%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $888m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 2.99% (three month std-dev: 2.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -5.25%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.88%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.11%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2015	21.21	22.74	22.29	21.84	21.74	21.77	22.01(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-0	6	-52	0.16	69%	0.24	-96.3	2.67%	0	-1.1	41	0
2	Jan_22_2015	21.16	22.83	22.39	21.83	21.78	21.45	21.82(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-110	-14	-63	0.19	69%	0.19	-104.4	2.86%	0	-1.5	34	0
3	Jan_21_2015	21.12	22.95	22.5	22.06	21.99	21.71	21.11(-3.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-32	-100	-23	-59	0.2	67%	0.19	-103.4	2.83%	0	-2.7	34	0
4	Jan_20_2015	21.08	23.1	22.66	22.44	22.36	22.12	21.84(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-90	-15	-47	0.11	72%	0.19	-114	2.8%	0	-2.3	34	0
5	Jan_16_2015	21.04	23.23	22.79	22.72	22.63	22.28	22.41(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-120	-12	-37	0.13	72%	0.29	-107.1	2.77%	0	-1.5	40	0

6	Jan_15_2015	20.98	23.41	22.85	22.82	22.88	22.6	21.99(-4.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-21	-80	-15	-39	0.13	72%	0.24	-92.2	2.77%	0	-2.4	34	0
7	Jan_14_2015	20.93	23.56	23.02	23.02	23.01	22.98	22.97(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10	-4	-28	0.08	76%	0.24	-71	2.7%	0	-0.7	38	0
8	Jan_13_2015	20.88	23.66	23.04	23	23.1	23.16	22.98(-1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	30	6	-33	0.14	77%	0.29	-69.1	2.72%	0	-0.8	36	0
9	Jan_12_2015	20.82	23.76	23.1	22.91	23.03	23.03	23.25(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	20	2	-43	0.12	77%	0.34	-69.9	2.73%	0	-0.6	40	0
10	Jan_9_2015	20.75	23.85	23.12	22.87	22.92	23.05	22.9(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	50	-1	-55	0.11	72%	0.29	-67.1	2.76%	0	-1	31	0

11	Jan_8_2015	20.69	23.97	23.2	22.89	22.96	23.03	23(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	30	-1	-71	0.16	74%	0.29	-66.6	2.9%	0	-1	23	0
12	Jan_7_2015	20.63	24.14	23.29	23.03	23.03	22.79	22.88(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-70	-5	-74	0.15	71%	0.34	-52.8	2.94%	0	-1.3	34	0
13	Jan_6_2015	20.56	24.26	23.42	23.08	23.16	22.9	22.52(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-70	-15	-82	0.13	71%	0.29	-40.2	2.98%	0	-1.7	32	0
14	Jan_5_2015	20.5	24.4	23.57	23.32	23.37	23.26	23.05(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-30	-6	-75	0.23	71%	0.34	-33.3	2.98%	0	-1.4	35	0
15	Jan_2_2015	20.43	24.48	23.72	23.41	23.49	23.42	23(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10	-5	-77	0.11	71%	0.49	-32.6	2.98%	0	-1.6	33	0

16	Dec_31_2014	20.33	24.62	24.01	23.55	23.53	23.48	23.69(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-20	-4	-68	0.14	71%	0.3	-25.2	2.94%	0	-1.1	35	0
17	Dec_30_2014	20.27	24.66	24.15	23.6	23.65	23.55	23.16(-2.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-25	-20	-8	-76	0.1	68%	0.3	-26.7	2.97%	0	-1.8	24	0
18	Dec_29_2014	20.21	24.69	24.34	23.8	23.8	23.59	23.71(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-60	-6	-70	0.17	68%	0.35	-25.6	2.99%	0	-1.2	39	0
19	Dec_26_2014	20.14	24.73	24.46	23.87	23.95	23.74	23.5(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-50	-12	-71	0.12	68%	0.5	-23.8	3%	0	-1.6	41	0
20	Dec_24_2014	20.04	24.79	24.64	24.07	24.12	24.02	23.67(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-20	-20	-63	0.08	68%	0.4	-6	2.98%	0	-1.5	45	0

21	Dec_23_2014	19.96	24.84	24.82	24.56	24.52	24.15	23.98(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-110	-11	-40	0.17	70%	0.4	20.6	2.98%	0	-1.2	41	0
22	Dec_22_2014	19.88	24.89	25.05	24.78	24.88	24.22	24.16(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-170	-18	-19	0.16	68%	0.4	42	3%	0	-1.1	51	0
23	Dec_19_2014	19.8	24.9	25.18	24.95	25.13	24.89	24.04(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-13	-50	-17	1	0.3	65%	0.41	54.7	3.04%	0	-1.3	56	0
24	Dec_18_2014	19.72	24.92	25.3	25.13	25.29	25.54	24.52(-6.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	6	90	1	22	0.32	65%	0.46	67.8	3.07%	0	-0.6	54	0
25	Dec_17_2014	19.63	24.84	25.33	25.26	25.15	25.36	26.09(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	50	9	33	0.13	69%		51.5	2.96%	0	1.5	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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