Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $22.5200 (-2.3%) ($21.9800 - $23.2200) on Tue. Jan. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.98% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $22.5200(-2.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(12%)    IBB(11%)    DIA(10%)    EEM(9%)    FXI(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    BND(-7%)    TIP(-5%)    PCY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.49% (StdDev 2.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.09(-32.99%)
Resistance Level   $24.26
5 Day Moving Average   $23.08(-2.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.42(-3.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.26(-7.17%)
To recent high   -14.7%
To recent low   50.2%
Market Cap   $908m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 4.33% (three month std-dev: 2.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 1.57%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.43%(50%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 2.18%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.24%(50%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 5.45%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.27%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2015	20.56	24.26	23.42	23.08	23.16	22.9	22.52(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-70	-15	-82	0.13	71%	0.29	-40.2	2.98%	0	-1.7	32	0
2	Jan_5_2015	20.5	24.4	23.57	23.32	23.37	23.26	23.05(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-30	-6	-75	0.23	71%	0.34	-33.3	2.98%	0	-1.4	35	0
3	Jan_2_2015	20.43	24.48	23.72	23.41	23.49	23.42	23(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10	-5	-77	0.11	71%	0.49	-32.6	2.98%	0	-1.6	33	0
4	Dec_31_2014	20.33	24.62	24.01	23.55	23.53	23.48	23.69(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-20	-4	-68	0.14	71%	0.3	-25.2	2.94%	0	-1.1	35	0
5	Dec_30_2014	20.27	24.66	24.15	23.6	23.65	23.55	23.16(-2.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-25	-20	-8	-76	0.1	68%	0.3	-26.7	2.97%	0	-1.8	24	0

6	Dec_29_2014	20.21	24.69	24.34	23.8	23.8	23.59	23.71(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-60	-6	-70	0.17	68%	0.35	-25.6	2.99%	0	-1.2	39	0
7	Dec_26_2014	20.14	24.73	24.46	23.87	23.95	23.74	23.5(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-50	-12	-71	0.12	68%	0.5	-23.8	3%	0	-1.6	41	0
8	Dec_24_2014	20.04	24.79	24.64	24.07	24.12	24.02	23.67(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-20	-20	-63	0.08	68%	0.4	-6	2.98%	0	-1.5	45	0
9	Dec_23_2014	19.96	24.84	24.82	24.56	24.52	24.15	23.98(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-110	-11	-40	0.17	70%	0.4	20.6	2.98%	0	-1.2	41	0
10	Dec_22_2014	19.88	24.89	25.05	24.78	24.88	24.22	24.16(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-170	-18	-19	0.16	68%	0.4	42	3%	0	-1.1	51	0

11	Dec_19_2014	19.8	24.9	25.18	24.95	25.13	24.89	24.04(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-13	-50	-17	1	0.3	65%	0.41	54.7	3.04%	0	-1.3	56	0
12	Dec_18_2014	19.72	24.92	25.3	25.13	25.29	25.54	24.52(-6.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	6	90	1	22	0.32	65%	0.46	67.8	3.07%	0	-0.6	54	0
13	Dec_17_2014	19.63	24.84	25.33	25.26	25.29	25.36	26.09(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	50	9	33	0.13	69%	0.51	51.5	2.96%	0	1.5	59	0
14	Dec_16_2014	19.53	24.7	25.26	25.13	25.15	25.04	25.11(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-30	-7	30	0.23	68%	0.46	44.3	2.93%	0	0.5	56	0
15	Dec_15_2014	19.44	24.61	25.2	25.39	25.33	24.95	24.99(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-110	-9	39	0.21	68%	0.47	48.6	2.93%	0	0.4	52	0

16	Dec_12_2014	19.35	24.55	25.08	25.46	25.49	25.26	24.92(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-60	-9	37	0.15	68%	0.52	51.5	2.94%	0	0.4	55	0
17	Dec_11_2014	19.25	24.49	25.02	25.48	25.56	25.71	25.21(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	50	3	45	0.18	68%	0.57	54.8	2.94%	0	0.8	58	0
18	Dec_10_2014	19.14	24.42	24.97	25.38	25.48	25.72	25.41(-3.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	80	7	58	0.18	68%	0.63	58.5	2.93%	0	1.1	68	0
19	Dec_9_2014	19.02	24.33	24.87	25.41	25.29	25.4	26.41(4.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	20	15	75	0.3	71%	0.69	63.4	2.88%	0	2.4	67	0
20	Dec_8_2014	18.89	24.19	24.69	25	25.18	25.24	25.35(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	40	14	69	0.27	69%	0.59	64.2	2.86%	0	1.6	64	0

21	Dec_5_2014	18.78	24.1	24.59	24.65	24.89	25.19	25.04(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	110	10	57	0.16	69%	0.59	62.1	2.86%	0	1.4	58	0
22	Dec_4_2014	18.67	24	24.5	24.5	24.51	25.11	24.68(-3.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	170	11	55	0.18	69%	0.59	61.3	2.87%	0	1	58	0
23	Dec_3_2014	18.56	23.91	24.31	24.48	24.36	24.59	25.57(4.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	27	50	20	49	0.34	72%	0.65	60.9	2.83%	0	2.4	60	0
24	Dec_2_2014	18.44	23.79	24.07	24.25	24.22	23.9	24.36(3.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-100	-8	24	0.17	72%	0.55	68.9	2.79%	0	1	55	0
25	Dec_1_2014	18.34	23.73	23.96	24.34	24.36	24.13	23.6(-2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-5	-60	-14	24	0.17	71%		85.1	2.81%	0	-0.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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