Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $25.0400 (1.46%) ($24.8700 - $25.6300) on Fri. Dec. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.86% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $25.0400(1.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(12%)    IBB(11%)    DIA(9%)    EEM(9%)    FXI(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    BND(-7%)    TIP(-5%)    PCY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.43% (StdDev 2.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.65(1.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.59(1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.1(3.9%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   67%
Market Cap   $1.01b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 2.82% (three month std-dev: 2.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22 Average positive next day return: 1.05%(36%) Average negative next day return: -1.12%(64%) Sample size 22 Average positive next three day return: 1.52%(41%) Average negative next three day return: -2.02%(59%) Sample size 22 Average positive next weekly return: 1.95%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.26%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2014	18.78	24.1	24.59	24.65	24.89	25.19	25.04(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	110	10	57	0.16	69%	0.59	62.1	2.86%	0	1.4	58	0
2	Dec_4_2014	18.67	24	24.5	24.5	24.51	25.11	24.68(-3.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	170	11	55	0.18	69%	0.59	61.3	2.87%	0	1	58	0
3	Dec_3_2014	18.56	23.91	24.31	24.48	24.36	24.59	25.57(4.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	27	50	20	49	0.34	72%	0.65	60.9	2.83%	0	2.4	60	0
4	Dec_2_2014	18.44	23.79	24.07	24.25	24.22	23.9	24.36(3.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-100	-8	24	0.17	72%	0.55	68.9	2.79%	0	1	55	0
5	Dec_1_2014	18.34	23.73	23.96	24.34	24.36	24.13	23.6(-2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-5	-60	-14	24	0.17	71%	0.55	85.1	2.81%	0	-0.2	51	0

6	Nov_28_2014	18.24	23.68	23.98	24.5	24.36	24.55	24.27(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	0	-0	39	0.09	71%	0.72	100	2.78%	0	0.9	57	0
7	Nov_26_2014	18.11	23.6	23.92	24.48	24.57	24.55	24.61(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	20	16	50	0.15	72%	0.56	119.1	2.77%	0	1.5	64	0
8	Nov_25_2014	18.01	23.5	23.84	24.08	24.23	24.6	24.42(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	130	13	38	0.15	72%	0.5	140.4	2.79%	0	1.4	66	0
9	Nov_24_2014	17.92	23.4	23.77	23.85	23.79	24.54	24.82(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	210	25	34	0.24	72%	0.39	148.9	2.78%	0	1.9	62	0
10	Nov_21_2014	17.85	23.23	23.64	23.53	23.47	23.87	24.38(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	110	21	22	0.25	72%	0.45	146.4	2.77%	0	1.4	63	0

11	Nov_20_2014	17.77	23.06	23.55	23.41	23.22	23.04	24.18(6.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-80	2	17	0.34	72%	0.45	120.7	2.78%	0	1	65	0
12	Nov_19_2014	17.69	22.82	23.45	23.29	23.32	23.07	22.6(-2.84%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-11	-70	-18	10	0.32	69%	0.34	94.9	2.67%	0	-0.1	54	0
13	Nov_18_2014	17.63	22.59	23.49	23.57	23.56	23.4	23.26(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-50	-7	32	0.16	72%	0.46	87.1	2.63%	0	0.4	62	0
14	Nov_17_2014	17.55	22.33	23.5	23.66	23.69	23.56	23.25(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-30	-6	46	0.22	72%	0.46	82.3	2.64%	0	0.4	63	0
15	Nov_14_2014	17.47	22.06	23.49	23.74	23.73	23.72	23.74(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-0	-1	68	0.28	72%	0.52	79.1	2.64%	0	0.7	80	0

16	Nov_13_2014	17.38	21.74	23.38	23.72	23.7	23.81	23.62(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	30	6	88	0.19	72%	0.46	77.3	2.64%	0	0.7	83	0
17	Nov_12_2014	17.3	21.41	23.28	23.63	23.59	23.73	23.98(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	40	12	122	0.17	69%	0.46	77	2.64%	0	1	93	0
18	Nov_11_2014	17.22	21.06	23.13	23.4	23.42	23.6	23.72(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	44	60	6	156	0.16	69%	0.53	74.3	2.68%	0	1	94	0
19	Nov_10_2014	17.13	20.71	23.01	23.32	23.3	23.46	23.63(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	59	50	9	207	0.14	69%	0.53	75	2.69%	0	1	93	0
20	Nov_7_2014	17.04	20.34	22.8	23.2	23.19	23.24	23.63(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	70	10	10	250	0.24	71%	0.53	73.4	2.68%	0	1.1	93	0

21	Nov_6_2014	16.95	19.94	22.53	22.99	23.08	23.14	23.18(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	74	30	5	280	0.28	71%	0.47	69.6	2.74%	0	1.1	94	0
22	Nov_5_2014	16.87	19.54	22.14	22.87	22.99	23.15	22.82(-2.27%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0	82	60	6	311	0.47	71%	0.42	67.6	2.74%	0	1.1	94	0
23	Nov_4_2014	16.8	19.19	21.64	22.82	22.83	23.02	23.35(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	93	60	11	338	0.21	71%	0.54	68.1	2.71%	0	1.4	98	0
24	Nov_3_2014	16.71	18.79	21.09	22.65	22.68	22.84	23.03(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	102	50	17	358	0.34	71%	0.48	67.9	2.72%	0	1.5	98	0
25	Oct_31_2014	16.63	18.42	20.55	22.34	22.46	22.63	22.57(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	107	70	19	371	0.27	71%		66.1	2.72%	0	1.6	98	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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