Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 18, 2013

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $25.2500 (-2.4%) ($24.9800 - $26.0600) on Mon. Nov. 18, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.98% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $25.2500(-2.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(10%)    IWM(10%)    VWO(10%)    EEM(9%)    QQQ(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    PCY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.49% (StdDev 2.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.23(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.46(3.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.94(5.47%)
To recent high   -17.5%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $1.018b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 3.84% (three month std-dev: 2.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 4.12%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.53%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.9%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2013	28.03	23.94	24.46	25.23	25.22	25.41	25.25(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	50	13	108	0.29	30%	-0.11	-22.1	2.98%	0	1.4	62	0
2	Nov_15_2013	28.06	23.88	24.22	25.01	24.95	25.15	25.87(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	50	13	94	0.25	30%	-0.04	-48.2	2.99%	0	2.1	66	0
3	Nov_14_2013	28.07	23.84	23.9	24.7	24.68	25.04	24.78(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	100	19	72	0.13	25%	-0.04	-76.7	2.94%	0	1.1	51	0
4	Nov_13_2013	28.08	23.85	23.71	24.33	24.32	24.74	25.39(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	120	23	50	0.12	23%	-0.04	-67.7	2.94%	0	1.2	60	0
5	Nov_12_2013	28.09	23.98	23.43	23.96	23.84	24.31	24.85(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	120	20	24	0.29	31%	0	-58.3	2.99%	0	0.5	58	0

6	Nov_11_2013	28.09	24.14	23.27	23.59	23.55	23.9	24.16(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	100	20	0	0.25	31%	-0.04	-52.7	3.13%	0	0	48	0
7	Nov_8_2013	28.1	24.34	23.19	23.3	23.21	23.37	24.31(6.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	40	13	-22	0.4	31%	-0.07	-51.1	3.14%	0	-0	48	0
8	Nov_7_2013	28.12	24.54	23.17	23	23.01	23.21	22.93(-2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	60	4	-49	0.63	22%	-0.11	-53.7	3.06%	0	-0.7	29	0
9	Nov_6_2013	28.15	24.79	23.17	22.99	22.94	23.05	23.54(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	30	9	-57	0.3	22%	-0.14	-56.1	3.16%	0	-0.6	34	0
10	Nov_5_2013	28.19	24.97	23.24	22.82	22.82	23.05	23(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	0	-3	-105	0.22	22%	-0.11	-62.4	3.15%	0	-0.9	17	0

11	Nov_4_2013	28.22	25.18	23.36	22.91	22.88	22.82	22.72(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-38	-20	-6	-133	0.12	22%	-0.14	-65.9	3.15%	0	-1.1	15	0
12	Nov_1_2013	28.26	25.46	23.53	23.06	23.04	22.83	22.82(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-50	-70	-13	-159	0.18	22%	-0.11	-64.2	3.15%	0	-1.1	15	0
13	Oct_31_2013	28.29	25.78	23.78	23.37	23.3	22.95	22.87(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-110	-12	-167	0.28	22%	-0.14	-61.2	3.15%	0	-1.2	17	0
14	Oct_30_2013	28.33	26.1	24.01	23.53	23.63	23.25	22.67(-3.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-55	-100	-13	-180	0.22	22%	-0.11	-59.9	3.16%	0	-1.4	19	0
15	Oct_29_2013	28.36	26.46	24.58	23.72	23.76	23.65	23.46(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-50	-30	-11	-165	0.18	23%	-0.11	-58.6	3.16%	0	-1.3	29	0

16	Oct_28_2013	28.39	26.78	25.08	23.88	23.87	24.01	23.47(-3.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	40	-3	-147	0.37	23%	-0.11	-56.7	3.16%	0	-1.5	31	0
17	Oct_25_2013	28.42	27.06	25.59	24.06	23.97	23.87	24.36(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-40	-6	-139	0.27	25%	-0.07	-55.1	3.17%	0	-1.3	30	0
18	Oct_24_2013	28.44	27.32	25.99	24.28	24.21	23.74	23.71(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-140	-18	-143	0.23	25%	-0.11	-51.8	3.15%	0	-1.7	21	0
19	Oct_23_2013	28.47	27.61	26.45	24.58	24.72	24.08	23.58(-2.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-65	-160	-38	-147	0.29	25%	-0.07	-49.1	3.15%	0	-2.1	22	0
20	Oct_22_2013	28.49	27.9	26.85	25.59	25.08	24.68	24.3(-0.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-64	-170	-43	-128	0.34	25%	-0.07	-38.9	3.14%	0	-2.1	23	0

21	Oct_21_2013	28.51	28.12	27.16	26.47	26.23	25.37	24.36(-4.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-50	-260	-30	-108	0.45	25%	-0.04	-28.5	3.15%	0	-2.6	23	0
22	Oct_18_2013	28.52	28.3	27.58	27.34	27.12	25.48	25.45(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-56	-450	-46	-87	0.58	42%	0.04	-16.8	3.2%	0	-2.4	33	0
23	Oct_17_2013	28.51	28.44	27.99	27.96	27.82	27.1	25.22(-11.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-38	-200	-34	-49	2.63	42%	0	-0.5	4.26%	0	-3.1	30	0
24	Oct_16_2013	28.51	28.59	28.41	28.54	28.56	28.75	28.63(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	50	9	-17	0.48	45%	0.07	25.2	3.99%	0	0.1	44	0
25	Oct_15_2013	28.49	28.57	28.51	28.29	28.34	28.55	28.71(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	60	11	-20	0.18	45%		20.3	4.07%	0	0.2	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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