Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 20, 2013

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $27.8700 (0.58%) ($27.5000 - $28.4700) on Fri. Sep. 20, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.54% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $27.8700(0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(10%)    FXI(10%)    IWM(10%)    VWO(10%)    QQQ(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    PCY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.27% (StdDev 4.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $28.06
5 Day Moving Average   $27.97(-0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.87(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.06(-0.68%)
To recent high   -18.4%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $1.124b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 2.92% (three month std-dev: 4.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.57%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.5%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.79%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2013	27.84	28.06	27.87	27.97	28.02	27.99	27.87(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-0	2	10	0.22	45%	0.22	-37	4.54%	0	-0.2	54	0
2	Sep_19_2013	27.78	28.13	27.86	27.85	28	28.03	27.71(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	20	4	2	0.17	45%	0.22	-41.1	4.54%	0	-0.5	42	0
3	Sep_18_2013	27.72	28.22	27.84	27.7	27.77	28.04	28.24(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	80	4	-4	0.16	45%	0.29	-41.7	4.55%	0	0	52	0
4	Sep_17_2013	27.64	28.28	27.8	27.56	27.58	27.97	28.14(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	100	1	-10	0.14	45%	0.29	-44.6	4.55%	0	-0.1	50	0
5	Sep_16_2013	27.56	28.32	27.73	27.56	27.63	27.49	27.91(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-50	2	-17	0.25	45%	0.29	-50.7	4.55%	0	-0.4	37	0

6	Sep_13_2013	27.48	28.37	27.69	27.78	27.83	27.2	27.23(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-150	-9	-30	0.1	45%	0.26	-53.2	4.54%	0	-1.2	42	0
7	Sep_12_2013	27.41	28.5	27.85	27.87	28	27.77	26.98(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-40	-10	-31	0.17	45%	0.29	-51.7	4.54%	0	-1.6	40	0
8	Sep_11_2013	27.33	28.61	27.96	27.98	28.07	28.46	27.56(-5.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-6	110	2	-30	0.18	45%	0.37	-52.5	4.53%	0	-1.1	42	0
9	Sep_10_2013	27.23	28.72	28.02	28.04	27.93	28.24	29.22(4.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	3	70	14	-31	0.29	48%	0.41	-59.6	4.47%	0	0.5	47	0
10	Sep_9_2013	27.12	28.82	28.12	27.68	27.7	27.67	27.9(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10	2	-38	0.14	45%	0.33	-61.9	4.44%	0	-0.8	46	0

11	Sep_6_2013	27.03	28.89	28.25	27.6	27.65	27.62	27.68(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-0	-6	-43	0.32	45%	0.48	-80.5	4.44%	0	-1.1	44	0
12	Sep_5_2013	26.9	29.01	28.42	27.85	27.81	27.74	27.54(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-20	-1	-37	0.16	45%	0.64	-87	4.44%	0	-1.4	39	0
13	Sep_4_2013	26.73	29.1	28.63	27.94	27.93	27.67	27.88(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-70	-4	-34	0.43	45%	0.64	-107.6	4.44%	0	-1.2	45	0
14	Sep_3_2013	26.56	29.28	28.8	27.99	28.06	27.89	27.42(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-30	-16	-39	0.32	45%	1.14	-109.9	4.45%	0	-1.7	39	0
15	Aug_30_2013	26.26	29.51	28.96	28.62	28.44	28.19	27.46(-5.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-80	-9	-32	0.29	42%	0.57	-80.3	4.43%	0	-1.5	33	0

16	Aug_29_2013	26.11	29.78	29.12	28.98	28.92	28.23	28.93(3.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-170	-9	-24	0.28	44%	0.66	-74.6	4.46%	0	-0.6	50	0
17	Aug_28_2013	25.94	29.95	29.21	29.09	29.23	28.69	28.02(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-110	-17	-26	0.23	44%	0.66	-65.9	4.44%	0	-1.3	43	0
18	Aug_27_2013	25.77	30.21	29.34	29.4	29.58	29.6	28.12(-8.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	20	-7	-15	0.34	44%	0.62	-54.7	4.49%	0	-1.3	48	0
19	Aug_26_2013	25.61	30.5	29.51	29.71	29.68	29.77	30.59(4.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	20	9	-8	0.26	48%	0.71	-45.2	4.4%	0	0.1	46	0
20	Aug_23_2013	25.43	30.62	29.57	29.35	29.46	29.56	29.26(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	40	2	-23	0.18	45%	0.71	-46.5	4.37%	0	-0.8	38	0

21	Aug_22_2013	25.25	30.83	29.58	29.28	29.33	29.6	29.48(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	70	2	-40	0.09	45%	0.68	-44.5	4.37%	0	-0.8	37	0
22	Aug_21_2013	25.08	30.98	29.63	29.35	29.27	29.36	29.57(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	10	5	-48	0.15	45%	0.72	-48.1	4.39%	0	-0.8	38	0
23	Aug_20_2013	24.9	31.13	29.6	29.27	29.22	29.06	29.63(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-40	-2	-68	0.39	45%	0.73	-38.6	4.4%	0	-0.9	37	0
24	Aug_19_2013	24.72	31.27	29.77	29.3	29.3	29.19	28.83(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-30	-13	-82	0.24	45%	0.16	-27.1	4.44%	0	-1.4	30	0
25	Aug_16_2013	24.68	31.47	30.09	29.84	29.72	29.38	28.91(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-90	-3	-71	0.38	45%		-11.3	4.44%	0	-1.6	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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