Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 18, 2013

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $26.9100 (2.32%) ($25.7500 - $26.9900) on Tue. Jun. 18, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.83% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $26.9100(2.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(10%)    FXI(10%)    IWM(10%)    VWO(10%)    QQQ(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.915% (StdDev 5.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.43(1.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.36(2.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.87(4.02%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   140.5%
Market Cap   $1.085b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 2.78% (three month std-dev: 5.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 0.61%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.97%(63%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 1.64%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -1.85%(38%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 1.62%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.93%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2013	17.25	25.87	26.36	26.43	26.38	26.46	26.91(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	20	3	18	0.38	83%	0.7	47.8	5.83%	0	1.4	57	0
2	Jun_17_2013	17.13	25.8	26.29	26.3	26.35	26.31	26.3(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	4	-0	0	15	0.22	83%	0.59	46.2	5.84%	0	0.7	51	0
3	Jun_14_2013	17.03	25.71	26.22	26.31	26.27	26.3	26.29(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	0	-1	17	0.11	83%	0.65	40.8	5.84%	0	0.8	63	0
4	Jun_13_2013	16.92	25.63	26.13	26.34	26.28	26.38	26.35(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	6	20	1	21	0.28	83%	0.65	39.6	5.85%	0	1	64	0
5	Jun_12_2013	16.81	25.55	25.96	26.33	26.34	26.24	26.31(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-30	2	22	0.19	81%	0.72	38.4	5.86%	0	1	67	0

6	Jun_11_2013	16.69	25.53	25.93	26.33	26.26	26.18	26.26(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-20	-2	23	0.2	81%	0.6	52.1	5.88%	0	1	59	0
7	Jun_10_2013	16.59	25.49	25.92	26.28	26.23	26.44	26.36(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	50	4	28	0.31	81%	0.73	62.4	5.89%	0	1.2	54	0
8	Jun_7_2013	16.47	25.42	25.78	26.11	26.1	26.34	26.41(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	60	8	28	0.64	81%	0.8	76.4	5.89%	0	1.4	62	0
9	Jun_6_2013	16.34	25.34	25.62	25.89	25.71	26.03	26.29(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	70	8	25	0.18	79%	0.74	88.3	5.9%	0	1.4	60	0
10	Jun_5_2013	16.22	25.26	25.44	25.52	25.42	25.86	26.08(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	110	5	15	0.23	79%	0.81	103.2	5.93%	0	1.3	59	0

11	Jun_4_2013	16.09	25.15	25.33	25.53	25.25	25.39	26.28(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	5	10	3	11	0.64	79%	0.75	120.8	5.92%	0	1.6	50	0
12	Jun_3_2013	15.97	25.05	25.26	25.52	25.34	24.97	25.51(0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-120	-1	9	0.35	79%	0.69	159.8	5.92%	0	0.7	50	0
13	May_31_2013	15.86	24.89	25.15	25.4	25.52	25.11	25.31(3.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-100	-4	4	0.4	79%	0.76	122.4	5.97%	0	0.5	53	0
14	May_30_2013	15.74	24.76	25.09	25.4	25.49	25.71	24.44(-6.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-0	80	-1	2	0.77	79%	0.64	115.2	6.01%	0	-0.3	50	0
15	May_29_2013	15.64	24.62	25.12	25.3	25.21	25.94	26.1(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	190	10	6	0.3	84%	0.84	101.1	5.97%	0	1.1	59	0

16	May_28_2013	15.51	24.34	25.1	25.09	24.9	25.27	26.25(5.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	80	8	8	0.48	84%	0.85	87.5	5.97%	0	1.2	66	0
17	May_24_2013	15.38	24.06	25.1	24.99	24.8	24.48	24.88(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-110	1	8	0.14	82%	0.72	78.3	5.87%	0	0.4	55	0
18	May_23_2013	15.27	23.84	25.02	24.89	24.86	24.54	24.84(1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-0	-90	-5	14	0.29	82%	0.66	77.2	5.91%	0	0.5	67	0
19	May_22_2013	15.17	23.62	25.03	24.84	24.94	25.12	24.41(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	60	-1	24	0.51	82%	0.66	82.6	5.96%	0	0.4	63	0
20	May_21_2013	15.07	23.38	25.09	24.9	24.94	25.19	25.05(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	90	1	41	0.28	82%	0.74	95.1	5.94%	0	0.7	72	0

21	May_20_2013	14.96	23.06	24.97	25.1	24.85	24.77	25.75(5.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	16	-50	1	61	0.38	82%	0.88	108.9	5.92%	0	1.1	78	0
22	May_17_2013	14.83	22.7	24.83	25.08	25.15	24.51	24.41(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-170	-6	78	0.28	82%	0.75	122.8	5.86%	0	0.7	76	0
23	May_16_2013	14.72	22.41	24.63	25.18	25.35	24.93	24.6(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-100	-9	90	0.41	82%	0.75	122.8	5.9%	0	0.7	77	0
24	May_15_2013	14.61	21.97	24.44	25.24	25.45	25.79	24.69(-5.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	120	0	108	0.45	82%	0.69	105.7	5.94%	0	0.7	78	0
25	May_14_2013	14.51	21.33	24.11	25.27	25.36	25.78	26.06(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	130	14	129	0.4	80%		94	5.89%	0	1.1	90	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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