Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 8, 2013

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $24.8500 (4.63%) ($23.6300 - $25.3300) on Wed. May. 8, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.92% (three month average)
RSI   94
Latest Price   $24.8500(4.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 3.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 14.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(10%)    FXI(10%)    IWM(10%)    VWO(10%)    QQQ(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    XLU(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.96% (StdDev 5.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.51(5.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.08(12.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.68(33.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   125.5%
Market Cap   $1.002b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 24.25% (three month std-dev: 5.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.37%(80%) Average negative next day return: -2.6%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 7.36%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -8.9%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 12.05%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.41%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130608

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_8_2013	14.02	18.68	22.08	23.51	23.63	24.39	24.85(4.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	240	19	154	0.79	80%	0.79	75.8	5.92%	0	1.4	94	0
2	May_7_2013	13.91	18.03	21.52	22.78	23.02	23.8	23.75(-2.54%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	64	270	23	185	1.01	80%	0.72	71.8	5.91%	0	1.3	96	0
3	May_6_2013	13.81	17.43	20.99	22.09	22.12	22.87	24.37(10.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	70	240	22	214	0.65	80%	0.8	68.1	5.89%	0	1.6	98	0
4	May_3_2013	13.7	16.8	20.37	21.28	21.37	22.25	22.12(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	74	300	17	246	0.86	78%	0.66	65.9	5.7%	0	1.3	97	0
5	May_2_2013	13.61	16.3	19.99	20.9	20.8	21.36	22.46(5.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	84	170	18	283	0.74	78%	0.67	66.2	5.74%	0	1.5	87	0

6	May_1_2013	13.52	15.78	19.29	20.45	20.36	20.49	21.19(4.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	83	30	10	301	0.56	76%	0.6	67.1	5.75%	0	1.4	86	0
7	Apr_30_2013	13.44	15.31	18.34	20.07	20.1	20.23	20.31(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	83	50	9	305	0.28	73%	0.52	67.3	5.69%	0	1.4	86	0
8	Apr_29_2013	13.37	14.89	17.48	19.7	19.72	20.22	20.3(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	86	180	12	307	0.26	69%	0.45	67.1	5.73%	0	1.6	87	0
9	Apr_26_2013	13.31	14.45	16.6	19.31	19.24	19.96	20.25(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	88	250	16	302	0.3	65%	0.53	66.9	5.84%	0	1.8	83	0
10	Apr_25_2013	13.24	14.02	15.82	18.92	18.79	19.21	20.21(4.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	98	140	27	309	0.49	65%	0.46	70	5.89%	0	2	81	0

11	Apr_24_2013	13.18	13.59	15.02	17.94	18.28	18.53	19.28(4.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	102	150	41	284	0.82	67%	0.38	68.3	5.87%	0	2.1	80	0
12	Apr_23_2013	13.13	13.2	14.26	16.32	17.19	18.38	18.46(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	86	640	45	209	0.48	67%	0.38	56.5	5.91%	0	2.2	79	0
13	Apr_22_2013	13.08	12.87	13.56	14.87	15.37	18.04	18.35(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	83	1320	61	147	1.07	68%	0.31	45.3	5.91%	0	2.7	79	0
14	Apr_19_2013	13.04	12.53	12.89	13.47	13.63	15.99	18.29(19.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.1	72	1250	67	87	2.29	68%	0.23	34.7	5.93%	0	3.7	79	0
15	Apr_18_2013	13.01	12.17	12.24	12.31	12.2	12.7	15.33(37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.7	31	260	33	23	1.65	63%	0.08	27.9	5.46%	0	3.9	72	0

16	Apr_17_2013	13	11.97	11.91	11.74	11.73	11.27	11.19(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-26	-280	-20	-42	0.14	44%	-0.31	23.3	2.71%	0	-2.1	37	0
17	Apr_16_2013	13.04	12	12	11.89	12.02	11.69	11.21(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-20	-160	-17	-27	0.08	44%	-0.23	40.1	2.76%	0	-2.3	37	0
18	Apr_15_2013	13.07	12.02	12.1	12	12.11	12.19	11.35(-8.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-13	70	-12	-17	0.09	44%	-0.23	49.6	2.78%	0	-2.1	37	0
19	Apr_12_2013	13.1	12.01	12.17	12.16	12.12	12.34	12.46(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	120	8	4	0.04	50%	-0.08	45.3	2.53%	0	1.3	56	0
20	Apr_11_2013	13.11	11.94	12.13	12.14	12.06	12.03	12.47(4.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	-40	4	8	0.07	50%	-0.15	29.3	2.55%	0	1.3	67	0

21	Apr_10_2013	13.13	11.88	12.09	12.12	12.09	11.89	11.97(1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-120	-7	9	0.06	47%	-0.15	25.8	2.49%	0	0.2	58	0
22	Apr_9_2013	13.15	11.88	12.11	12.14	12.19	12.1	11.75(-3.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-40	-9	21	0.07	47%	-0.23	22.8	2.47%	0	-0.3	56	0
23	Apr_8_2013	13.18	11.86	12.11	12.21	12.23	12.29	12.14(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	40	3	50	0.08	50%	-0.15	30.1	2.45%	0	0.7	68	0
24	Apr_5_2013	13.2	11.85	12.17	12.18	12.19	12.28	12.35(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	50	7	71	0.06	50%	-0.15	34.1	2.45%	0	1.2	80	0
25	Apr_4_2013	13.22	11.83	12.1	12.12	12.12	12.18	12.38(2.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	22	30	5	74	0.05	50%		38.5	2.47%	0	1.4	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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