Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 19, 2013

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $18.2900 (19.31%) ($16.6500 - $18.7900) on Fri. Apr. 19, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.93% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $18.2900(19.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 9.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(10%)    FXI(10%)    IWM(10%)    VWO(10%)    QQQ(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    PCY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.965% (StdDev 5.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $13.47(35.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.89(41.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12.53(45.97%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   66%
Market Cap   $738m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 12.45% (three month std-dev: 5.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130519

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_19_2013	13.04	12.53	12.89	13.47	13.63	15.99	18.29(19.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.1	72	1250	67	87	2.29	68%	0.23	34.7	5.93%	0	3.7	79	0
2	Apr_18_2013	13.01	12.17	12.24	12.31	12.2	12.7	15.33(37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.7	31	260	33	23	1.65	63%	0.08	27.9	5.46%	0	3.9	72	0
3	Apr_17_2013	13	11.97	11.91	11.74	11.73	11.27	11.19(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-26	-280	-20	-42	0.14	44%	-0.31	23.3	2.71%	0	-2.1	37	0
4	Apr_16_2013	13.04	12	12	11.89	12.02	11.69	11.21(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-20	-160	-17	-27	0.08	44%	-0.23	40.1	2.76%	0	-2.3	37	0
5	Apr_15_2013	13.07	12.02	12.1	12	12.11	12.19	11.35(-8.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-13	70	-12	-17	0.09	44%	-0.23	49.6	2.78%	0	-2.1	37	0

6	Apr_12_2013	13.1	12.01	12.17	12.16	12.12	12.34	12.46(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	120	8	4	0.04	50%	-0.08	45.3	2.53%	0	1.3	56	0
7	Apr_11_2013	13.11	11.94	12.13	12.14	12.06	12.03	12.47(4.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	-40	4	8	0.07	50%	-0.15	29.3	2.55%	0	1.3	67	0
8	Apr_10_2013	13.13	11.88	12.09	12.12	12.09	11.89	11.97(1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-120	-7	9	0.06	47%	-0.15	25.8	2.49%	0	0.2	58	0
9	Apr_9_2013	13.15	11.88	12.11	12.14	12.19	12.1	11.75(-3.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-40	-9	21	0.07	47%	-0.23	22.8	2.47%	0	-0.3	56	0
10	Apr_8_2013	13.18	11.86	12.11	12.21	12.23	12.29	12.14(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	40	3	50	0.08	50%	-0.15	30.1	2.45%	0	0.7	68	0

11	Apr_5_2013	13.2	11.85	12.17	12.18	12.19	12.28	12.35(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	50	7	71	0.06	50%	-0.15	34.1	2.45%	0	1.2	80	0
12	Apr_4_2013	13.22	11.83	12.1	12.12	12.12	12.18	12.38(2.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	22	30	5	74	0.05	50%	-0.08	38.5	2.47%	0	1.4	81	0
13	Apr_3_2013	13.23	11.78	12.03	12.07	12.12	12.1	12.08(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	10	-1	78	0.06	47%	-0.23	37.6	2.45%	0	0.8	70	0
14	Apr_2_2013	13.26	11.77	11.99	12.09	12.08	12.1	12.12(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	-10	-3	84	0.06	51%	-0.23	42	2.45%	0	0.9	62	0
15	Apr_1_2013	13.29	11.74	11.93	12.12	12.13	12.06	11.97(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-40	-4	82	0.08	51%	-0.37	43.3	2.52%	0	0.6	53	0

16	Mar_28_2013	13.34	11.71	11.84	12.16	12.18	12.11	12.03(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-40	5	74	0.06	51%	-0.22	36.8	2.54%	0	0.9	50	0
17	Mar_27_2013	13.37	11.68	11.75	12.07	12.15	12.19	12.14(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	40	6	49	0.06	51%	-0.3	20.8	2.54%	0	1.3	52	0
18	Mar_26_2013	13.41	11.64	11.66	11.98	12.02	12.26	12.17(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	150	11	37	0.05	51%	-0.22	7.5	2.55%	0	1.6	61	0
19	Mar_25_2013	13.44	11.61	11.59	11.87	11.9	12.12	12.29(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	140	19	21	0.06	51%	-0.22	-8.7	2.55%	0	2.1	54	0
20	Mar_22_2013	13.47	11.59	11.53	11.71	11.73	11.79	12.16(5.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	16	40	19	7	0.12	51%	-0.22	-27	2.54%	0	1.8	57	0

21	Mar_21_2013	13.5	11.58	11.49	11.49	11.56	11.79	11.58(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	80	9	-14	0.07	47%	-0.22	-46.3	2.47%	0	0	53	0
22	Mar_20_2013	13.53	11.6	11.52	11.38	11.43	11.67	11.7(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	160	14	-14	0.06	47%	-0.15	-60.9	2.51%	0	0.3	57	0
23	Mar_19_2013	13.55	11.62	11.5	11.28	11.25	11.45	11.63(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	120	8	-26	0.09	47%	-0.15	-71.7	2.55%	0	0	54	0
24	Mar_18_2013	13.57	11.64	11.52	11.26	11.18	11.18	11.49(4.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-10	-20	-3	-30	0.09	47%	-0.29	-76.4	2.56%	0	-0.4	47	0
25	Mar_15_2013	13.61	11.67	11.53	11.32	11.27	11.06	11.04(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-140	-17	-34	0.19	43%		-78.6	2.49%	0	-1.8	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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