Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 6, 2013

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $11.4600 (-3.62%) ($11.4100 - $11.9700) on Wed. Mar. 6, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.4% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $11.4600(-3.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(10%)    FXI(10%)    IWM(10%)    VWO(10%)    QQQ(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    PCY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.2% (StdDev 2.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $4.15(-63.79%)
Resistance Level   $12.04
5 Day Moving Average   $11.54(-0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $11.69(-1.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12.04(-4.82%)
To recent high   -28.9%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $462m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 3.9% (three month std-dev: 2.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 3.07%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.65%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.18%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -4.61%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.11%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.64%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_6_2013	13.58	12.04	11.69		11.58	11.74	11.46(-3.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-14	110	3	-65	0.04	40%	0	-80	2.4%	0	-1.2	31	0
2	Mar_5_2013	13.58	12.12	11.74	11.54	11.51	11.65	11.89(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	80	9	-75	0.08	44%	0.07	-82.6	2.36%	0	-0.5	36	0
3	Mar_4_2013	13.57	12.17	11.76	11.5	11.45	11.42	11.61(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-30	-3	-93	0.05	40%	0.15	-96.7	2.34%	0	-1.1	28	0
4	Mar_1_2013	13.55	12.24	11.81	11.54	11.53	11.36	11.42(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-110	-16	-105	0.13	36%	0.07	-114.3	2.38%	0	-1.5	20	0
5	Feb_28_2013	13.54	12.33	11.89	11.7	11.71	11.48	11.34(-0.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-39	-130	-18	-101	0.12	36%	0.07	-132.8	2.37%	0	-1.9	17	0

6	Feb_27_2013	13.53	12.43	12	11.85	11.9	11.7	11.44(-2.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-33	-100	-14	-89	0.13	36%	0.15	-145.9	2.38%	0	-1.9	17	0
7	Feb_26_2013	13.51	12.55	12.11	11.96	12.02	11.94	11.68(-1.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-30	-30	-11	-88	0.05	36%	0.15	-142.3	2.38%	0	-1.6	17	0
8	Feb_25_2013	13.49	12.69	12.2	12.06	12.09	12.11	11.83(-3.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-24	20	-4	-83	0.06	36%	0.07	-106.4	2.38%	0	-1.2	22	0
9	Feb_22_2013	13.48	12.89	12.29	12.11	12.12	12.1	12.22(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	-10	1	-83	0.07	39%	0.15	-69.1	2.35%	0	-0.7	25	0
10	Feb_21_2013	13.46	13.07	12.34	12.1	12.11	12.08	12.08(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-10	-8	-94	0.07	39%	0.15	-49.7	2.37%	0	-0.8	19	0

11	Feb_20_2013	13.44	13.22	12.42	12.19	12.18	12.13	11.98(-1.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-30	-30	-8	-95	0.11	39%	0.15	-44.4	2.36%	0	-1	13	0
12	Feb_19_2013	13.42	13.36	12.53	12.29	12.26	12.14	12.2(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-80	-8	-98	0.1	39%	0.37	-40.1	2.36%	0	-1	10	0
13	Feb_15_2013	13.37	13.47	12.61	12.36	12.34	12.23	12.09(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-42	-70	-14	-124	0.15	39%	0.15	-39.3	2.38%	0	-1.1	4	0
14	Feb_14_2013	13.35	13.59	12.71	12.49	12.46	12.39	12.17(-2.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-48	-50	-11	-157	0.11	39%	0.15	-38.1	2.4%	0	-1.2	3	0
15	Feb_13_2013	13.33	13.68	12.8	12.61	12.58	12.45	12.51(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-80	-7	-191	0.06	41%	0.23	-39.1	2.41%	0	-1	3	0

16	Feb_12_2013	13.3	13.77	12.88	12.68	12.66	12.52	12.49(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-64	-80	-13	-215	0.1	41%	0.15	-38.6	2.42%	0	-1.2	26	0
17	Feb_11_2013	13.28	13.87	13.01	12.8	12.76	12.71	12.54(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-40	-9	-221	0.09	41%	0.23	-36.1	2.42%	0	-1.3	26	0
18	Feb_8_2013	13.25	13.97	13.22	12.89	12.88	12.8	12.74(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-50	-5	-207	0.04	41%	0.23	-35.9	2.41%	0	-1.2	37	0
19	Feb_7_2013	13.22	14.05	13.53	12.95	12.94	12.82	12.79(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-70	-8	-178	0.11	41%	0.23	-36.7	2.42%	0	-1.3	37	0
20	Feb_6_2013	13.19	14.14	13.85	13.02	13.02	12.96	12.82(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-30	-9	-140	0.18	41%	0.23	-38.7	2.42%	0	-1.5	44	0

21	Feb_5_2013	13.16	14.21	14.07	13.11	13.13	13.07	13.09(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-30	-12	-123	0.12	47%	0.3	-37.7	2.42%	0	-1.3	42	0
22	Feb_4_2013	13.12	14.26	14.26	13.27	13.25	13.09	13(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-90	-26	-105	0.09	47%	0.23	-33	2.47%	0	-1.5	41	0
23	Feb_1_2013	13.09	14.34	14.41	13.62	13.53	13.19	13.07(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-54	-200	-45	-81	0.15	47%	0.31	-19.7	2.47%	0	-1.6	42	0
24	Jan_31_2013	13.05	14.41	14.56	14.21	14.08	13.42	13.12(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-45	-360	-50	-30	0.2	47%	0.38	6.7	2.48%	0	-1.8	42	0
25	Jan_30_2013	13	14.5	14.66	14.81	14.79	13.86	13.28(-4.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-28	-440	-44	22	0.32	47%		40.6	2.49%	0	-1.9	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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