Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ OSTK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 22, 2013

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $12.2200 (1.16%) ($11.8300 - $12.5600) on Fri. Feb. 22, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.35% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $12.2200(1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(10%)    FXI(10%)    IWM(10%)    VWO(10%)    QQQ(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    PCY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.175% (StdDev 2.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-1.95(-115.96%)
Resistance Level   $12.89
5 Day Moving Average   $12.11(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.29(-0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12.89(-5.2%)
To recent high   -24.1%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $493m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 7.45% (three month std-dev: 2.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.24%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.88%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 9.03%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130322

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2013	13.48	12.89	12.29	12.11	12.12	12.1	12.22(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	-10	1	-83	0.07	39%	0.15	-69.1	2.35%	0	-0.7	25	0
2	Feb_21_2013	13.46	13.07	12.34	12.1	12.11	12.08	12.08(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-10	-8	-94	0.07	39%	0.15	-49.7	2.37%	0	-0.8	19	0
3	Feb_20_2013	13.44	13.22	12.42	12.19	12.18	12.13	11.98(-1.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-30	-30	-8	-95	0.11	39%	0.15	-44.4	2.36%	0	-1	13	0
4	Feb_19_2013	13.42	13.36	12.53	12.29	12.26	12.14	12.2(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-80	-8	-98	0.1	39%	0.37	-40.1	2.36%	0	-1	10	0
5	Feb_15_2013	13.37	13.47	12.61	12.36	12.34	12.23	12.09(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-42	-70	-14	-124	0.15	39%	0.15	-39.3	2.38%	0	-1.1	4	0

6	Feb_14_2013	13.35	13.59	12.71	12.49	12.46	12.39	12.17(-2.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-48	-50	-11	-157	0.11	39%	0.15	-38.1	2.4%	0	-1.2	3	0
7	Feb_13_2013	13.33	13.68	12.8	12.61	12.58	12.45	12.51(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-80	-7	-191	0.06	41%	0.23	-39.1	2.41%	0	-1	3	0
8	Feb_12_2013	13.3	13.77	12.88	12.68	12.66	12.52	12.49(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-64	-80	-13	-215	0.1	41%	0.15	-38.6	2.42%	0	-1.2	26	0
9	Feb_11_2013	13.28	13.87	13.01	12.8	12.76	12.71	12.54(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-40	-9	-221	0.09	41%	0.23	-36.1	2.42%	0	-1.3	26	0
10	Feb_8_2013	13.25	13.97	13.22	12.89	12.88	12.8	12.74(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-50	-5	-207	0.04	41%	0.23	-35.9	2.41%	0	-1.2	37	0

11	Feb_7_2013	13.22	14.05	13.53	12.95	12.94	12.82	12.79(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-70	-8	-178	0.11	41%	0.23	-36.7	2.42%	0	-1.3	37	0
12	Feb_6_2013	13.19	14.14	13.85	13.02	13.02	12.96	12.82(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-30	-9	-140	0.18	41%	0.23	-38.7	2.42%	0	-1.5	44	0
13	Feb_5_2013	13.16	14.21	14.07	13.11	13.13	13.07	13.09(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-30	-12	-123	0.12	47%	0.3	-37.7	2.42%	0	-1.3	42	0
14	Feb_4_2013	13.12	14.26	14.26	13.27	13.25	13.09	13(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-90	-26	-105	0.09	47%	0.23	-33	2.47%	0	-1.5	41	0
15	Feb_1_2013	13.09	14.34	14.41	13.62	13.53	13.19	13.07(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-54	-200	-45	-81	0.15	47%	0.31	-19.7	2.47%	0	-1.6	42	0

16	Jan_31_2013	13.05	14.41	14.56	14.21	14.08	13.42	13.12(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-45	-360	-50	-30	0.2	47%	0.38	6.7	2.48%	0	-1.8	42	0
17	Jan_30_2013	13	14.5	14.66	14.81	14.79	13.86	13.28(-4.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-28	-440	-44	22	0.32	47%	0.31	40.6	2.49%	0	-1.9	44	0
18	Jan_29_2013	12.96	14.5	14.77	15.15	15.45	14.74	13.87(-6.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-10	-260	-34	62	0.52	52%	0.39	63.9	2.46%	0	-1.1	51	0
19	Jan_28_2013	12.91	14.54	14.84	15.37	15.66	15.73	14.78(-7.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	25	90	-3	108	0.43	62%	0.55	71.4	2.35%	0	0.4	62	0
20	Jan_25_2013	12.84	14.49	14.8	15.29	15.58	16.15	16.02(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	47	310	30	98	0.37	93%	0.55	65.5	2.83%	0	2.4	71	0

21	Jan_24_2013	12.77	14.37	14.62	14.96	15.16	15.59	16.11(7.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	32	240	26	50	0.77	93%	0.63	56.1	4.08%	0	3.2	68	0
22	Jan_23_2013	12.69	14.24	14.42	14.5	14.66	15	14.99(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	200	10	15	0.12	92%	0.48	44.6	3.99%	0	2	54	0
23	Jan_22_2013	12.63	14.17	14.33	14.36	14.4	14.72	14.97(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	11	160	11	9	0.24	92%	0.56	35.8	4%	0	2.4	65	0
24	Jan_18_2013	12.56	14.12	14.23	14.23	14.21	14.31	14.38(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	3	50	3	2	0.09	85%	0.48	32.6	3.95%	0	0.8	64	0
25	Jan_17_2013	12.5	14.09	14.22	14.22	14.19	14.08	14.35(3.76%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1	-60	-1	5	0.11	85%		31.3	3.99%	0	0.8	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.