Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 19, 2013

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $12.2000 (0.91%) ($12.0100 - $12.2700) on Tue. Feb. 19, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.36% (three month average)
RSI   10
Latest Price   $12.2000(0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(10%)    FXI(10%)    IWM(10%)    VWO(10%)    QQQ(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    PCY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.18% (StdDev 2.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-4.74(-138.85%)
Resistance Level   $13.36
5 Day Moving Average   $12.29(-0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.53(-2.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13.36(-8.68%)
To recent high   -24.3%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $492m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 9.13% (three month std-dev: 2.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 6.9%(67%) Average negative next day return: -4.04%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 5.47%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -7.19%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.41%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.83%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2013	13.42	13.36	12.53	12.29	12.26	12.14	12.2(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-80	-8	-98	0.1	39%	0.37	-40.1	2.36%	0	-1	10	0
2	Feb_15_2013	13.37	13.47	12.61	12.36	12.34	12.23	12.09(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-42	-70	-14	-124	0.15	39%	0.15	-39.3	2.38%	0	-1.1	4	0
3	Feb_14_2013	13.35	13.59	12.71	12.49	12.46	12.39	12.17(-2.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-48	-50	-11	-157	0.11	39%	0.15	-38.1	2.4%	0	-1.2	3	0
4	Feb_13_2013	13.33	13.68	12.8	12.61	12.58	12.45	12.51(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-80	-7	-191	0.06	41%	0.23	-39.1	2.41%	0	-1	3	0
5	Feb_12_2013	13.3	13.77	12.88	12.68	12.66	12.52	12.49(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-64	-80	-13	-215	0.1	41%	0.15	-38.6	2.42%	0	-1.2	26	0

6	Feb_11_2013	13.28	13.87	13.01	12.8	12.76	12.71	12.54(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-40	-9	-221	0.09	41%	0.23	-36.1	2.42%	0	-1.3	26	0
7	Feb_8_2013	13.25	13.97	13.22	12.89	12.88	12.8	12.74(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-50	-5	-207	0.04	41%	0.23	-35.9	2.41%	0	-1.2	37	0
8	Feb_7_2013	13.22	14.05	13.53	12.95	12.94	12.82	12.79(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-70	-8	-178	0.11	41%	0.23	-36.7	2.42%	0	-1.3	37	0
9	Feb_6_2013	13.19	14.14	13.85	13.02	13.02	12.96	12.82(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-30	-9	-140	0.18	41%	0.23	-38.7	2.42%	0	-1.5	44	0
10	Feb_5_2013	13.16	14.21	14.07	13.11	13.13	13.07	13.09(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-30	-12	-123	0.12	47%	0.3	-37.7	2.42%	0	-1.3	42	0

11	Feb_4_2013	13.12	14.26	14.26	13.27	13.25	13.09	13(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-90	-26	-105	0.09	47%	0.23	-33	2.47%	0	-1.5	41	0
12	Feb_1_2013	13.09	14.34	14.41	13.62	13.53	13.19	13.07(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-54	-200	-45	-81	0.15	47%	0.31	-19.7	2.47%	0	-1.6	42	0
13	Jan_31_2013	13.05	14.41	14.56	14.21	14.08	13.42	13.12(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-45	-360	-50	-30	0.2	47%	0.38	6.7	2.48%	0	-1.8	42	0
14	Jan_30_2013	13	14.5	14.66	14.81	14.79	13.86	13.28(-4.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-28	-440	-44	22	0.32	47%	0.31	40.6	2.49%	0	-1.9	44	0
15	Jan_29_2013	12.96	14.5	14.77	15.15	15.45	14.74	13.87(-6.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-10	-260	-34	62	0.52	52%	0.39	63.9	2.46%	0	-1.1	51	0

16	Jan_28_2013	12.91	14.54	14.84	15.37	15.66	15.73	14.78(-7.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	25	90	-3	108	0.43	62%	0.55	71.4	2.35%	0	0.4	62	0
17	Jan_25_2013	12.84	14.49	14.8	15.29	15.58	16.15	16.02(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	47	310	30	98	0.37	93%	0.55	65.5	2.83%	0	2.4	71	0
18	Jan_24_2013	12.77	14.37	14.62	14.96	15.16	15.59	16.11(7.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	32	240	26	50	0.77	93%	0.63	56.1	4.08%	0	3.2	68	0
19	Jan_23_2013	12.69	14.24	14.42	14.5	14.66	15	14.99(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	200	10	15	0.12	92%	0.48	44.6	3.99%	0	2	54	0
20	Jan_22_2013	12.63	14.17	14.33	14.36	14.4	14.72	14.97(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	11	160	11	9	0.24	92%	0.56	35.8	4%	0	2.4	65	0

21	Jan_18_2013	12.56	14.12	14.23	14.23	14.21	14.31	14.38(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	3	50	3	2	0.09	85%	0.48	32.6	3.95%	0	0.8	64	0
22	Jan_17_2013	12.5	14.09	14.22	14.23	14.19	14.08	14.35(3.76%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1	-60	-1	5	0.11	85%	0.48	31.3	3.99%	0	0.8	60	0
23	Jan_16_2013	12.44	14.09	14.23	14.22	14.25	14.1	13.83(-3.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-70	-7	11	0.08	86%	0.48	33.9	3.98%	0	-0.8	55	0
24	Jan_15_2013	12.38	14.07	14.31	14.32	14.25	14.3	14.26(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-20	-0	29	0.05	87%	0.49	41.9	3.96%	0	0.6	65	0
25	Jan_14_2013	12.32	14.05	14.29	14.29	14.34	14.39	14.33(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	30	3	33	0.04	87%		37.3	3.97%	0	0.9	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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