Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 4, 2013

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $13.0000 (-0.54%) ($12.9300 - $13.3000) on Mon. Feb. 4, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.47% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $13.0000(-0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(10%)    FXI(10%)    IWM(10%)    VWO(10%)    QQQ(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    PCY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.235% (StdDev 2.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $14.26
5 Day Moving Average   $13.27(-2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.26(-8.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.26(-8.84%)
To recent high   -19.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $524m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 5.75% (three month std-dev: 2.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.45%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 9.14%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.64%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.98%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130304

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2013	13.12	14.26	14.26	13.27	13.25	13.09	13(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-90	-26	-105	0.09	47%	0.23	-33	2.47%	0	-1.5	41	0
2	Feb_1_2013	13.09	14.34	14.41	13.62	13.53	13.19	13.07(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-54	-200	-45	-81	0.15	47%	0.31	-19.7	2.47%	0	-1.6	42	0
3	Jan_31_2013	13.05	14.41	14.56	14.21	14.08	13.42	13.12(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-45	-360	-50	-30	0.2	47%	0.38	6.7	2.48%	0	-1.8	42	0
4	Jan_30_2013	13	14.5	14.66	14.81	14.79	13.86	13.28(-4.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-28	-440	-44	22	0.32	47%	0.31	40.6	2.49%	0	-1.9	44	0
5	Jan_29_2013	12.96	14.5	14.77	15.15	15.45	14.74	13.87(-6.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-10	-260	-34	62	0.52	52%	0.39	63.9	2.46%	0	-1.1	51	0

6	Jan_28_2013	12.91	14.54	14.84	15.37	15.66	15.73	14.78(-7.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	25	90	-3	108	0.43	62%	0.55	71.4	2.35%	0	0.4	62	0
7	Jan_25_2013	12.84	14.49	14.8	15.29	15.58	16.15	16.02(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	47	310	30	98	0.37	93%	0.55	65.5	2.83%	0	2.4	71	0
8	Jan_24_2013	12.77	14.37	14.62	14.96	15.16	15.59	16.11(7.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	32	240	26	50	0.77	93%	0.63	56.1	4.08%	0	3.2	68	0
9	Jan_23_2013	12.69	14.24	14.42	14.5	14.66	15	14.99(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	200	10	15	0.12	92%	0.48	44.6	3.99%	0	2	54	0
10	Jan_22_2013	12.63	14.17	14.33	14.36	14.4	14.72	14.97(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	11	160	11	9	0.24	92%	0.56	35.8	4%	0	2.4	65	0

11	Jan_18_2013	12.56	14.12	14.23	14.23	14.21	14.31	14.38(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	3	50	3	2	0.09	85%	0.48	32.6	3.95%	0	0.8	64	0
12	Jan_17_2013	12.5	14.09	14.22	14.23	14.19	14.08	14.35(3.76%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1	-60	-1	5	0.11	85%	0.48	31.3	3.99%	0	0.8	60	0
13	Jan_16_2013	12.44	14.09	14.23	14.22	14.25	14.1	13.83(-3.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-70	-7	11	0.08	86%	0.48	33.9	3.98%	0	-0.8	55	0
14	Jan_15_2013	12.38	14.07	14.31	14.32	14.25	14.3	14.26(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-20	-0	29	0.05	87%	0.49	41.9	3.96%	0	0.6	65	0
15	Jan_14_2013	12.32	14.05	14.29	14.29	14.34	14.3	14.33(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	30	3	33	0.04	87%	0.49	37.3	3.97%	0	0.9	67	0

16	Jan_11_2013	12.26	14.02	14.22	14.29	14.26	14.39	14.34(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	70	2	24	0.07	88%	0.57	26.8	3.97%	0	1	53	0
17	Jan_10_2013	12.19	13.99	14.17	14.22	14.17	14.29	14.35(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	50	0	24	0.08	88%	0.49	23.1	4.02%	0	1.1	60	0
18	Jan_9_2013	12.13	13.96	14.11	14.26	14.2	14.14	14.3(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-40	-2	23	0.05	85%	0.58	23	4.02%	0	1.1	53	0
19	Jan_8_2013	12.06	13.94	14.04	14.32	14.3	14.06	14.13(1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-120	-2	25	0.05	81%	0.5	26.5	4.04%	0	0.6	55	0
20	Jan_7_2013	12	13.94	13.99	14.29	14.41	14.26	13.97(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	5	-50	-1	23	0.09	81%	0.5	10.6	4.07%	0	0.1	55	0

21	Jan_4_2013	11.94	13.93	14.01	14.22	14.36	14.26	14.35(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	120	6	26	0.04	81%	0.51	-11.5	4.05%	0	1.4	59	0
22	Jan_3_2013	11.88	13.91	13.94	14.1	14.17	14.55	14.53(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	200	12	22	0.1	81%	0.51	-34.3	4.05%	0	2.2	61	0
23	Jan_2_2013	11.82	13.89	13.89	13.94	13.94	14.18	14.62(4.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	13	120	13	14	0.19	81%	0.94	-67.1	4.05%	0	3	60	0
24	Dec_31_2012	11.71	13.86	13.8	13.74	13.75	13.8	13.97(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	3	30	5	-2	0.22	80%	0.43	-127.7	4.02%	0	0.6	52	0
25	Dec_28_2012	11.66	13.9	13.77	13.66	13.66	13.7	13.62(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	20	-4	-12	0.05	80%		-84.5	4.01%	0	-1	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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