Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ OSTK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 23, 2013

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $14.9900 (0.13%) ($14.7800 - $15.2000) on Wed. Jan. 23, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.99% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $14.9900(0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(10%)    FXI(10%)    IWM(10%)    VWO(10%)    QQQ(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.995% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    PCY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.995% (StdDev 3.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.5(3.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.42(3.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.24(5.27%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   42.8%
Market Cap   $605m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 3.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.67%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.4%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.98%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.24%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.33%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2013	12.69	14.24	14.42	14.5	14.66	15	14.99(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	200	10	15	0.12	92%	0.48	44.6	3.99%	0	2	54	0
2	Jan_22_2013	12.63	14.17	14.33	14.36	14.4	14.72	14.97(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	11	160	11	9	0.24	92%	0.56	35.8	4%	0	2.4	65	0
3	Jan_18_2013	12.56	14.12	14.23	14.23	14.21	14.31	14.38(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	3	50	3	2	0.09	85%	0.48	32.6	3.95%	0	0.8	64	0
4	Jan_17_2013	12.5	14.09	14.22	14.23	14.19	14.08	14.35(3.76%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1	-60	-1	5	0.11	85%	0.48	31.3	3.99%	0	0.8	60	0
5	Jan_16_2013	12.44	14.09	14.23	14.22	14.25	14.1	13.83(-3.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-70	-7	11	0.08	86%	0.48	33.9	3.98%	0	-0.8	55	0

6	Jan_15_2013	12.38	14.07	14.31	14.32	14.25	14.3	14.26(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-20	-0	29	0.05	87%	0.49	41.9	3.96%	0	0.6	65	0
7	Jan_14_2013	12.32	14.05	14.29	14.29	14.34	14.3	14.33(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	30	3	33	0.04	87%	0.49	37.3	3.97%	0	0.9	67	0
8	Jan_11_2013	12.26	14.02	14.22	14.29	14.26	14.39	14.34(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	70	2	24	0.07	88%	0.57	26.8	3.97%	0	1	53	0
9	Jan_10_2013	12.19	13.99	14.17	14.22	14.17	14.29	14.35(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	50	0	24	0.08	88%	0.49	23.1	4.02%	0	1.1	60	0
10	Jan_9_2013	12.13	13.96	14.11	14.26	14.2	14.14	14.3(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-40	-2	23	0.05	85%	0.58	23	4.02%	0	1.1	53	0

11	Jan_8_2013	12.06	13.94	14.04	14.32	14.3	14.06	14.13(1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-120	-2	25	0.05	81%	0.5	26.5	4.04%	0	0.6	55	0
12	Jan_7_2013	12	13.94	13.99	14.29	14.41	14.26	13.97(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	5	-50	-1	23	0.09	81%	0.5	10.6	4.07%	0	0.1	55	0
13	Jan_4_2013	11.94	13.93	14.01	14.22	14.36	14.26	14.35(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	120	6	26	0.04	81%	0.51	-11.5	4.05%	0	1.4	59	0
14	Jan_3_2013	11.88	13.91	13.94	14.1	14.17	14.55	14.53(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	200	12	22	0.1	81%	0.51	-34.3	4.05%	0	2.2	61	0
15	Jan_2_2013	11.82	13.89	13.89	13.94	13.94	14.18	14.62(4.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	13	120	13	14	0.19	81%	0.94	-67.1	4.05%	0	3	60	0

16	Dec_31_2012	11.71	13.86	13.8	13.74	13.75	13.8	13.97(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	3	30	5	-2	0.22	80%	0.43	-127.7	4.02%	0	0.6	52	0
17	Dec_28_2012	11.66	13.9	13.77	13.66	13.75	13.7	13.62(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	20	-4	-12	0.05	80%	0.52	-84.5	4.01%	0	-1	44	0
18	Dec_27_2012	11.6	13.96	13.77	13.77	13.66	13.71	13.77(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	0	1	-7	0.05	81%	0.52	-46.9	4.02%	0	-0.5	44	0
19	Dec_26_2012	11.54	14.01	13.79	13.76	13.74	13.71	13.71(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-70	-2	-12	0.12	81%	0.79	-37.8	4.03%	0	-0.8	41	0
20	Dec_24_2012	11.45	14.05	13.81	13.82	13.77	13.62	13.62(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-90	-6	-12	0.02	81%	0.44	-28.8	4.01%	0	-1.1	37	0

21	Dec_21_2012	11.4	14.09	13.83	13.87	13.88	13.86	13.6(-3.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10	-2	-11	0.19	81%	0.53	-25.3	4.01%	0	-1.3	39	0
22	Dec_20_2012	11.34	14.09	13.87	13.89	13.89	13.93	14.14(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	20	4	-16	0.14	81%	0.53	-19	3.97%	0	0	34	0
23	Dec_19_2012	11.28	14.13	13.85	13.81	13.82	13.89	13.71(-2.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-8	40	0	-32	0.08	82%	0.53	-23	3.96%	0	-1.1	19	0
24	Dec_18_2012	11.22	14.16	13.89	13.82	13.79	13.86	14.05(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	30	3	-37	0.09	82%	0.63	-27.6	3.96%	0	-0.3	32	0
25	Dec_17_2012	11.15	14.17	13.9	13.79	13.77	13.75	13.83(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10	-0	-45	0.06	82%		-36.8	3.96%	0	-0.9	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.