Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 15, 2013

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $14.2600 (-0.49%) ($14.1100 - $14.3300) on Tue. Jan. 15, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.96% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $14.2600(-0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(10%)    FXI(10%)    IWM(10%)    VWO(10%)    QQQ(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    PCY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.98% (StdDev 3.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.32(-0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.31(-0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.07(1.35%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   35.8%
Market Cap   $575m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 2.27% (three month std-dev: 3.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.97%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.43%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.74%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.76%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2013	12.38	14.07	14.31	14.32		14.3	14.26(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-20	-0	29	0.05	87%	0.49	41.9	3.96%	0	0.6	65	0
2	Jan_14_2013	12.32	14.05	14.29	14.29	14.34	14.3	14.33(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	30	3	33	0.04	87%	0.49	37.3	3.97%	0	0.9	67	0
3	Jan_11_2013	12.26	14.02	14.22	14.29	14.26	14.39	14.34(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	70	2	24	0.07	88%	0.57	26.8	3.97%	0	1	53	0
4	Jan_10_2013	12.19	13.99	14.17	14.22	14.17	14.29	14.35(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	50	0	24	0.08	88%	0.49	23.1	4.02%	0	1.1	60	0
5	Jan_9_2013	12.13	13.96	14.11	14.26	14.2	14.14	14.3(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-40	-2	23	0.05	85%	0.58	23	4.02%	0	1.1	53	0

6	Jan_8_2013	12.06	13.94	14.04	14.32	14.3	14.06	14.13(1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-120	-2	25	0.05	81%	0.5	26.5	4.04%	0	0.6	55	0
7	Jan_7_2013	12	13.94	13.99	14.29	14.41	14.26	13.97(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	5	-50	-1	23	0.09	81%	0.5	10.6	4.07%	0	0.1	55	0
8	Jan_4_2013	11.94	13.93	14.01	14.22	14.36	14.26	14.35(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	120	6	26	0.04	81%	0.51	-11.5	4.05%	0	1.4	59	0
9	Jan_3_2013	11.88	13.91	13.94	14.1	14.17	14.55	14.53(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	200	12	22	0.1	81%	0.51	-34.3	4.05%	0	2.2	61	0
10	Jan_2_2013	11.82	13.89	13.89	13.94	13.94	14.18	14.62(4.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	13	120	13	14	0.19	81%	0.94	-67.1	4.05%	0	3	60	0

11	Dec_31_2012	11.71	13.86	13.8	13.74	13.75	13.8	13.97(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	3	30	5	-2	0.22	80%	0.43	-127.7	4.02%	0	0.6	52	0
12	Dec_28_2012	11.66	13.9	13.77	13.66	13.75	13.7	13.62(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	20	-4	-12	0.05	80%	0.52	-84.5	4.01%	0	-1	44	0
13	Dec_27_2012	11.6	13.96	13.77	13.77	13.66	13.71	13.77(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	0	1	-7	0.05	81%	0.52	-46.9	4.02%	0	-0.5	44	0
14	Dec_26_2012	11.54	14.01	13.79	13.76	13.74	13.71	13.71(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-70	-2	-12	0.12	81%	0.79	-37.8	4.03%	0	-0.8	41	0
15	Dec_24_2012	11.45	14.05	13.81	13.82	13.77	13.62	13.62(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-90	-6	-12	0.02	81%	0.44	-28.8	4.01%	0	-1.1	37	0

16	Dec_21_2012	11.4	14.09	13.83	13.87	13.88	13.86	13.6(-3.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10	-2	-11	0.19	81%	0.53	-25.3	4.01%	0	-1.3	39	0
17	Dec_20_2012	11.34	14.09	13.87	13.89	13.89	13.93	14.14(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	20	4	-16	0.14	81%	0.53	-19	3.97%	0	0	34	0
18	Dec_19_2012	11.28	14.13	13.85	13.81	13.82	13.89	13.71(-2.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-8	40	0	-32	0.08	82%	0.53	-23	3.96%	0	-1.1	19	0
19	Dec_18_2012	11.22	14.16	13.89	13.82	13.79	13.86	14.05(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	30	3	-37	0.09	82%	0.63	-27.6	3.96%	0	-0.3	32	0
20	Dec_17_2012	11.15	14.17	13.9	13.79	13.77	13.75	13.83(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10	-0	-45	0.06	82%	0.54	-36.8	3.96%	0	-0.9	32	0

21	Dec_14_2012	11.09	14.19	13.92	13.8	13.81	13.73	13.7(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-40	-3	-49	0.07	82%	0.64	-46.1	3.97%	0	-1.4	36	0
22	Dec_13_2012	11.02	14.2	14.03	13.84	13.86	13.79	13.75(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-30	-4	-43	0.08	83%	0.55	-62.2	3.98%	0	-1.3	41	0
23	Dec_12_2012	10.96	14.22	14.15	13.9	13.94	13.9	13.78(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10	-3	-32	0.1	83%	0.64	-77	3.99%	0	-1.3	42	0
24	Dec_11_2012	10.89	14.26	14.25	13.96	13.99	13.92	13.9(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-30	-3	-23	0.07	83%	0.55	-87.9	3.99%	0	-1.1	46	0
25	Dec_10_2012	10.83	14.31	14.32	14.02	14.04	13.98	13.86(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-30	-3	-17	0.09	83%		-89.1	3.99%	0	-1.3	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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