Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $14.1400 (3.14%) ($13.6200 - $14.5400) on Thu. Dec. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.97% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $14.1400(3.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(10%)    FXI(10%)    IWM(10%)    VWO(10%)    QQQ(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    PCY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.985% (StdDev 3.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $13.89(1.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $13.87(1.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.13(0.07%)
To recent high   -8.9%
To recent low   43.3%
Market Cap   $570m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 2.69% (three month std-dev: 3.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2012	11.34		13.87	13.89	13.89	13.93	14.14(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	20	4	-16	0.14	81%	0.53	-19	3.97%	0	0	34	0
2	Dec_19_2012	11.28	14.13	13.85	13.81	13.82	13.89	13.71(-2.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-8	40	0	-32	0.08	82%	0.53	-23	3.96%	0	-1.1	19	0
3	Dec_18_2012	11.22	14.16	13.89	13.82	13.79	13.86	14.05(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	30	3	-37	0.09	82%	0.63	-27.6	3.96%	0	-0.3	32	0
4	Dec_17_2012	11.15	14.17	13.9	13.79	13.77	13.75	13.83(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10	-0	-45	0.06	82%	0.54	-36.8	3.96%	0	-0.9	32	0
5	Dec_14_2012	11.09	14.19	13.92	13.8	13.81	13.73	13.7(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-40	-3	-49	0.07	82%	0.64	-46.1	3.97%	0	-1.4	36	0

6	Dec_13_2012	11.02	14.2	14.03	13.84	13.86	13.79	13.75(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-30	-4	-43	0.08	83%	0.55	-62.2	3.98%	0	-1.3	41	0
7	Dec_12_2012	10.96	14.22	14.15	13.9	13.94	13.9	13.78(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10	-3	-32	0.1	83%	0.64	-77	3.99%	0	-1.3	42	0
8	Dec_11_2012	10.89	14.26	14.25	13.96	13.99	13.92	13.9(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-30	-3	-23	0.07	83%	0.55	-87.9	3.99%	0	-1.1	46	0
9	Dec_10_2012	10.83	14.31	14.32	14.02	14.04	13.98	13.86(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-30	-3	-17	0.09	83%	0.65	-89.1	3.99%	0	-1.3	44	0
10	Dec_7_2012	10.76	14.36	14.38	14.07	14.1	14.07	13.91(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10	-7	-15	0.06	83%	0.75	-82.4	3.99%	0	-1.3	44	0

11	Dec_6_2012	10.68	14.42	14.42	14.25	14.2	14.1	14.05(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-60	-9	-1	0.06	84%	0.75	-62.3	3.98%	0	-1	60	0
12	Dec_5_2012	10.6	14.49	14.45	14.44	14.4	14.13	14.09(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-140	-9	12	0.07	84%	0.76	-35.5	3.99%	0	-1	52	0
13	Dec_4_2012	10.52	14.56	14.46	14.58	14.61	14.3	14.18(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-140	-8	17	0.08	84%	0.86	-20.4	3.99%	0	-0.8	45	0
14	Dec_3_2012	10.43	14.62	14.47	14.67	14.72	14.66	14.11(-4.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	1	-20	-5	19	0.17	84%	0.77	5.6	3.99%	0	-1	40	0
15	Nov_30_2012	10.35	14.62	14.5	14.72	14.76	14.93	14.81(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	90	7	21	0.1	88%	0.88	48.6	3.93%	0	0.3	46	0

16	Nov_29_2012	10.26	14.66	14.39	14.61	14.63	14.79	15.03(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	80	9	2	0.21	88%	0.88	85	3.93%	0	0.8	45	0
17	Nov_28_2012	10.17	14.64	14.3	14.46	14.43	14.6	14.77(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	80	7	-21	0.14	88%	0.79	116.5	3.93%	0	0.3	36	0
18	Nov_27_2012	10.09	14.65	14.27	14.34	14.34	14.46	14.61(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	60	6	-37	0.22	88%	0.9	151.2	3.94%	0	-0.1	32	0
19	Nov_26_2012	10	14.59	14.28	14.26	14.23	14.27	14.4(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	10	1	-50	0.12	88%	0.81	168.2	3.94%	0	-0.4	29	0
20	Nov_23_2012	9.92	14.43	14.33	14.24	14.24	14.22	14.25(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	-10	4	-50	0.03	88%	0.71	160.1	3.94%	0	-0.4	42	0

21	Nov_21_2012	9.85	14.26	14.41	14.14	14.2	14.2	14.25(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	10	1	-56	0.11	88%	0.82	72.8	3.91%	0	-0	42	0
22	Nov_20_2012	9.77	14.1	14.52	14.11	14.1	14.26	14.17(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-16	80	-3	-53	0.09	88%	0.72	55.9	3.92%	0	0.1	43	0
23	Nov_19_2012	9.7	13.95	14.65	14.19	14.16	14.2	14.25(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	10	-1	-45	0.08	88%	0.83	52.1	3.92%	0	0.2	38	0
24	Nov_16_2012	9.62	13.79	14.77	14.3	14.24	13.94	14.26(3.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-160	-8	-22	0.14	88%	0.84	51.4	3.92%	0	0.3	65	0
25	Nov_15_2012	9.54	13.66	14.83	14.44	14.42	14.11	13.76(-2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-150	-18	21	0.2	88%		54.9	3.91%	0	0.1	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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