Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 14, 2012

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $13.7000 (-0.36%) ($13.5900 - $13.8500) on Fri. Dec. 14, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.97% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $13.7000(-0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(10%)    FXI(10%)    IWM(10%)    VWO(10%)    QQQ(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    PCY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.985% (StdDev 3.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $8.86(-35.33%)
Resistance Level   $14.19
5 Day Moving Average   $13.8(-0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $13.92(-1.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.19(-3.45%)
To recent high   -11.7%
To recent low   44.8%
Market Cap   $553m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 2.54% (three month std-dev: 3.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.38%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.7%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -1.3%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.08%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.12%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2012	11.09	14.19	13.92	13.8	13.81	13.73	13.7(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-40	-3	-49	0.07	82%	0.64	-46.1	3.97%	0	-1.4	36	0
2	Dec_13_2012	11.02	14.2	14.03	13.84	13.86	13.79	13.75(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-30	-4	-43	0.08	83%	0.55	-62.2	3.98%	0	-1.3	41	0
3	Dec_12_2012	10.96	14.22	14.15	13.9	13.94	13.9	13.78(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10	-3	-32	0.1	83%	0.64	-77	3.99%	0	-1.3	42	0
4	Dec_11_2012	10.89	14.26	14.25	13.96	13.99	13.92	13.9(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-30	-3	-23	0.07	83%	0.55	-87.9	3.99%	0	-1.1	46	0
5	Dec_10_2012	10.83	14.31	14.32	14.02	14.04	13.98	13.86(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-30	-3	-17	0.09	83%	0.65	-89.1	3.99%	0	-1.3	44	0

6	Dec_7_2012	10.76	14.36	14.38	14.07	14.1	14.07	13.91(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10	-7	-15	0.06	83%	0.75	-82.4	3.99%	0	-1.3	44	0
7	Dec_6_2012	10.68	14.42	14.42	14.25	14.2	14.1	14.05(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-60	-9	-1	0.06	84%	0.75	-62.3	3.98%	0	-1	60	0
8	Dec_5_2012	10.6	14.49	14.45	14.44	14.4	14.13	14.09(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-140	-9	12	0.07	84%	0.76	-35.5	3.99%	0	-1	52	0
9	Dec_4_2012	10.52	14.56	14.46	14.58	14.61	14.3	14.18(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-140	-8	17	0.08	84%	0.86	-20.4	3.99%	0	-0.8	45	0
10	Dec_3_2012	10.43	14.62	14.47	14.67	14.72	14.66	14.11(-4.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	1	-20	-5	19	0.17	84%	0.77	5.6	3.99%	0	-1	40	0

11	Nov_30_2012	10.35	14.62	14.5	14.72	14.76	14.93	14.81(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	90	7	21	0.1	88%	0.88	48.6	3.93%	0	0.3	46	0
12	Nov_29_2012	10.26	14.66	14.39	14.61	14.63	14.79	15.03(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	80	9	2	0.21	88%	0.88	85	3.93%	0	0.8	45	0
13	Nov_28_2012	10.17	14.64	14.3	14.46	14.43	14.6	14.77(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	80	7	-21	0.14	88%	0.79	116.5	3.93%	0	0.3	36	0
14	Nov_27_2012	10.09	14.65	14.27	14.34	14.34	14.46	14.61(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	60	6	-37	0.22	88%	0.9	151.2	3.94%	0	-0.1	32	0
15	Nov_26_2012	10	14.59	14.28	14.26	14.23	14.27	14.4(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	10	1	-50	0.12	88%	0.81	168.2	3.94%	0	-0.4	29	0

16	Nov_23_2012	9.92	14.43	14.33	14.24	14.24	14.22	14.25(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	-10	4	-50	0.03	88%	0.71	160.1	3.94%	0	-0.4	42	0
17	Nov_21_2012	9.85	14.26	14.41	14.14	14.2	14.2	14.25(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	10	1	-56	0.11	88%	0.82	72.8	3.91%	0	-0	42	0
18	Nov_20_2012	9.77	14.1	14.52	14.11	14.1	14.26	14.17(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-16	80	-3	-53	0.09	88%	0.72	55.9	3.92%	0	0.1	43	0
19	Nov_19_2012	9.7	13.95	14.65	14.19	14.16	14.2	14.25(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	10	-1	-45	0.08	88%	0.83	52.1	3.92%	0	0.2	38	0
20	Nov_16_2012	9.62	13.79	14.77	14.3	14.24	13.94	14.26(3.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-160	-8	-22	0.14	88%	0.84	51.4	3.92%	0	0.3	65	0

21	Nov_15_2012	9.54	13.66	14.83	14.44	14.42	14.11	13.76(-2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-150	-18	21	0.2	88%	0.74	54.9	3.91%	0	0.1	78	0
22	Nov_14_2012	9.47	13.53	14.95	14.72	14.73	14.54	14.09(-3.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-90	-14	84	0.22	88%	0.85	61	3.89%	0	0.3	82	0
23	Nov_13_2012	9.39	13.37	15.03	14.99	14.97	14.73	14.57(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	30	-120	-10	151	0.38	88%	0.86	65.3	3.86%	0	0.6	83	0
24	Nov_12_2012	9.31	13.17	15.09	15.18	15.14	14.93	14.83(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	48	-100	-9	219	0.1	88%	0.87	67.2	3.85%	0	0.8	82	0
25	Nov_9_2012	9.23	12.95	14.95	15.3	15.32	15.21	14.95(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	67	-50	-1	271	0.12	88%		69.1	3.84%	0	0.9	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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