Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 6, 2010

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $22.4700 (0.27%) ($21.0500 - $22.9000) on Thu. May. 6, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.42% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $22.4700(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 3.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(4%)    EWP(4%)    IWM(4%)    QQQ(4%)    SPY(4%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    PCY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.21% (StdDev 4.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.1(6.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.24(11.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.08(11.9%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   106%
Market Cap   $906m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 6.27% (three month std-dev: 4.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100606

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_6_2010	14.53	20.08	20.24	21.1	21.86	22.55	22.47(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	330	15	62	0.53	94%	0.62	53.3	4.42%	0	1.9	66	0
2	May_5_2010	14.44	19.91	20	20.34	20.91	23.28	22.41(-3.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.8	47	880	47	46	0.87	94%	0.63	53.6	4.46%	0	2.2	59	0
3	May_4_2010	14.35	19.74	19.68	19.62	19.89	21.18	23.31(21.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.7	47	500	57	17	1.81	92%	0.63	68.8	4.41%	0	3.6	62	0
4	May_3_2010	14.26	19.53	19.28	18.83	18.73	18.54	19.26(6.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-17	-90	-6	-51	0.25	90%	0.35	113.3	3.64%	0	-0.4	44	0
5	Apr_30_2010	14.21	19.49	19.29	18.92	18.97	18.61	18.06(-3.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-27	-120	-16	-61	0.2	85%	0.28	150.1	3.6%	0	-2.1	29	0

6	Apr_29_2010	14.17	19.43	19.44	19.24	19.3	18.92	18.68(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-130	-18	-49	0.22	85%	0.35	145	3.59%	0	-0.8	45	0
7	Apr_28_2010	14.12	19.32	19.6	19.58	19.63	19.33	18.8(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-100	-10	-24	0.2	85%	0.28	129.5	3.59%	0	-0.4	49	0
8	Apr_27_2010	14.08	19.08	19.77	19.71	19.83	19.68	19.33(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-30	-6	-7	0.17	85%	0.36	89.8	3.56%	0	0.1	53	0
9	Apr_26_2010	14.03	18.81	19.85	19.78	19.82	19.94	19.72(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	2	50	1	5	0.16	83%	0.36	74.7	3.54%	0	0.4	54	0
10	Apr_23_2010	13.98	18.52	19.85	19.72	19.76	19.99	19.67(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	90	7	23	0.36	83%	0.43	65.5	3.56%	0	0.5	64	0

11	Apr_22_2010	13.92	18.22	19.94	19.67	19.54	19.69	20.39(4.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	13	30	3	44	0.47	83%	0.43	59.7	3.54%	0	0.8	78	0
12	Apr_21_2010	13.86	17.9	19.83	19.65	19.53	19.54	19.45(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10	-6	70	0.19	82%	0.36	56.6	3.52%	0	0.6	79	0
13	Apr_20_2010	13.81	17.63	19.82	19.85	19.74	19.4	19.67(1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-140	-6	134	0.22	82%	0.44	56.8	3.52%	0	0.7	87	0
14	Apr_19_2010	13.75	17.35	19.8	19.95	19.92	19.52	19.4(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	36	-150	-17	194	0.22	82%	0.36	57	3.53%	0	0.7	87	0
15	Apr_16_2010	13.7	17.07	19.71	20.19	20.24	20.08	19.42(-4.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	64	-50	-5	270	0.31	82%	0.44	58.6	3.53%	0	0.8	87	0

16	Apr_15_2010	13.64	16.79	19.45	20.23	20.33	20.32	20.29(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	86	10	6	325	0.23	85%	0.44	58.9	3.5%	0	1.2	92	0
17	Apr_14_2010	13.58	16.48	19.03	20.04	20.09	20.41	20.49(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	97	120	11	356	0.34	85%	0.44	59.6	3.49%	0	1.4	90	0
18	Apr_13_2010	13.52	16.17	18.35	19.79	19.8	20.34	20.14(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	100	190	15	355	0.38	85%	0.3	61.4	3.51%	0	1.5	86	0
19	Apr_12_2010	13.48	15.85	17.71	19.64	19.49	19.78	20.61(4.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	111	80	25	370	0.54	83%	0.45	64.1	3.48%	0	1.9	89	0
20	Apr_9_2010	13.42	15.51	16.99	19.16	19.15	19.26	19.63(1.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	107	40	24	357	0.3	82%	0.37	67.7	3.46%	0	1.8	89	0

21	Apr_8_2010	13.37	15.22	16.37	18.54	18.67	19.19	19.31(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	105	220	31	325	0.39	82%	0.22	68.7	3.48%	0	1.9	86	0
22	Apr_7_2010	13.34	14.94	15.8	17.85	17.94	19.04	19.24(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	120	440	63	292	0.51	82%	0.3	68.5	3.49%	0	2.3	79	0
23	Apr_6_2010	13.3	14.67	15.24	16.67	16.84	18.15	19.4(6.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	108	580	74	211	0.93	78%	0.3	61.6	3.48%	0	2.9	76	0
24	Apr_5_2010	13.26	14.37	14.65	15.48	15.52	16.85	18.24(10.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	81	610	66	124	1.03	76%	0.15	58.7	3.47%	0	3.3	75	0
25	Apr_1_2010	13.24	14.09	14.16	14.51	14.51	15.53	16.5(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	54	490	55	50	0.86	73%		56.5	3.19%	0	2.9	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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