Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 12, 2010

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $20.6100 (4.99%) ($19.5300 - $20.7600) on Mon. Apr. 12, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.48% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $20.6100(4.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 20.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(4%)    EWI(4%)    EWP(4%)    IWM(4%)    QQQ(4%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    PCY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.74% (StdDev 3.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.64(4.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.71(16.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.85(30.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   90.1%
Market Cap   $831m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 16.15% (three month std-dev: 3.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.58%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 14.15%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.09%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 8.09%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.82%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2010	13.48	15.85	17.71	19.64	19.49	19.78	20.61(4.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	111	80	25	370	0.54	83%	0.45	64.1	3.48%	0	1.9	89	0
2	Apr_9_2010	13.42	15.51	16.99	19.16	19.15	19.26	19.63(1.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	107	40	24	357	0.3	82%	0.37	67.7	3.46%	0	1.8	89	0
3	Apr_8_2010	13.37	15.22	16.37	18.54	18.67	19.19	19.31(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	105	220	31	325	0.39	82%	0.22	68.7	3.48%	0	1.9	86	0
4	Apr_7_2010	13.34	14.94	15.8	17.85	17.94	19.04	19.24(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	120	440	63	292	0.51	82%	0.3	68.5	3.49%	0	2.3	79	0
5	Apr_6_2010	13.3	14.67	15.24	16.67	16.84	18.15	19.4(6.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	108	580	74	211	0.93	78%	0.3	61.6	3.48%	0	2.9	76	0

6	Apr_5_2010	13.26	14.37	14.65	15.48	15.52	16.85	18.24(10.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	81	610	66	124	1.03	76%	0.15	58.7	3.47%	0	3.3	75	0
7	Apr_1_2010	13.24	14.09	14.16	14.51	14.51	15.53	16.5(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	54	490	55	50	0.86	73%	0.08	56.5	3.19%	0	2.9	68	0
8	Mar_31_2010	13.23	13.9	13.86	13.9	13.85	14.2	15.85(18.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	3	24	170	34	-8	3.73	72%	0.08	49.6	3.18%	0	3	65	0
9	Mar_30_2010	13.22	13.75	13.68	13.47	13.56	13.49	13.38(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-20	-10	-80	0.16	66%	-0.15	48.4	2.16%	0	-0.8	40	0
10	Mar_29_2010	13.24	13.74	13.79	13.59	13.64	13.51	13.41(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-60	-9	-58	0.09	66%	-0.15	62.4	2.26%	0	-0.6	36	0

11	Mar_26_2010	13.26	13.7	13.87	13.67	13.74	13.64	13.43(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-40	-6	-44	0.11	62%	-0.15	63.2	2.33%	0	-0.4	46	0
12	Mar_25_2010	13.28	13.64	13.94	13.72	13.74	13.77	13.44(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	10	-6	-22	0.26	62%	0	61	2.35%	0	-0.3	58	0
13	Mar_24_2010	13.28	13.59	14.02	13.79	13.76	13.84	13.69(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	30	-6	9	0.08	62%	-0.08	61.2	2.35%	0	0.1	65	0
14	Mar_23_2010	13.29	13.52	14.06	13.91	13.8	13.75	13.97(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-50	-9	38	0.08	62%	0.08	63.8	2.34%	0	0.5	65	0
15	Mar_22_2010	13.28	13.41	14.09	14.04	13.96	13.69	13.81(0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-150	-9	72	0.08	62%	0	64.6	2.37%	0	0.4	63	0

16	Mar_19_2010	13.28	13.31	14.1	14.1	14.14	13.86	13.68(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-130	-15	100	0.14	62%	-0.08	65.2	2.35%	0	0.4	67	0
17	Mar_18_2010	13.29	13.22	14.05	14.2	14.21	14.22	13.82(-3.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	27	10	-10	136	0.14	62%	-0.08	68.1	2.36%	0	0.6	74	0
18	Mar_17_2010	13.3	13.13	13.96	14.28	14.29	14.43	14.29(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	70	10	169	0.15	61%	-0.08	71.4	2.34%	0	1.1	77	0
19	Mar_16_2010	13.31	13	13.84	14.22	14.18	14.2	14.61(3.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	0	6	178	0.15	61%	-0.08	72.6	2.39%	0	1.6	81	0
20	Mar_15_2010	13.32	12.84	13.68	14.14	14.11	14.16	14.1(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	53	20	3	202	0.12	56%	-0.15	79.1	2.36%	0	1.3	82	0

21	Mar_12_2010	13.34	12.71	13.53	14.09	14.13	14.17	14.19(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	70	30	18	224	0.13	56%	-0.15	81.1	2.4%	0	1.5	84	0
22	Mar_11_2010	13.36	12.58	13.32	13.88	13.92	14.06	14.19(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	68	80	21	210	0.07	56%	-0.15	82.5	2.42%	0	1.8	79	0
23	Mar_10_2010	13.38	12.44	13.12	13.59	13.65	14.08	14(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	64	230	22	188	0.15	56%	-0.3	79.4	2.42%	0	1.8	75	0
24	Mar_9_2010	13.42	12.29	12.93	13.39	13.36	13.77	14.24(2.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	69	210	30	185	0.25	56%	-0.22	77.5	2.41%	0	2.4	81	0
25	Mar_8_2010	13.45	12.12	12.68	13.15	13.08	13.23	13.85(5.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	59	60	24	165	0.25	54%		71.2	2.38%	0	2.3	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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