Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 3, 2008

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $22.4300 (-5.2%) ($22.1800 - $23.6300) on Thu. Jul. 3, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.84% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $22.4300(-5.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(18%)    IWM(17%)    VWO(17%)    FXI(16%)    QQQ(16%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -3.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-3%)    LQD(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.42% (StdDev 6.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.1%

Resistance Level   $24.76
5 Day Moving Average   $24.46(-8.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.3(-11.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.76(-9.41%)
To recent high   -18.3%
To recent low   95.7%
Market Cap   $905m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 7.19% (three month std-dev: 6.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080803

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_3_2008	17.62	24.76	25.3	24.46	24.45	23.76	22.43(-5.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-200	-18	-29	0.31	79%	0.69	-7.2	6.84%	0	-1.3	56	0
2	Jul_2_2008	17.5	24.94	25.75	25.09	25.04	24.93	23.66(-8.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-40	-12	-1	0.37	79%	0.75	-0.7	6.8%	0	-0.7	60	0
3	Jul_1_2008	17.37	25	26.13	25.8	25.45	24.93	25.75(1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	-120	-3	34	0.32	83%	0.87	3.8	6.7%	0	0.4	66	0
4	Jun_30_2008	17.22	24.94	26.1	25.89	25.79	25.15	25.33(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-190	-9	44	0.26	83%	0.94	-1.9	6.65%	0	0.2	64	0
5	Jun_27_2008	17.06	24.92	26.19	26.17	26.1	25.75	25.12(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-100	-7	64	0.24	83%	0.89	-2.1	6.66%	0	0.1	61	0

6	Jun_26_2008	16.91	24.89	25.95	26.28	26.36	26.42	25.58(-6.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	30	-3	65	0.22	83%	0.96	-5.4	6.65%	0	0.4	59	0
7	Jun_25_2008	16.75	24.96	25.64	26.49	26.38	26.44	27.24(4.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	0	0	61	0.22	84%	1.09	-3	6.58%	0	1.3	54	0
8	Jun_24_2008	16.57	24.94	25.15	26.53	26.45	26.44	26.18(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-50	2	56	0.25	84%	0.98	1.4	6.6%	0	0.7	56	0
9	Jun_23_2008	16.41	24.98	24.79	26.35	26.47	26.31	26.73(4.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-30	0	45	0.29	84%	0.98	1.3	6.6%	0	0.9	58	0
10	Jun_20_2008	16.25	24.95	24.39	26.24	26.25	26.59	25.67(-3.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	90	10	40	0.35	84%	0.99	5.4	6.64%	0	0.4	54	0

11	Jun_19_2008	16.09	24.99	24.17	25.53	25.77	26.63	26.62(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	260	22	26	0.36	81%	1.07	7.8	6.62%	0	0.9	58	0
12	Jun_18_2008	15.92	25.01	24.04	24.62	24.57	25.92	27.43(8.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	20	380	25	4	0.67	82%	1.08	10.7	6.65%	0	1.3	50	0
13	Jun_17_2008	15.75	24.91	23.72	23.57	23.64	24.91	25.32(-3.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	11	380	24	-27	0.35	81%	0.96	7.8	6.67%	0	0.2	42	0
14	Jun_16_2008	15.6	24.95	23.62	23	22.82	23.21	26.14(17.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	0	100	17	-50	0.77	81%	1.04	10.8	6.64%	0	0.6	44	0
15	Jun_13_2008	15.44	24.85	23.45	22.33	22.37	22.37	22.16(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	10	-6	-82	0.34	80%	0.85	14	6.33%	0	-1.4	26	0

16	Jun_12_2008	15.31	24.84	23.71	22.61	22.61	22.44	22.04(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-50	-12	-86	0.27	80%	0.79	24.8	6.35%	0	-1.5	25	0
17	Jun_11_2008	15.19	24.81	24.2	23.37	23.07	22.36	22.21(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-28	-250	-13	-73	0.35	81%	0.86	37.5	6.4%	0	-1.3	23	0
18	Jun_10_2008	15.06	24.77	24.72	23.87	23.81	22.79	22.43(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-310	-16	-60	0.17	76%	0.53	45	6.43%	0	-1.1	37	0
19	Jun_9_2008	14.98	24.75	25.21	24.31	24.37	23.77	22.83(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-160	-15	-47	0.23	76%	0.88	54.6	6.58%	0	-0.9	37	0
20	Jun_6_2008	14.85	24.59	25.61	24.72	24.37	24.84	23.54(-8.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	20	-4	-28	0.3	74%	0.95	52.4	6.59%	0	-0.4	52	0

21	Jun_5_2008	14.71	24.37	25.94	24.94	24.78	24.97	25.84(4.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-2	30	-1	-6	0.17	78%	1.03	46.8	6.56%	0	0.5	72	0
22	Jun_4_2008	14.56	24.05	26.09	25.2	24.66	24.72	24.69(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-50	-8	18	0.17	78%	0.97	47.5	6.56%	0	0.2	73	0
23	Jun_3_2008	14.42	23.82	26.22	25.74	25.27	24.59	24.64(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-240	-9	47	0.27	78%	0.98	51.4	6.57%	0	0.3	71	0
24	Jun_2_2008	14.28	23.58	26.41	26.28	25.96	24.6	24.87(0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-400	-17	74	0.37	78%	0.99	56.6	6.56%	0	0.4	67	0
25	May_30_2008	14.14	23.32	26.38	26.63	26.59	25.94	24.67(-9.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-180	-17	104	0.58	78%		59.3	6.61%	0	0.4	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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